Compendium › Danny Dip › COIN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
COIN
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 22 trades in period

+34.36%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,825.12
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$8,056.92
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:24:56

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
13.1 oversold
20d Trend
-42.6%
5d Trend
-24.4%
EMA20 Dist
-25.8%
ATR%
6.8%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

14
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.6/35
Total Return
8.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.1/15
Consistency
5.4/10
Raw Quality 14.1/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 13.9

30-Day Momentum

38
+13.3%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 48.4 Conf: 0.78×
Accelerating (+24 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,872
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,056.92
Current Value
$10,825.12
Period P&L
$2,768.16
Max Drawdown
-46.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.26

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
22
Winners / Losers
11 / 11
Best Trade
+11.35%
Worst Trade
-5.08%
Avg Trade Return
+1.45%
Avg Hold Time
1.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$435,547.78
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,768.16
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,768.16
Gross Return
+34.36%
Net Return (after fees)
+34.36%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 COIN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 22 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $8,056.92 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 3:45pm ET $146.16 55 $8,038.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 9:30am ET $156.11 55 $8,585.93 $8,711.89 +$547.13
(+6.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
17.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $159.67 54 $8,622.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $167.24 54 $9,030.96 $9,120.67 +$408.78
(+4.7%) 		📅 Sim Ended
6.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $155.73 58 $9,032.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:05am ET $151.04 58 $8,760.32 $8,848.65 $-272.02
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:40am ET $160.94 54 $8,690.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 11:10am ET $169.01 54 $9,126.54 $9,284.43 +$435.78
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 12:15pm ET $169.30 54 $9,142.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:40am ET $162.38 54 $8,768.52 $8,910.75 $-373.68
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:40am ET $154.25 57 $8,792.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $171.76 57 $9,790.32 $9,908.71 +$997.96
(+11.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 12:45pm ET $177.98 55 $9,788.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 9:45am ET $172.33 55 $9,478.15 $9,597.96 $-310.75
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $177.18 54 $9,567.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET $195.70 54 $10,567.80 $10,598.04 +$1,000.08
(+10.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 11:10am ET $205.36 51 $10,473.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $197.60 51 $10,077.60 $10,202.28 $-395.76
(-3.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 10:10am ET $195.24 52 $10,152.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 10:10am ET $205.07 52 $10,663.64 $10,713.44 +$511.16
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $205.69 52 $10,695.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $195.24 52 $10,152.58 $10,170.14 $-543.30
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 10:15am ET $198.01 51 $10,098.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 10:20am ET $190.04 51 $9,692.04 $9,763.67 $-406.47
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 11:55am ET $183.27 53 $9,713.31 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $176.64 53 $9,361.92 $9,412.28 $-351.39
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $166.16 56 $9,304.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 10:25am ET $160.47 56 $8,986.30 $9,093.62 $-318.66
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
55m held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:30am ET $160.52 56 $8,989.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 10:25am ET $168.68 56 $9,446.36 $9,550.86 +$457.24
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $166.01 57 $9,462.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $175.70 57 $10,014.62 $10,102.62 +$551.76
(+5.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:40am ET $169.49 59 $10,000.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $184.94 59 $10,911.46 $11,013.88 +$911.26
(+9.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET $169.43 65 $11,013.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET $164.34 65 $10,682.10 $10,682.70 $-331.18
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET $189.90 56 $10,634.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 12:20pm ET $199.77 56 $11,187.12 $11,235.42 +$552.72
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET $200.56 56 $11,231.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 2:55pm ET $210.61 56 $11,794.02 $11,798.02 +$562.60
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.4h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:55am ET $199.49 59 $11,769.91 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $190.43 59 $11,235.37 $11,263.48 $-534.54
(-4.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $187.15 60 $11,228.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $179.84 60 $10,790.40 $10,825.12 $-438.36
(-3.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,825.12
Net Profit/Loss: +$825.12
Total Return: +8.25%
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