Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-06 08:57:17

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
82.9 overbought
20d Trend
+25.5%
5d Trend
+7.3%
EMA20 Dist
+10.2%
ATR%
2.5%
Range Pos
100%
Bounce Ratio
4.2×
Green/Red 10d
8/2
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

7
Lifetime
Confidence: 74%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.7/35
Total Return
4.4/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.3/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality 9.4/100
× Confidence 0.74 = 6.9

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (74%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
46,549
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
515 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,111.92
Current Value
$10,237.55
Total P&L
$1,125.62
Max Drawdown
-12.5%
Sharpe Ratio
0.19

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
17
Winners / Losers
7 / 10
Best Trade
+5.57%
Worst Trade
-3.97%
Avg Trade Return
+0.70%
Avg Hold Time
9.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$324,707.56
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,125.62
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,125.62
Gross Return
+12.35%
Net Return (after fees)
+12.35%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 GILD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 515 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $9,111.92 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 25, 2024 10:50am ET $65.43 140 $9,160.20
🔴 SELL May 9, 2024 10:50am ET $64.95 140 $9,093.00 $9,131.52 $-67.20
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 10:30am ET $74.45 122 $9,082.90
🔴 SELL Aug 19, 2024 10:30am ET $74.31 122 $9,065.82 $9,114.44 $-17.08
(-0.2%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 15, 2024 10:10am ET $89.81 101 $9,071.06
🔴 SELL Nov 19, 2024 9:30am ET $86.25 101 $8,710.75 $8,754.13 $-360.32
(-4.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
4 🟢 BUY Dec 4, 2024 9:35am ET $90.74 96 $8,711.04
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2024 9:35am ET $92.86 96 $8,914.56 $8,957.65 +$203.52
(+2.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 19, 2025 9:45am ET $107.10 83 $8,889.30
🔴 SELL Apr 1, 2025 11:05am ET $112.62 83 $9,347.05 $9,415.39 +$457.75
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $104.39 90 $9,395.10
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 9:30am ET $100.85 90 $9,076.50 $9,096.79 $-318.60
(-3.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 10:45am ET $102.24 88 $8,997.12
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2025 10:30am ET $107.43 88 $9,453.40 $9,553.07 +$456.28
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
14d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 25, 2025 10:30am ET $102.68 93 $9,549.24
🔴 SELL May 6, 2025 11:40am ET $99.49 93 $9,252.11 $9,255.94 $-297.14
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
11.1d held
9 🟢 BUY May 8, 2025 9:30am ET $95.66 96 $9,183.36
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 9:35am ET $100.78 96 $9,674.88 $9,747.46 +$491.52
(+5.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 11, 2025 9:30am ET $110.50 88 $9,724.00
🔴 SELL Jul 25, 2025 9:30am ET $116.44 88 $10,246.72 $10,270.18 +$522.72
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
14d held
11 🟢 BUY Jul 28, 2025 10:35am ET $113.28 90 $10,194.75
🔴 SELL Aug 7, 2025 9:45am ET $109.76 90 $9,878.40 $9,953.83 $-316.35
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
12 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2025 9:45am ET $115.80 85 $9,843.00
🔴 SELL Aug 29, 2025 11:55am ET $112.28 85 $9,543.80 $9,654.63 $-299.20
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held
13 🟢 BUY Sep 15, 2025 9:30am ET $112.31 85 $9,545.93
🔴 SELL Sep 29, 2025 9:30am ET $111.65 85 $9,490.25 $9,598.95 $-55.68
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
14 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 9:55am ET $120.33 79 $9,506.07
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 9:50am ET $126.47 79 $9,991.13 $10,084.01 +$485.06
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 5, 2026 9:55am ET $117.95 85 $10,025.75
🔴 SELL Jan 7, 2026 9:45am ET $124.52 85 $10,584.20 $10,642.46 +$558.45
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 10:05am ET $145.81 72 $10,498.32
🔴 SELL Mar 17, 2026 11:05am ET $144.80 72 $10,425.61 $10,569.75 $-72.71
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 9:50am ET $132.37 79 $10,457.23
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 11:35am ET $128.16 79 $10,125.03 $10,237.55 $-332.20
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,237.55
Net Profit/Loss: +$237.55
Total Return: +2.38%
Back to Danny Dip