Compendium › Danny Dip › NIO
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
NIO
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 17 trades in period

+28.48%
Year to Date Return
$17,397.88
Current Value
59%
Win Rate
$13,540.96
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:22:21

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.8%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
4.5%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
2.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

32
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.0/35
Total Return
15.1/25
Win Rate
2.0/15
Profit Factor
1.4/15
Consistency
5.5/10
Raw Quality 32.1/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 31.5

30-Day Momentum

16
+3.4%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 24.2 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-16 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
9,342
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$13,540.96
Current Value
$17,397.88
Period P&L
$3,856.86
Max Drawdown
-28.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.34

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
10 / 7
Best Trade
+6.25%
Worst Trade
-5.24%
Avg Trade Return
+1.59%
Avg Hold Time
2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$507,627.34
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,856.86
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,856.86
Gross Return
+28.48%
Net Return (after fees)
+28.48%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NIO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $13,540.96 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET $4.97 2,727 $13,539.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 12:15pm ET $4.82 2,727 $13,130.51 $13,131.97 $-409.05
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:30am ET $4.77 2,751 $13,130.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 14, 2026 9:30am ET $4.59 2,751 $12,613.34 $12,615.06 $-516.91
(-3.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:45am ET $4.55 2,773 $12,611.05 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 22, 2026 9:35am ET $4.83 2,773 $13,399.14 $13,403.15 +$788.09
(+6.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 9:50am ET $4.66 2,876 $13,402.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $4.94 2,876 $14,195.94 $14,196.92 +$793.78
(+5.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 30, 2026 10:50am ET $4.78 2,969 $14,192.71 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $4.53 2,969 $13,449.57 $13,453.78 $-743.14
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 9:55am ET $4.60 2,924 $13,450.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 11:30am ET $4.83 2,924 $14,122.92 $14,126.30 +$672.52
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.6h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $4.76 2,967 $14,122.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 10:45am ET $5.00 2,967 $14,833.81 $14,838.09 +$711.78
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:40am ET $4.74 3,129 $14,837.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $4.51 3,129 $14,127.43 $14,127.81 $-710.28
(-4.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET $4.72 2,993 $14,126.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 3:40pm ET $4.96 2,993 $14,847.08 $14,847.93 +$720.12
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.2d held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2026 11:30am ET $5.55 2,675 $14,846.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:45am ET $5.84 2,675 $15,622.00 $15,623.68 +$775.75
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $5.71 2,736 $15,622.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 12:15pm ET $5.51 2,736 $15,089.04 $15,090.16 $-533.52
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 9:35am ET $5.47 2,761 $15,088.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 10:05am ET $5.80 2,761 $16,000.00 $16,001.29 +$911.13
(+6.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 10:05am ET $6.08 2,631 $15,996.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $6.43 2,631 $16,917.33 $16,922.14 +$920.85
(+5.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 9, 2026 9:55am ET $6.26 2,701 $16,921.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 11:15am ET $6.04 2,701 $16,313.77 $16,314.14 $-608.00
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:50am ET $6.32 2,581 $16,311.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:35am ET $6.64 2,581 $17,150.74 $17,152.96 +$838.82
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 9:35am ET $6.17 2,780 $17,152.60 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:55am ET $5.95 2,780 $16,536.55 $16,536.91 $-616.05
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
17 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $5.71 2,894 $16,531.98 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 10:00am ET $6.01 2,894 $17,392.94 $17,397.88 +$860.97
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $17,397.88
Net Profit/Loss: +$7,397.88
Total Return: +73.98%
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