Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 10:08:08

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
62.5 neutral
20d Trend
-0.6%
5d Trend
+4.3%
EMA20 Dist
+4.6%
ATR%
2.6%
Range Pos
93%
Bounce Ratio
2.4×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

21
Lifetime
Confidence: 73%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
3.7/35
Total Return
11.5/25
Win Rate
4.9/15
Profit Factor
2.4/15
Consistency
6.2/10
Raw Quality 28.7/100
× Confidence 0.73 = 20.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (73%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,884
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
129 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,279.29
Current Value
$12,337.93
Period P&L
$2,058.63
Max Drawdown
-22.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.74

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
7 / 2
Best Trade
+5.26%
Worst Trade
-3.18%
Avg Trade Return
+2.47%
Avg Hold Time
5.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$204,740.45
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,058.63
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,058.63
Gross Return
+20.03%
Net Return (after fees)
+20.03%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 BIIB Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 129 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $10,279.29 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 10:25am ET $150.19 66 $9,912.54
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2025 9:55am ET $157.70 66 $10,408.20 $10,457.50 +$495.66
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 10:55am ET $152.25 68 $10,353.00
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 9:40am ET $159.92 68 $10,874.56 $10,979.06 +$521.56
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 12:05pm ET $179.24 61 $10,933.64
🔴 SELL Dec 8, 2025 12:05pm ET $181.34 61 $11,061.74 $11,107.16 +$128.10
(+1.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 10, 2025 9:30am ET $172.72 64 $11,054.08
🔴 SELL Dec 24, 2025 9:30am ET $175.72 64 $11,246.08 $11,299.16 +$192.00
(+1.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 10:25am ET $174.20 64 $11,148.80
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:35am ET $183.35 64 $11,734.40 $11,884.76 +$585.60
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET $172.66 68 $11,740.88
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:45am ET $167.17 68 $11,367.22 $11,511.10 $-373.66
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 10:45am ET $190.49 60 $11,429.40
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 2:35pm ET $200.04 60 $12,002.40 $12,084.10 +$573.00
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:40am ET $182.54 66 $12,047.64
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 10:40am ET $192.15 66 $12,681.57 $12,718.03 +$633.93
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
8d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:30am ET $179.46 70 $12,562.20
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 12:50pm ET $174.03 70 $12,182.10 $12,337.93 $-380.10
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,337.93
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,337.93
Total Return: +23.38%
Back to Danny Dip