Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 13:49:02

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.2/35
Total Return
15.2/25
Win Rate
0.7/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 27.3/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 26.7

30-Day Momentum

2
-16.0%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-25 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,810
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$20,458.09
Current Value
$16,656.58
Period P&L
$-3,801.58
Max Drawdown
-37.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.23

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
5 / 11
Best Trade
+7.47%
Worst Trade
-11.44%
Avg Trade Return
-1.15%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$618,018.74
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,801.58
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,801.58
Gross Return
-18.58%
Net Return (after fees)
-18.58%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $20,458.09 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $76.80 266 $20,428.80
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 10:05am ET $74.45 266 $19,803.70 $19,833.06 $-625.10
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:55am ET $73.50 269 $19,771.50
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 10:00am ET $77.18 269 $20,762.76 $20,824.32 +$991.26
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:40am ET $72.68 286 $20,787.34
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 9:35am ET $69.57 286 $19,896.79 $19,933.77 $-890.55
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:30am ET $76.98 258 $19,860.84
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $73.49 258 $18,959.13 $19,032.06 $-901.71
(-4.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $74.19 256 $18,992.64
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET $79.73 256 $20,410.88 $20,450.30 +$1,418.24
(+7.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 10:20am ET $80.99 252 $20,409.48
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $77.99 252 $19,653.48 $19,694.30 $-756.00
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 10:30am ET $76.22 258 $19,666.05
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 11:30am ET $73.91 258 $19,068.73 $19,096.98 $-597.32
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $72.28 264 $19,081.92
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 3:40pm ET $70.08 264 $18,501.86 $18,516.92 $-580.06
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET $70.91 261 $18,507.51
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $68.74 261 $17,941.14 $17,950.55 $-566.37
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 1:15pm ET $65.07 275 $17,895.62
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 1:05pm ET $68.46 275 $18,826.47 $18,881.40 +$930.85
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $67.19 280 $18,814.32
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 12:35pm ET $70.58 280 $19,763.80 $19,830.88 +$949.48
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:10am ET $73.46 269 $19,759.40
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $69.95 269 $18,816.55 $18,888.03 $-942.85
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET $85.03 222 $18,875.55
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $90.10 222 $20,002.20 $20,014.68 +$1,126.65
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:55am ET $89.20 224 $19,980.80
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $86.38 224 $19,349.12 $19,383.00 $-631.68
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 10:00am ET $85.58 226 $19,340.29
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:40pm ET $83.00 226 $18,758.00 $18,800.71 $-582.29
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $81.47 230 $18,738.10
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $72.15 230 $16,593.97 $16,656.58 $-2,144.13
(-11.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,656.58
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,656.58
Total Return: +66.57%
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