Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 13:42:00

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
43.2 neutral
20d Trend
-4.5%
5d Trend
-4.7%
EMA20 Dist
-2.7%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
74%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

41
Lifetime
Confidence: 79%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
18.4/35
Total Return
15.2/25
Win Rate
6.1/15
Profit Factor
7.0/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 52.2/100
× Confidence 0.79 = 41.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (79%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
12,953
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-22 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
131 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$14,038.88
Current Value
$16,182.13
Period P&L
$2,143.25
Max Drawdown
-12.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.66

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
5 / 3
Best Trade
+5.19%
Worst Trade
-3.04%
Avg Trade Return
+2.37%
Avg Hold Time
5.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$251,796.29
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,143.25
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,143.25
Gross Return
+15.27%
Net Return (after fees)
+15.27%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GOOGL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 131 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $14,038.88 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 10:40am ET $297.23 45 $13,375.35
🔴 SELL Dec 23, 2025 9:35am ET $312.21 45 $14,049.29 $14,180.47 +$673.94
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 2, 2026 11:05am ET $311.88 45 $14,034.38
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 10:55am ET $327.80 45 $14,751.00 $14,897.10 +$716.63
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:30am ET $327.67 45 $14,745.15
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 10:15am ET $344.67 45 $15,510.15 $15,662.10 +$765.00
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $314.86 49 $15,428.14
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 3:05pm ET $330.95 49 $16,216.55 $16,450.51 +$788.41
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.6h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 10:00am ET $297.60 55 $16,368.00
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 10:40am ET $312.83 55 $17,205.65 $17,288.16 +$837.65
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 10:25am ET $303.11 57 $17,277.27
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 11:25am ET $301.37 57 $17,178.09 $17,188.98 $-99.18
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $366.70 46 $16,868.20
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $355.56 46 $16,355.85 $16,676.63 $-512.35
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
9d held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $357.91 46 $16,463.86
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 10:50am ET $347.16 46 $15,969.36 $16,182.13 $-494.50
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,182.13
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,182.13
Total Return: +61.82%
Back to Danny Dip