Compendium › Danny Dip › JPM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
JPM
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 4 trades in period

-5.25%
Year to Date Return
$9,921.35
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$10,470.60
Period Start
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PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 05:24:12

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.6 neutral
20d Trend
-0.6%
5d Trend
+1.6%
EMA20 Dist
+0.2%
ATR%
1.7%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 58%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 9.4/100
× Confidence 0.58 = 5.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (58%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,442
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-02 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
90 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$10,470.60
Current Value
$9,921.35
Period P&L
$-549.25
Max Drawdown
-23.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.34

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+5.09%
Worst Trade
-3.98%
Avg Trade Return
-1.27%
Avg Hold Time
3.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$81,299.29
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-549.25
Net P&L (after fees)
$-549.25
Gross Return
-5.25%
Net Return (after fees)
-5.25%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JPM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 90 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $10,470.60 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 10:20am ET $325.23 32 $10,407.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:10am ET $315.41 32 $10,092.96 $10,156.20 $-314.40
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $308.08 32 $9,858.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 2:00pm ET $323.75 32 $10,360.00 $10,657.64 +$501.44
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:10am ET $301.02 35 $10,535.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 10:10am ET $291.48 35 $10,201.80 $10,323.74 $-333.90
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:40am ET $297.73 34 $10,122.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $285.89 34 $9,720.26 $9,921.35 $-402.39
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,921.35
Net Profit/Loss: $-78.65
Total Return: -0.79%
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