Compendium › Danny Dip › ARM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
ARM
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 26 trades in period

+72.26%
Year to Date Return
$7,482.80
Current Value
58%
Win Rate
$4,343.96
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:21:39

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
46.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.9%
ATR%
6.3%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 3.9/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 3.9

30-Day Momentum

36
+12.7%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
8
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 44.1 Conf: 0.81×
Accelerating (+32 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,565
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$4,343.96
Current Value
$7,482.80
Period P&L
$3,138.83
Max Drawdown
-64.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.44

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
26
Winners / Losers
15 / 11
Best Trade
+10.73%
Worst Trade
-3.96%
Avg Trade Return
+2.26%
Avg Hold Time
1.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$302,777.49
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,138.83
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,138.83
Gross Return
+72.26%
Net Return (after fees)
+72.26%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 26 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $4,343.96 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 8, 2026 9:50am ET $112.46 38 $4,273.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:00am ET $108.82 38 $4,134.97 $4,205.45 $-138.51
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 10:00am ET $102.59 40 $4,103.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 9:30am ET $108.36 40 $4,334.20 $4,436.05 +$230.60
(+5.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.5h held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 12:00pm ET $113.13 39 $4,412.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET $120.96 39 $4,717.44 $4,741.42 +$305.37
(+6.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 9:35am ET $116.30 40 $4,652.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET $111.69 40 $4,467.60 $4,557.02 $-184.40
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 10:30am ET $106.55 42 $4,475.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 12:30pm ET $103.33 42 $4,339.86 $4,421.69 $-135.33
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:30am ET $102.26 43 $4,397.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:05am ET $108.14 43 $4,650.02 $4,674.54 +$252.84
(+5.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
36m held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $119.23 39 $4,649.98 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $124.78 39 $4,866.42 $4,890.98 +$216.44
(+4.7%) 		📅 Sim Ended
6.4h held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 9:55am ET $121.94 40 $4,877.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 18, 2026 9:30am ET $128.42 40 $5,136.80 $5,150.18 +$259.20
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 19, 2026 9:50am ET $123.50 41 $5,063.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 10:05am ET $129.70 41 $5,317.70 $5,404.58 +$254.40
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 26, 2026 10:20am ET $127.75 42 $5,365.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $122.83 42 $5,158.86 $5,197.94 $-206.64
(-3.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $118.77 43 $5,107.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 9:30am ET $124.76 43 $5,364.68 $5,455.51 +$257.57
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 11:05am ET $119.99 45 $5,399.55 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 12:20pm ET $116.33 45 $5,235.07 $5,291.04 $-164.47
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 10:05am ET $116.61 45 $5,247.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 1:35pm ET $122.44 45 $5,510.02 $5,553.61 +$262.57
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $125.50 44 $5,521.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET $137.83 44 $6,064.52 $6,096.35 +$542.74
(+9.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 12:05pm ET $133.98 45 $6,029.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $148.35 45 $6,675.97 $6,743.23 +$646.88
(+10.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:30am ET $147.31 45 $6,628.95 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 10:10am ET $142.50 45 $6,412.50 $6,526.78 $-216.45
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:40am ET $139.32 46 $6,408.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 10:05am ET $146.33 46 $6,731.01 $6,849.06 +$322.28
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 11:30am ET $152.96 44 $6,730.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET $148.18 44 $6,520.14 $6,638.96 $-210.10
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.1h held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $144.04 46 $6,626.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:10am ET $138.60 46 $6,375.60 $6,388.49 $-250.47
(-3.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 10:40am ET $146.95 43 $6,318.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET $156.46 43 $6,727.78 $6,797.63 +$409.14
(+6.5%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET $173.88 39 $6,781.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 9:45am ET $183.20 39 $7,144.80 $7,161.11 +$363.48
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
22.7h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 1:45pm ET $201.40 35 $7,048.89 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 9:30am ET $221.94 35 $7,767.95 $7,880.17 +$719.06
(+10.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
19.8h held
23 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 9:30am ET $224.49 35 $7,857.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET $217.30 35 $7,605.50 $7,628.52 $-251.65
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
24 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 9:40am ET $201.94 37 $7,471.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:50am ET $194.24 37 $7,187.06 $7,343.80 $-284.72
(-3.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
25 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $207.96 35 $7,278.60 — — —
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 11:25am ET $201.60 35 $7,056.00 $7,121.20 $-222.60
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.9h held
26 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 10:20am ET $221.69 32 $7,094.08 — — —
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 11:10am ET $232.99 32 $7,455.68 $7,482.80 +$361.60
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
50m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,482.80
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,517.20
Total Return: -25.17%
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