Compendium › Danny Dip › RBLX
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
RBLX
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 24 trades in period

-17.16%
Year to Date Return
$14,821.30
Current Value
29%
Win Rate
$17,891.15
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:23:49

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
33.4 neutral
20d Trend
-23.4%
5d Trend
-1.8%
EMA20 Dist
-9.2%
ATR%
7.4%
Range Pos
5%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

29
Lifetime
Confidence: 96%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.2/35
Total Return
14.1/25
Win Rate
2.5/15
Profit Factor
1.3/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 29.7/100
× Confidence 0.96 = 28.7

30-Day Momentum

22
+5.3%
30d Return
43%
Win Rate
7
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 28.1 Conf: 0.78×
Cooling (-7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (96%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,271
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$17,891.15
Current Value
$14,821.30
Period P&L
$-3,069.87
Max Drawdown
-32.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.18

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
24
Winners / Losers
7 / 17
Best Trade
+6.81%
Worst Trade
-4.30%
Avg Trade Return
-0.75%
Avg Hold Time
2.1d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$720,992.70
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-3,069.87
Net P&L (after fees)
$-3,069.87
Gross Return
-17.16%
Net Return (after fees)
-17.16%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RBLX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 24 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $17,891.15 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 10:20am ET $81.78 221 $18,073.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 2, 2026 10:10am ET $79.02 221 $17,463.42 $17,517.68 $-609.96
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
14d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $77.54 225 $17,446.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET $74.50 225 $16,762.50 $16,833.68 $-684.00
(-3.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 10:40am ET $83.26 202 $16,818.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 15, 2026 12:25pm ET $87.57 202 $17,689.14 $17,704.30 +$870.62
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $83.88 211 $17,698.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 11:00am ET $81.35 211 $17,164.85 $17,170.47 $-533.83
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 10:05am ET $74.20 231 $17,140.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 26, 2026 10:00am ET $71.85 231 $16,597.35 $16,627.76 $-542.71
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
6 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 11:40am ET $74.11 224 $16,600.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 30, 2026 10:10am ET $70.92 224 $15,886.08 $15,913.20 $-714.56
(-4.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET $65.32 243 $15,873.37 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:20am ET $63.28 243 $15,378.25 $15,418.09 $-495.11
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
48m held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET $63.01 244 $15,374.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 2:30pm ET $60.91 244 $14,862.04 $14,905.69 $-512.40
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4.5h held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 10, 2026 9:50am ET $73.46 202 $14,839.93 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 9:45am ET $70.48 202 $14,236.96 $14,302.72 $-602.97
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 9:30am ET $61.41 232 $14,247.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 9:50am ET $64.70 232 $15,010.40 $15,066.00 +$763.28
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:50am ET $66.36 227 $15,064.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:50am ET $63.60 227 $14,437.20 $14,438.35 $-627.65
(-4.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 10:30am ET $67.27 214 $14,395.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 1:50pm ET $65.24 214 $13,961.36 $14,003.93 $-434.42
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 9:50am ET $61.80 226 $13,966.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 11:15am ET $59.85 226 $13,526.10 $13,563.23 $-440.70
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 10:35am ET $58.33 232 $13,532.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 13, 2026 9:35am ET $56.32 232 $13,066.26 $13,096.93 $-466.30
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23h held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:40am ET $55.44 236 $13,085.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 12:55pm ET $53.71 236 $12,674.38 $12,686.29 $-410.64
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 30, 2026 10:45am ET $51.35 247 $12,683.45 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 31, 2026 9:50am ET $54.05 247 $13,350.35 $13,353.19 +$666.90
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.1h held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:35am ET $56.23 237 $13,326.51 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET $59.29 237 $14,051.73 $14,078.41 +$725.22
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.1h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 6, 2026 10:40am ET $57.21 246 $14,073.66 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 3:05pm ET $55.46 246 $13,643.16 $13,647.91 $-430.50
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.2d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 9:50am ET $53.20 256 $13,619.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 13, 2026 9:35am ET $56.50 256 $14,464.00 $14,492.71 +$844.80
(+6.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 1:15pm ET $59.90 241 $14,435.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 10:10am ET $63.42 241 $15,285.42 $15,342.84 +$850.13
(+5.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
21 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $56.80 270 $15,336.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 12:45pm ET $55.08 270 $14,870.25 $14,877.09 $-465.75
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held
22 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 10:50am ET $56.46 263 $14,850.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET $54.53 263 $14,342.70 $14,369.68 $-507.41
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held
23 🟢 BUY May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $42.52 337 $14,329.24 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:50am ET $45.42 337 $15,305.56 $15,346.00 +$976.32
(+6.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
20m held
24 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 10:10am ET $46.48 330 $15,338.40 — — —
🔴 SELL May 5, 2026 1:35pm ET $44.89 330 $14,813.70 $14,821.30 $-524.70
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,821.30
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,821.30
Total Return: +48.21%
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