Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 10:57:14

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
68.5 neutral
20d Trend
+6.3%
5d Trend
+4.4%
EMA20 Dist
+5.2%
ATR%
2.9%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 73%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 5.0/100
× Confidence 0.73 = 3.7

30-Day Momentum

17
+2.6%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.3×
Profit Factor
Quality: 27.8 Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+13 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (73%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,267
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
135 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,617.59
Current Value
$9,013.99
Period P&L
$396.39
Max Drawdown
-19.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.32

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
6
Winners / Losers
4 / 2
Best Trade
+5.31%
Worst Trade
-3.28%
Avg Trade Return
+1.12%
Avg Hold Time
7.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$106,592.46
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$396.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$396.39
Gross Return
+4.60%
Net Return (after fees)
+4.60%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 CMCSA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 135 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 6 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $8,617.59 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 9:55am ET $27.00 313 $8,451.00
🔴 SELL Nov 17, 2025 9:55am ET $27.50 313 $8,605.94 $8,616.03 +$154.94
(+1.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $27.75 310 $8,602.50
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 11:55am ET $29.18 310 $9,045.80 $9,059.33 +$443.30
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:45am ET $30.90 293 $9,053.70
🔴 SELL Mar 18, 2026 9:35am ET $29.95 293 $8,776.81 $8,782.45 $-276.88
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:40am ET $28.00 313 $8,765.56
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:40am ET $28.22 313 $8,832.86 $8,849.75 +$67.30
(+0.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 3:05pm ET $28.92 306 $8,847.99
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $30.45 306 $9,317.70 $9,319.46 +$469.71
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $30.29 307 $9,299.03
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 10:45am ET $29.30 307 $8,993.57 $9,013.99 $-305.47
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,013.99
Net Profit/Loss: $-986.01
Total Return: -9.86%
Back to Danny Dip