Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:14:03

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
62.8 neutral
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+8.3%
EMA20 Dist
+8.3%
ATR%
4.8%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

15
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
1.4/35
Total Return
10.7/25
Win Rate
0.1/15
Profit Factor
0.5/15
Consistency
3.2/10
Raw Quality 15.9/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 15.3

30-Day Momentum

0
-7.1%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.8×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-15 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,883
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,546.96
Current Value
$11,833.30
Period P&L
$1,286.34
Max Drawdown
-45.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.15

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
19
Winners / Losers
9 / 10
Best Trade
+8.36%
Worst Trade
-9.44%
Avg Trade Return
+0.74%
Avg Hold Time
1.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$431,676.24
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,286.34
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,286.34
Gross Return
+12.20%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.20%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VXX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 19 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $10,546.96 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 10:10am ET $27.99 376 $10,524.24
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET $27.09 376 $10,185.84 $10,208.56 $-338.40
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 11:10am ET $29.23 349 $10,201.27
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 1:40pm ET $28.35 349 $9,894.22 $9,901.51 $-307.05
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 10:45am ET $28.28 350 $9,898.25
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 9:30am ET $27.27 350 $9,546.25 $9,549.51 $-352.00
(-3.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 11:05am ET $28.53 334 $9,529.02
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $30.60 334 $10,220.40 $10,240.89 +$691.38
(+7.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 11:05am ET $32.56 314 $10,225.41
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 11:45am ET $31.54 314 $9,903.56 $9,919.04 $-321.85
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 3:25pm ET $31.26 317 $9,911.00
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $33.88 317 $10,739.96 $10,748.00 +$828.96
(+8.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.1h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 10:45am ET $36.03 298 $10,737.57
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 11:25am ET $34.94 298 $10,413.61 $10,424.04 $-323.96
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 11:25am ET $31.22 333 $10,396.03
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 3:30pm ET $32.90 333 $10,955.70 $10,983.71 +$559.67
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.1h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 13, 2026 9:40am ET $33.38 329 $10,982.02
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 1:50pm ET $35.13 329 $11,559.41 $11,561.10 +$577.39
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 9:35am ET $31.63 365 $11,544.95
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:55am ET $33.22 365 $12,125.30 $12,141.45 +$580.35
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 10:05am ET $35.14 345 $12,123.30
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 2:15pm ET $33.97 345 $11,721.37 $11,739.52 $-401.93
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.2h held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET $33.70 348 $11,727.60
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $35.39 348 $12,315.72 $12,327.64 +$588.12
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET $33.92 363 $12,312.96
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 10:55am ET $35.63 363 $12,933.69 $12,948.37 +$620.73
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 11:35am ET $37.27 347 $12,932.69
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 2:40pm ET $39.13 347 $13,579.84 $13,595.52 +$647.15
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $37.21 365 $13,581.65
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 12:45pm ET $36.06 365 $13,161.90 $13,175.77 $-419.75
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 10:20am ET $35.97 366 $13,166.85
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:45am ET $34.79 366 $12,733.14 $12,742.06 $-433.71
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 3:55pm ET $34.84 365 $12,716.60
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $31.55 365 $11,515.79 $11,541.25 $-1,200.81
(-9.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
17.6h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 12:10pm ET $30.70 375 $11,514.37
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 3:40pm ET $29.75 375 $11,158.12 $11,185.00 $-356.25
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 9:30am ET $29.16 383 $11,169.16
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $30.85 383 $11,817.46 $11,833.30 +$648.30
(+5.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,833.30
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,833.30
Total Return: +18.33%
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