Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:58:42

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
30.2 neutral
20d Trend
-10.9%
5d Trend
-5.8%
EMA20 Dist
-5.4%
ATR%
3.3%
Range Pos
4%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

21
Lifetime
Confidence: 77%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.9/35
Total Return
11.8/25
Win Rate
1.4/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
6.3/10
Raw Quality 27.3/100
× Confidence 0.77 = 21.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (77%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
16,519
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
137 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$13,523.82
Current Value
$12,566.64
Period P&L
$-957.18
Max Drawdown
-15.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.20

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
2 / 5
Best Trade
+5.93%
Worst Trade
-3.96%
Avg Trade Return
-0.78%
Avg Hold Time
5.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$182,256.46
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-957.18
Net P&L (after fees)
$-957.18
Gross Return
-7.08%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.08%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NFLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 137 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $13,523.82 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 11:25am ET $108.04 123 $13,289.41
🔴 SELL Nov 11, 2025 9:45am ET $113.47 123 $13,956.75 $14,012.19 +$667.34
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.9d held
2 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:55am ET $111.96 125 $13,994.50
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 10:05am ET $108.31 125 $13,538.75 $13,556.44 $-455.75
(-3.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 3, 2025 9:30am ET $104.55 129 $13,486.31
🔴 SELL Dec 5, 2025 9:30am ET $100.40 129 $12,951.60 $13,021.73 $-534.71
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 9:40am ET $96.96 134 $12,991.97
🔴 SELL Dec 10, 2025 1:35pm ET $94.04 134 $12,600.69 $12,630.45 $-391.28
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $83.18 151 $12,560.18
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 11:45am ET $80.67 151 $12,180.42 $12,250.69 $-379.76
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
13.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 9:35am ET $75.95 161 $12,227.95
🔴 SELL Feb 25, 2026 9:35am ET $80.45 161 $12,952.55 $12,975.29 +$724.60
(+5.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $96.05 135 $12,967.02
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 12:45pm ET $93.03 135 $12,558.38 $12,566.64 $-408.65
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,566.64
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,566.64
Total Return: +25.67%
Back to Danny Dip