Compendium › Danny Dip › ARKK
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ARKK
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 4 trades in period

-4.93%
Last 3 Months Return
$18,418.62
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$19,374.16
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:26:09

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.1 oversold
20d Trend
-20.9%
5d Trend
-12.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.6%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

40
Lifetime
Confidence: 90%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.7/35
Total Return
16.0/25
Win Rate
4.6/15
Profit Factor
3.4/15
Consistency
6.8/10
Raw Quality 44.6/100
× Confidence 0.90 = 40.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (90%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,869
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$19,374.16
Current Value
$18,418.62
Period P&L
$-955.51
Max Drawdown
-21.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.33

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+5.16%
Worst Trade
-3.63%
Avg Trade Return
-1.20%
Avg Hold Time
5.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$149,572.39
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-955.51
Net P&L (after fees)
$-955.51
Gross Return
-4.93%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.93%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARKK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $19,374.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:45am ET $72.31 267 $19,306.77 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 10:25am ET $69.98 267 $18,684.66 $18,752.02 $-622.11
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $69.83 268 $18,714.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 2:00pm ET $67.67 268 $18,135.56 $18,173.14 $-578.88
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $66.05 275 $18,163.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET $69.46 275 $19,101.50 $19,110.89 +$937.75
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 10:10am ET $76.93 248 $19,078.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $74.14 248 $18,386.72 $18,418.62 $-692.27
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $18,418.62
Net Profit/Loss: +$8,418.62
Total Return: +84.19%
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