Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:21:48

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
67.3 neutral
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+22.2%
EMA20 Dist
+12.2%
ATR%
4.2%
Range Pos
70%
Bounce Ratio
3.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

6
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.1/35
Total Return
2.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.8/10
Raw Quality 5.9/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 5.8

30-Day Momentum

2
-15.0%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,906
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,150.23
Current Value
$10,074.88
Period P&L
$-4,075.37
Max Drawdown
-33.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.65

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
2 / 11
Best Trade
+5.55%
Worst Trade
-4.29%
Avg Trade Return
-2.05%
Avg Hold Time
3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$301,713.22
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-4,075.37
Net P&L (after fees)
$-4,075.37
Gross Return
-28.80%
Net Return (after fees)
-28.80%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $14,150.23 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 11:50am ET $72.99 181 $13,211.19
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 12:25pm ET $70.74 181 $12,803.94 $12,861.53 $-407.25
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 11:10am ET $73.39 175 $12,843.25
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 10:05am ET $70.81 175 $12,391.75 $12,410.03 $-451.50
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.9h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 10:45am ET $70.51 176 $12,409.73
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:50am ET $68.19 176 $12,001.62 $12,001.92 $-408.11
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 11:45am ET $73.77 162 $11,950.74
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 9:35am ET $71.30 162 $11,550.60 $11,601.78 $-400.14
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 11:15am ET $73.90 156 $11,528.40
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 3:30pm ET $71.14 156 $11,097.84 $11,171.22 $-430.56
(-3.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $73.39 152 $11,155.28
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $77.46 152 $11,773.92 $11,789.86 +$618.64
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $76.60 153 $11,719.80
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 12:35pm ET $80.47 153 $12,311.91 $12,381.97 +$592.11
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $86.25 143 $12,333.75
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:40pm ET $82.55 143 $11,804.65 $11,852.87 $-529.10
(-4.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 10:20am ET $79.58 148 $11,777.84
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $76.72 148 $11,354.56 $11,429.59 $-423.28
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $67.99 168 $11,422.32
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:50pm ET $65.86 168 $11,065.00 $11,072.27 $-357.32
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3d held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $57.24 193 $11,046.36
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 10:30am ET $55.42 193 $10,697.02 $10,722.94 $-349.33
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $54.03 198 $10,698.26
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET $52.34 198 $10,363.32 $10,388.00 $-334.94
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
13 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:55am ET $50.28 206 $10,356.65
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 10:10am ET $48.76 206 $10,043.53 $10,074.88 $-313.12
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,074.88
Net Profit/Loss: +$74.88
Total Return: +0.75%
Back to Danny Dip