Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 12:30:36

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

26
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
4.1/35
Total Return
14.0/25
Win Rate
0.7/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 26.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 25.7

30-Day Momentum

2
-6.0%
30d Return
20%
Win Rate
5
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 2.9 Conf: 0.70×
Declining (-24 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,873
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,139.28
Current Value
$14,805.56
Period P&L
$1,666.26
Max Drawdown
-40.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.20

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
5 / 7
Best Trade
+13.96%
Worst Trade
-4.14%
Avg Trade Return
+1.17%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$358,595.10
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,666.26
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,666.26
Gross Return
+12.68%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.68%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $13,139.28 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $43.85 299 $13,109.66
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 12:30pm ET $42.43 299 $12,686.33 $12,715.98 $-423.32
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $41.02 309 $12,675.18
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET $43.15 309 $13,334.89 $13,375.69 +$659.71
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 10:00am ET $42.78 312 $13,346.64
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $48.75 312 $15,210.00 $15,239.05 +$1,863.36
(+14.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:40pm ET $58.58 260 $15,232.10
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:55am ET $61.55 260 $16,003.29 $16,010.24 +$771.19
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:30am ET $60.58 264 $15,993.12
🔴 SELL Apr 30, 2026 3:15pm ET $63.63 264 $16,798.32 $16,815.44 +$805.20
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
6 🟢 BUY May 12, 2026 10:00am ET $74.49 225 $16,759.13
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 12:00pm ET $72.15 225 $16,234.87 $16,291.19 $-524.25
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held
7 🟢 BUY May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $75.66 215 $16,266.90
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 11:30am ET $73.17 215 $15,731.55 $15,755.84 $-535.35
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $83.37 188 $15,673.56
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:45am ET $80.67 188 $15,165.02 $15,247.30 $-508.54
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 10:15am ET $76.60 199 $15,243.40
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $73.54 199 $14,634.46 $14,638.36 $-608.94
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
35m held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 11:00am ET $71.63 204 $14,612.52
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 3:20pm ET $69.21 204 $14,118.78 $14,144.62 $-493.74
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 12:00pm ET $75.89 186 $14,115.54
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $82.88 186 $15,415.68 $15,444.76 +$1,300.14
(+9.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 11:25am ET $82.11 188 $15,436.68
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:05pm ET $78.71 188 $14,797.48 $14,805.56 $-639.20
(-4.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,805.56
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,805.56
Total Return: +48.06%
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