Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-22 12:49:04

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
61.7 neutral
20d Trend
+17.9%
5d Trend
+12.1%
EMA20 Dist
+11.8%
ATR%
7.0%
Range Pos
24%
Bounce Ratio
1.5×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 4.7/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 4.6

30-Day Momentum

15
+2.2%
30d Return
60%
Win Rate
5
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 21.2 Conf: 0.70×
Accelerating (+10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,876
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-23 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
63 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,752.75
Current Value
$7,570.49
Period P&L
$-2,182.25
Max Drawdown
-61.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.18

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
21
Winners / Losers
8 / 13
Best Trade
+6.38%
Worst Trade
-15.08%
Avg Trade Return
-1.03%
Avg Hold Time
1.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$369,258.69
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,182.25
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,182.25
Gross Return
-22.38%
Net Return (after fees)
-22.38%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 UVXY Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 63 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 21 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $9,752.75 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 2:45pm ET $49.11 198 $9,722.85
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $52.24 198 $10,343.52 $10,373.41 +$620.67
(+6.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $49.31 210 $10,355.10
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET $52.00 210 $10,920.00 $10,938.31 +$564.90
(+5.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 11:30am ET $57.08 191 $10,902.28
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 1:55pm ET $59.98 191 $11,456.18 $11,492.21 +$553.90
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 3:55pm ET $60.33 190 $11,462.70
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $56.16 190 $10,670.40 $10,699.91 $-792.30
(-6.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $51.08 209 $10,675.72
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2026 12:50pm ET $49.53 209 $10,351.77 $10,375.96 $-323.95
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET $49.83 208 $10,364.64
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 10:25am ET $48.31 208 $10,048.48 $10,059.80 $-316.16
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
50m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 12:05pm ET $51.17 196 $10,029.32
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $43.46 196 $8,517.18 $8,547.66 $-1,512.14
(-15.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:40am ET $43.91 194 $8,518.54
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 11:35am ET $42.35 194 $8,215.22 $8,244.34 $-303.32
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 10:20am ET $41.26 199 $8,210.74
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:25pm ET $39.94 199 $7,949.05 $7,982.66 $-261.68
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1h held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 11:15am ET $38.80 205 $7,954.00
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $37.44 205 $7,676.22 $7,704.89 $-277.77
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held
11 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $38.46 200 $7,692.34
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:15pm ET $40.39 200 $8,078.00 $8,090.55 +$385.66
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 10:20am ET $37.12 217 $8,054.22
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:40am ET $35.92 217 $7,794.64 $7,830.97 $-259.58
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
13 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 10:20am ET $35.53 220 $7,816.60
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 11:20am ET $37.41 220 $8,230.20 $8,244.57 +$413.60
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1h held
14 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $36.09 228 $8,228.52
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 10:25am ET $34.96 228 $7,969.74 $7,985.79 $-258.78
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
12d held
15 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 10:20am ET $34.18 233 $7,963.94
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 1:20pm ET $32.97 233 $7,683.17 $7,705.02 $-280.77
(-3.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
16 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $31.60 243 $7,678.80
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 3:45pm ET $30.60 243 $7,435.82 $7,462.04 $-242.98
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 10:15am ET $28.50 261 $7,438.50
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:35pm ET $29.99 261 $7,828.30 $7,851.84 +$389.80
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 9:40am ET $29.21 268 $7,828.28
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 11:30am ET $30.84 268 $8,265.12 $8,288.68 +$436.84
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 10:05am ET $32.26 256 $8,258.66
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 11:45am ET $33.88 256 $8,673.28 $8,703.30 +$414.62
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.7h held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 1:05pm ET $29.36 296 $8,690.56
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $26.56 296 $7,861.76 $7,874.50 $-828.80
(-9.5%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 9:30am ET $26.16 301 $7,874.16
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $25.15 301 $7,570.15 $7,570.49 $-304.01
(-3.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,570.49
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,429.51
Total Return: -24.30%
Back to Danny Dip