Compendium › Danny Dip › RIOT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
RIOT
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 24 trades in period

-5.51%
Last 3 Months Return
$4,688.39
Current Value
38%
Win Rate
$4,961.56
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:23:36

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
28.4 oversold
20d Trend
-31.1%
5d Trend
-24.1%
EMA20 Dist
-22.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 4.8/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 4.8

30-Day Momentum

9
+0.7%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 11.0 Conf: 0.78×
Steady (+4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,872
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$4,961.56
Current Value
$4,688.39
Period P&L
$-273.17
Max Drawdown
-63.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
9 / 15
Best Trade
+6.53%
Worst Trade
-5.44%
Avg Trade Return
-0.14%
Avg Hold Time
1.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$232,089.07
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-273.17
Net P&L (after fees)
$-273.17
Gross Return
-5.51%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.51%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIOT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $4,961.56 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $14.01 354 $4,959.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:55am ET $14.77 354 $5,227.23 $5,229.25 +$267.69
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $14.76 354 $5,225.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 10:40am ET $14.16 354 $5,012.64 $5,016.14 $-213.11
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 2:55pm ET $15.38 326 $5,013.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 3:55pm ET $16.17 326 $5,273.05 $5,275.31 +$259.17
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:30am ET $15.17 347 $5,263.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 9:50am ET $16.16 347 $5,607.97 $5,619.29 +$343.98
(+6.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:50am ET $16.84 333 $5,607.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 11:40am ET $16.32 333 $5,432.90 $5,444.47 $-174.82
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 1:15pm ET $16.24 335 $5,441.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:35am ET $15.36 335 $5,145.60 $5,148.43 $-296.04
(-5.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 11:10am ET $16.43 313 $5,142.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 10:55am ET $15.93 313 $4,986.09 $4,991.90 $-156.53
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 10:55am ET $14.34 348 $4,988.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $13.74 348 $4,781.52 $4,784.46 $-207.44
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 10:10am ET $14.81 322 $4,770.43 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 9:35am ET $14.31 322 $4,607.82 $4,621.85 $-162.61
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 10:40am ET $14.98 308 $4,615.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 12:15pm ET $14.52 308 $4,471.08 $4,477.55 $-144.30
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $14.47 309 $4,469.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 11:20am ET $14.02 309 $4,333.72 $4,341.59 $-135.96
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:35am ET $13.81 314 $4,336.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 2:30pm ET $13.38 314 $4,199.75 $4,205.00 $-136.59
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.9h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 10:25am ET $14.17 296 $4,194.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET $14.98 296 $4,434.08 $4,444.76 +$239.76
(+5.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET $14.59 304 $4,435.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 10:50am ET $14.15 304 $4,300.08 $4,309.48 $-135.28
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 10:50am ET $12.91 333 $4,299.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 10:15am ET $12.47 333 $4,150.85 $4,161.30 $-148.18
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:55am ET $11.57 359 $4,153.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 1:15pm ET $12.31 359 $4,419.29 $4,427.07 +$265.77
(+6.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $11.94 370 $4,417.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:25am ET $12.56 370 $4,649.05 $4,658.32 +$231.25
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
55m held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 3:05pm ET $15.78 295 $4,656.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 9:40am ET $16.73 295 $4,935.35 $4,937.09 +$278.77
(+6.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18.6h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $16.32 302 $4,927.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 10:45am ET $17.18 302 $5,188.33 $5,198.29 +$261.20
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET $17.58 295 $5,186.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 11:25am ET $16.94 295 $4,998.77 $5,010.96 $-187.33
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 1:10pm ET $17.78 281 $4,996.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:40am ET $18.67 281 $5,246.24 $5,261.02 +$250.06
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 10:35am ET $18.30 287 $5,252.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $17.40 287 $4,993.80 $5,002.72 $-258.30
(-4.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 9:45am ET $16.14 309 $4,987.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 10:55am ET $15.64 309 $4,832.76 $4,847.73 $-154.99
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
24 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 11:55am ET $18.83 257 $4,839.31 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 2:35pm ET $18.21 257 $4,679.97 $4,688.39 $-159.34
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $4,688.39
Net Profit/Loss: $-5,311.61
Total Return: -53.12%
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