Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 12:26:04

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

28
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.8/35
Total Return
15.5/25
Win Rate
0.8/15
Profit Factor
0.9/15
Consistency
4.3/10
Raw Quality 28.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 27.9

30-Day Momentum

34
+11.0%
30d Return
57%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 43.8 Conf: 0.78×
Steady (+6 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,872
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$18,516.85
Current Value
$18,305.56
Period P&L
$-211.36
Max Drawdown
-37.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
8 / 10
Best Trade
+5.97%
Worst Trade
-11.44%
Avg Trade Return
+0.07%
Avg Hold Time
1.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$631,106.40
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-211.36
Net P&L (after fees)
$-211.36
Gross Return
-1.14%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.14%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $18,516.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:40am ET $70.91 261 $18,507.51
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $68.74 261 $17,941.14 $17,950.55 $-566.37
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 1:15pm ET $65.07 275 $17,895.62
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 1:05pm ET $68.46 275 $18,826.47 $18,881.40 +$930.85
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $67.19 280 $18,814.32
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 12:35pm ET $70.58 280 $19,763.80 $19,830.88 +$949.48
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:10am ET $73.46 269 $19,759.40
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:35am ET $69.95 269 $18,816.55 $18,888.03 $-942.85
(-4.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET $85.03 222 $18,875.55
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $90.10 222 $20,002.20 $20,014.68 +$1,126.65
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 10:55am ET $89.20 224 $19,980.80
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 3:55pm ET $86.38 224 $19,349.12 $19,383.00 $-631.68
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 10:00am ET $85.58 226 $19,340.29
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:40pm ET $83.00 226 $18,758.00 $18,800.71 $-582.29
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $81.47 230 $18,738.10
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $72.15 230 $16,593.97 $16,656.58 $-2,144.13
(-11.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
9 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:55am ET $78.24 212 $16,586.88
🔴 SELL May 13, 2026 9:50am ET $75.72 212 $16,052.64 $16,122.34 $-534.24
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
10 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $77.85 207 $16,114.95
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:35am ET $75.15 207 $15,556.05 $15,563.44 $-558.90
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
11 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 10:25am ET $73.56 211 $15,520.11
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 10:00am ET $77.75 211 $16,405.25 $16,448.58 +$885.14
(+5.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
12 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:20am ET $86.11 191 $16,446.48
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 11:15am ET $90.68 191 $17,319.88 $17,321.98 +$873.40
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
55m held
13 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $88.68 195 $17,291.63
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 9:30am ET $85.11 195 $16,596.45 $16,626.80 $-695.18
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:45am ET $84.93 195 $16,560.38
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:10pm ET $82.22 195 $16,033.87 $16,100.30 $-526.50
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:45am ET $84.44 190 $16,043.60
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:35am ET $81.89 190 $15,559.39 $15,616.08 $-484.22
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:35am ET $87.61 178 $15,594.58
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 2:50pm ET $92.20 178 $16,411.60 $16,433.10 +$817.02
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 10:50am ET $96.21 170 $16,356.55
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 10:10am ET $101.18 170 $17,199.75 $17,276.30 +$843.20
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 10:10am ET $105.07 164 $17,232.14
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:50am ET $111.35 164 $18,261.40 $18,305.56 +$1,029.26
(+6.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $18,305.56
Net Profit/Loss: +$8,305.56
Total Return: +83.06%
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