Compendium › Danny Dip › RIOT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
RIOT
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-03-22 to present • 25 trades in period

+7.72%
Last 3 Months Return
$4,529.68
Current Value
44%
Win Rate
$4,205.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 12:26:50

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 5.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 4.9

30-Day Momentum

8
+0.4%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 9.8 Conf: 0.78×
Steady (+3 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,872
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$4,205.00
Current Value
$4,529.68
Period P&L
$324.68
Max Drawdown
-63.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.09

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
25
Winners / Losers
11 / 14
Best Trade
+6.40%
Worst Trade
-4.92%
Avg Trade Return
+0.40%
Avg Hold Time
1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$233,055.64
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$324.68
Net P&L (after fees)
$324.68
Gross Return
+7.72%
Net Return (after fees)
+7.72%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 25 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $4,205.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 10:25am ET $14.17 296 $4,194.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET $14.98 296 $4,434.08 $4,444.76 +$239.76
(+5.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET $14.59 304 $4,435.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 10:50am ET $14.15 304 $4,300.08 $4,309.48 $-135.28
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 10:50am ET $12.91 333 $4,299.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 10:15am ET $12.47 333 $4,150.85 $4,161.30 $-148.18
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:55am ET $11.57 359 $4,153.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 1:15pm ET $12.31 359 $4,419.29 $4,427.07 +$265.77
(+6.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $11.94 370 $4,417.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:25am ET $12.56 370 $4,649.05 $4,658.32 +$231.25
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
55m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 3:05pm ET $15.78 295 $4,656.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:40am ET $16.73 295 $4,935.35 $4,937.09 +$278.77
(+6.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $16.32 302 $4,927.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 10:45am ET $17.18 302 $5,188.33 $5,198.29 +$261.20
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET $17.58 295 $5,186.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 11:25am ET $16.94 295 $4,998.77 $5,010.96 $-187.33
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:10pm ET $17.78 281 $4,996.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:40am ET $18.67 281 $5,246.24 $5,261.02 +$250.06
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 10:35am ET $18.30 287 $5,252.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $17.40 287 $4,993.80 $5,002.72 $-258.30
(-4.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:45am ET $16.14 309 $4,987.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:55am ET $15.64 309 $4,832.76 $4,847.73 $-154.99
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
12 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 11:55am ET $18.83 257 $4,839.31 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 2:35pm ET $18.21 257 $4,679.97 $4,688.39 $-159.34
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held
13 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 11:05am ET $22.43 208 $4,666.48 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 3:05pm ET $23.66 208 $4,920.26 $4,942.17 +$253.78
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4h held
14 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 9:50am ET $23.38 211 $4,932.13 — — —
🔴 SELL May 11, 2026 9:45am ET $24.67 211 $5,204.32 $5,214.36 +$272.19
(+5.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
15 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 9:45am ET $24.93 209 $5,210.37 — — —
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 10:30am ET $23.91 209 $4,996.15 $5,000.14 $-214.22
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
45m held
16 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 9:35am ET $23.98 208 $4,986.80 — — —
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 10:00am ET $23.23 208 $4,831.84 $4,845.18 $-154.96
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
17 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 10:00am ET $23.05 210 $4,841.09 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:45am ET $22.29 210 $4,680.90 $4,684.99 $-160.19
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
18 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:30am ET $27.37 171 $4,680.27 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:35am ET $26.22 171 $4,482.77 $4,487.48 $-197.51
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:45am ET $27.63 162 $4,476.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $26.63 162 $4,313.25 $4,324.67 $-162.81
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $26.41 163 $4,304.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:40am ET $25.54 163 $4,163.02 $4,182.86 $-141.81
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 10:15am ET $24.43 171 $4,177.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 11:20am ET $25.75 171 $4,402.40 $4,407.71 +$224.85
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 11:20am ET $25.73 171 $4,399.83 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 12:00pm ET $24.72 171 $4,227.12 $4,235.00 $-172.71
(-3.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
23 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 12:00pm ET $24.39 173 $4,218.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 1:45pm ET $25.65 173 $4,437.45 $4,453.84 +$218.84
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 10:00am ET $27.17 163 $4,428.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:45pm ET $28.71 163 $4,679.73 $4,704.86 +$251.02
(+5.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.8h held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 10:20am ET $29.36 160 $4,697.58 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 11:20am ET $28.26 160 $4,522.40 $4,529.68 $-175.18
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $4,529.68
Net Profit/Loss: $-5,470.32
Total Return: -54.70%
Back to Danny Dip