Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 12:27:09

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
18.8 oversold
20d Trend
-22.1%
5d Trend
-11.2%
EMA20 Dist
-13.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality 4.0/100
× Confidence 0.84 = 3.4

30-Day Momentum

1
-3.5%
30d Return
25%
Win Rate
4
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 1.4 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,872
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,827.70
Current Value
$8,563.65
Period P&L
$-264.08
Max Drawdown
-27.5%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.04

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
4 / 8
Best Trade
+6.22%
Worst Trade
-3.72%
Avg Trade Return
-0.17%
Avg Hold Time
2.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$207,292.99
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-264.08
Net P&L (after fees)
$-264.08
Gross Return
-2.99%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.99%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CRM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $8,827.70 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:35am ET $188.99 46 $8,693.54
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 12:00pm ET $183.24 46 $8,429.04 $8,563.23 $-264.50
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 10:10am ET $179.40 47 $8,431.57
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:30am ET $172.73 47 $8,118.31 $8,249.97 $-313.26
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:55am ET $165.52 49 $8,110.48
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $175.82 49 $8,615.18 $8,754.67 +$504.70
(+6.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $177.09 49 $8,677.41
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:10pm ET $171.70 49 $8,413.06 $8,490.32 $-264.35
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET $174.76 48 $8,388.48
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 1:25pm ET $183.87 48 $8,825.76 $8,927.60 +$437.28
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
6 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:30am ET $179.68 49 $8,804.32
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 9:50am ET $174.20 49 $8,535.56 $8,658.84 $-268.76
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
7 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 11:30am ET $181.49 47 $8,530.03
🔴 SELL May 20, 2026 9:30am ET $176.04 47 $8,274.11 $8,402.92 $-255.92
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held
8 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:35am ET $172.39 48 $8,274.72
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:40am ET $182.30 48 $8,750.64 $8,878.84 +$475.92
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
9 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $173.70 51 $8,858.70
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:35am ET $184.41 51 $9,405.16 $9,425.30 +$546.46
(+6.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $202.54 46 $9,316.84
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 11:10am ET $196.23 46 $9,026.70 $9,135.16 $-290.14
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $176.57 51 $9,005.32
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $170.62 51 $8,701.62 $8,831.45 $-303.71
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $167.06 52 $8,687.12
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:35am ET $161.91 52 $8,419.32 $8,563.65 $-267.80
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,563.65
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,436.35
Total Return: -14.36%
Back to Danny Dip