SOLUSD Danny Dip's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 41 trades in period
-28.26%
Year to Date Return
$1,246.85
Current Value
37%
Win Rate
$1,608.70
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
20.6 oversold
20d Trend
-38.8%
5d Trend
-41.0%
EMA20 Dist
-37.6%
ATR%
13.7%
Range Pos
0%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
3
Lifetime
Confidence: 93%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.2/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.2/10
Raw Quality
3.4/100
× Confidence 0.93
= 3.2
30-Day Momentum
Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (93%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
36,181
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
126 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$1,608.70
Current Value
$1,246.85
Period P&L
$-454.61
Max Drawdown
-92.3%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.05
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
41
Winners / Losers
15 /
26
Best Trade
+8.10%
Worst Trade
-5.28%
Avg Trade Return
-0.23%
Avg Hold Time
21.5h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$94,077.30
Estimated Fees
$235.19
Gross P&L
$-454.61
Net P&L (after fees)
$-689.80
Gross Return
-28.26%
Net Return (after fees)
-42.88%
⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker).
This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 SOLUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 126 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 41 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $1,608.70 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 11:40am ET | $138.50 | 12 | $1,608.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 4:55am ET | $134.30 | 12 | $1,559.94 | $1,552.02 |
$-56.71 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.7d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 18, 2026 6:45pm ET | $138.47 | 11 | $1,552.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 18, 2026 7:10pm ET | $133.15 | 11 | $1,492.39 | $1,484.78 |
$-67.24 (-3.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
24m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 18, 2026 7:15pm ET | $134.10 | 11 | $1,484.78 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 3:10am ET | $129.65 | 11 | $1,435.51 | $1,428.21 |
$-56.57 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3d held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:40am ET | $126.38 | 11 | $1,428.21 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 25, 2026 11:10am ET | $122.53 | 11 | $1,384.70 | $1,377.67 |
$-50.54 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 25, 2026 12:05pm ET | $122.00 | 11 | $1,377.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 25, 2026 2:50pm ET | $117.71 | 11 | $1,329.22 | $1,322.45 |
$-55.21 (-3.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 25, 2026 2:55pm ET | $117.85 | 11 | $1,322.45 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 10:10am ET | $124.79 | 11 | $1,400.33 | $1,393.52 |
+$71.07 (+5.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.3h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 10:05am ET | $118.29 | 12 | $1,393.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 8:40pm ET | $113.60 | 12 | $1,338.27 | $1,331.44 |
$-62.08 (-4.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10.6h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 8:45pm ET | $113.99 | 12 | $1,331.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2026 9:25am ET | $110.18 | 12 | $1,286.94 | $1,280.40 |
$-51.05 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2026 9:30am ET | $109.96 | 12 | $1,280.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2026 11:45am ET | $106.34 | 12 | $1,238.24 | $1,231.95 |
$-48.45 (-3.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.3h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 31, 2026 12:05pm ET | $105.04 | 12 | $1,231.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 31, 2026 1:40pm ET | $100.18 | 12 | $1,174.95 | $1,168.93 |
$-63.02 (-4.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.6h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $102.45 | 11 | $1,168.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 1, 2026 6:05pm ET | $98.66 | 11 | $1,125.69 | $1,119.95 |
$-48.98 (-3.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
8.6h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 1, 2026 10:10pm ET | $98.97 | 11 | $1,119.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:35am ET | $104.55 | 11 | $1,183.09 | $1,177.34 |
+$57.39 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
11.4h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 1:45pm ET | $97.03 | 12 | $1,177.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:05am ET | $93.90 | 12 | $1,139.36 | $1,133.57 |
$-43.77 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
19.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $93.29 | 12 | $1,133.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 12:25pm ET | $90.43 | 12 | $1,098.81 | $1,093.23 |
$-40.33 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 4:45pm ET | $90.62 | 12 | $1,093.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $87.90 | 12 | $1,060.43 | $1,055.05 |
$-38.19 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.3h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:05am ET | $87.18 | 12 | $1,055.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:25am ET | $84.05 | 12 | $1,017.12 | $1,011.94 |
$-43.11 (-3.6%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:30am ET | $83.67 | 12 | $1,011.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 3:10pm ET | $81.10 | 12 | $980.86 | $975.88 |
$-36.06 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.7h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 3:15pm ET | $80.20 | 12 | $975.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:00pm ET | $77.50 | 12 | $943.07 | $938.27 |
$-37.60 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 7:05pm ET | $76.32 | 12 | $938.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET | $72.29 | 12 | $888.72 | $884.15 |
$-54.12 (-5.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
6m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 7:15pm ET | $67.76 | 13 | $884.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 7:30pm ET | $73.25 | 13 | $955.78 | $951.18 |
+$67.03 (+8.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 7:35pm ET | $75.24 | 13 | $951.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 8:45pm ET | $79.53 | 13 | $1,005.42 | $1,000.53 |
+$49.34 (+5.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:20pm ET | $77.03 | 13 | $1,000.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 12:50am ET | $81.53 | 13 | $1,059.03 | $1,053.88 |
+$53.35 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.5h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 2:05am ET | $78.73 | 13 | $1,053.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 8:10am ET | $82.74 | 13 | $1,107.56 | $1,102.15 |
+$48.27 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
6.1h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 1:05pm ET | $85.34 | 13 | $1,102.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 12:40am ET | $85.92 | 13 | $1,109.60 | $1,104.07 |
+$1.92 (+0.7%) |
📅 Sim Ended
3.5d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 22, 2026 8:10pm ET | $79.27 | 14 | $1,104.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 8:20pm ET | $76.70 | 14 | $1,068.28 | $1,068.28 |
$-41.23 (-3.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 6:45pm ET | $87.15 | 12 | $1,068.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 11:50am ET | $84.51 | 12 | $1,035.92 | $1,035.92 |
$-37.62 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
17.1h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 5:55am ET | $84.65 | 12 | $1,035.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 11:35am ET | $82.08 | 12 | $1,004.47 | $1,004.47 |
$-36.55 (-3.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.7h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 28, 2026 1:35am ET | $78.91 | 13 | $1,004.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 28, 2026 3:25pm ET | $83.46 | 13 | $1,062.39 | $1,062.39 |
+$52.75 (+5.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
13.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 1, 2026 12:20pm ET | $83.48 | 13 | $1,062.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 10:20am ET | $88.10 | 13 | $1,121.19 | $1,121.19 |
+$53.34 (+5.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 2, 2026 12:40pm ET | $87.30 | 13 | $1,121.19 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 3:40am ET | $84.57 | 13 | $1,086.13 | $1,086.13 |
$-40.58 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 12:10pm ET | $84.49 | 13 | $1,086.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 4, 2026 3:50am ET | $88.90 | 13 | $1,142.82 | $1,142.82 |
+$51.12 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
15.7h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 11:05am ET | $88.02 | 13 | $1,142.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:05am ET | $85.05 | 13 | $1,104.26 | $1,104.26 |
$-44.18 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 10:05am ET | $84.20 | 13 | $1,104.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $81.57 | 13 | $1,069.77 | $1,069.77 |
$-39.93 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 11:40am ET | $89.76 | 12 | $1,069.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 14, 2026 5:45am ET | $86.74 | 12 | $1,033.77 | $1,033.77 |
$-41.25 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.1h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 8:30am ET | $90.72 | 11 | $1,033.77 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 9:10am ET | $87.67 | 11 | $999.02 | $999.02 |
$-39.84 (-3.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 21, 2026 8:00pm ET | $86.60 | 12 | $999.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:50am ET | $90.93 | 12 | $1,048.97 | $1,048.97 |
+$44.83 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.6d held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 29, 2026 6:50pm ET | $79.29 | 13 | $1,048.97 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 29, 2026 10:50pm ET | $83.74 | 13 | $1,107.84 | $1,107.84 |
+$53.48 (+5.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 6:00am ET | $80.44 | 14 | $1,107.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 2:45am ET | $84.65 | 14 | $1,165.82 | $1,165.82 |
+$52.30 (+5.2%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.8h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 2:20pm ET | $83.91 | 14 | $1,165.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 6:15pm ET | $81.31 | 14 | $1,129.70 | $1,129.70 |
$-41.86 (-3.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 9:45pm ET | $79.03 | 14 | $1,129.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 6:05pm ET | $83.02 | 14 | $1,186.74 | $1,186.74 |
+$51.24 (+5.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.8d held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 11, 2026 9:50pm ET | $82.13 | 14 | $1,186.74 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 6:55pm ET | $86.29 | 14 | $1,246.85 | $1,246.85 |
+$54.03 (+5.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.9d held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$1,246.85
Net Profit/Loss:
$-8,753.15
Total Return:
-87.53%