Compendium › Danny Dip › SOXL
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SOXL
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-02-06 to present • 28 trades in period

-10.76%
Last 3 Months Return
$36,053.01
Current Value
39%
Win Rate
$40,401.17
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:07:41

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

56
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
26.1/35
Total Return
20.1/25
Win Rate
2.5/15
Profit Factor
2.0/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 56.5/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 55.8

30-Day Momentum

44
+16.7%
30d Return
63%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 53.9 Conf: 0.81×
Declining (-12 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,766
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$40,401.17
Current Value
$36,053.01
Period P&L
$-4,348.09
Max Drawdown
-35.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
28
Winners / Losers
11 / 17
Best Trade
+7.68%
Worst Trade
-9.85%
Avg Trade Return
-0.28%
Avg Hold Time
15.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$2,013,319.23
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-4,348.09
Net P&L (after fees)
$-4,348.09
Gross Return
-10.76%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.76%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 28 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $40,401.17 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:40am ET $62.89 642 $40,375.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $67.72 642 $43,474.83 $43,500.55 +$3,099.45
(+7.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET $61.71 704 $43,440.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 11:55am ET $64.88 704 $45,675.52 $45,735.47 +$2,234.92
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 3:10pm ET $65.43 698 $45,670.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 19, 2026 12:05pm ET $63.42 698 $44,263.67 $44,329.00 $-1,406.47
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 12:20pm ET $65.81 673 $44,290.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 11:15am ET $63.68 673 $42,856.64 $42,895.51 $-1,433.49
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 9:35am ET $69.70 615 $42,865.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 9:50am ET $67.14 615 $41,291.10 $41,321.11 $-1,574.40
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
15m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:50am ET $62.12 665 $41,309.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $58.17 665 $38,683.05 $38,694.36 $-2,626.75
(-6.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $54.90 704 $38,649.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 10:20am ET $53.15 704 $37,421.12 $37,465.88 $-1,228.48
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:45am ET $55.19 678 $37,422.21 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 12:35pm ET $53.38 678 $36,191.64 $36,235.31 $-1,230.57
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 2:05pm ET $50.66 715 $36,222.61 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 3:20pm ET $48.76 715 $34,866.97 $34,879.67 $-1,355.64
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:20pm ET $55.60 627 $34,861.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 3:50pm ET $53.85 627 $33,763.95 $33,782.42 $-1,097.25
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $53.35 633 $33,770.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 9:55am ET $50.88 633 $32,206.98 $32,218.91 $-1,563.51
(-4.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 10:45am ET $51.69 623 $32,201.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 2:00pm ET $50.09 623 $31,206.07 $31,223.54 $-995.37
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 3:50pm ET $53.02 588 $31,175.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET $56.02 588 $32,939.76 $32,987.54 +$1,764.00
(+5.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.7d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $49.06 672 $32,968.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 10:00am ET $51.84 672 $34,836.55 $34,855.77 +$1,868.23
(+5.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
30m held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 10:00am ET $52.78 660 $34,834.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 1:30pm ET $51.07 660 $33,706.20 $33,727.17 $-1,128.60
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.5h held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $52.00 648 $33,696.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 11:10am ET $54.64 648 $35,406.72 $35,437.89 +$1,710.72
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.7h held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 26, 2026 9:30am ET $54.12 654 $35,395.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 10:45am ET $52.22 654 $34,155.15 $34,198.04 $-1,239.85
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 10:45am ET $46.65 733 $34,194.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 9:50am ET $44.44 733 $32,570.86 $32,574.44 $-1,623.60
(-4.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
19 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:55am ET $43.26 752 $32,531.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET $45.51 752 $34,223.52 $34,266.44 +$1,692.00
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 2:20pm ET $52.27 655 $34,236.79 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $47.12 655 $30,863.60 $30,893.25 $-3,373.19
(-9.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
19.2h held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:05am ET $53.42 578 $30,876.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $56.46 578 $32,633.88 $32,650.31 +$1,757.06
(+5.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 15, 2026 12:40pm ET $82.11 397 $32,597.67 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 10:45am ET $86.31 397 $34,264.99 $34,317.63 +$1,667.32
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.1h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:05am ET $92.64 370 $34,276.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET $98.35 370 $36,387.65 $36,428.48 +$2,110.85
(+6.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:15pm ET $112.62 323 $36,376.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $108.45 323 $35,029.32 $35,081.54 $-1,346.94
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
25 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET $124.78 281 $35,063.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 10:30am ET $119.17 281 $33,486.77 $33,505.13 $-1,576.41
(-4.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
26 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:30am ET $109.36 306 $33,465.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 10:50am ET $105.15 306 $32,176.54 $32,215.98 $-1,289.15
(-3.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
20m held
27 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $122.47 263 $32,209.11 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 10:05am ET $129.14 263 $33,963.82 $33,970.69 +$1,754.71
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
35m held
28 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 11:20am ET $127.76 265 $33,856.40 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 9:30am ET $135.62 265 $35,938.72 $36,053.01 +$2,082.32
(+6.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.2h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $36,053.01
Net Profit/Loss: +$26,053.01
Total Return: +260.53%
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