Compendium › Danny Dip › IBM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
IBM
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

2024-04-25 13:30:00+00 to 2026-06-22 15:10:00+00 • 27 trades executed

+47.80%
2 Years Return
$14,322.30
Current Value
54%
Win Rate
$9,690.28
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 2: FEAR TRANSITION
⚡ Fear Bear (strategies thrive)
Signals generated 2026-06-22 11:20:57

Fear building. Reversal strategies are becoming viable. Watch for bounce signals.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
41.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.4%
5d Trend
-6.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.9%
ATR%
3.9%
Range Pos
40%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

42
Lifetime
Confidence: 78%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
25.2/35
Total Return
13.7/25
Win Rate
4.4/15
Profit Factor
4.4/15
Consistency
6.4/10
Raw Quality 54.1/100
× Confidence 0.78 = 42.1

30-Day Momentum

15
+3.7%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 22.7 Conf: 0.66×
Declining (-27 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (78%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
49,361
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-06-24 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
527 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,690.28
Current Value
$14,322.30
Total P&L
$4,632.02
Max Drawdown
-6.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.37

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
26
Winners / Losers
14 / 12
Best Trade
+6.97%
Worst Trade
-3.72%
Avg Trade Return
+1.62%
Avg Hold Time
4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$615,325.18
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,632.02
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,632.02
Gross Return
+47.80%
Net Return (after fees)
+47.80%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 527 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $9,690.28 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $182.19 53 $9,656.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 8, 2024 10:55am ET $191.37 53 $10,142.40 $10,176.61 +$486.33
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 24, 2024 9:30am ET $218.50 46 $10,051.00 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 29, 2024 9:35am ET $211.43 46 $9,725.78 $9,851.39 $-325.22
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2025 10:25am ET $247.57 39 $9,655.19 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 7, 2025 2:15pm ET $260.10 39 $10,143.90 $10,340.10 +$488.71
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.2d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 18, 2025 10:55am ET $245.86 42 $10,326.12 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2025 9:40am ET $238.36 42 $10,011.23 $10,025.20 $-314.90
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 4, 2025 9:40am ET $236.77 42 $9,944.34 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 1:10pm ET $229.49 42 $9,638.58 $9,719.44 $-305.76
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 3:40pm ET $218.10 44 $9,596.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET $230.64 44 $10,148.16 $10,271.20 +$551.76
(+5.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2025 9:30am ET $227.07 45 $10,218.15 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2025 10:00am ET $238.47 45 $10,731.15 $10,784.20 +$513.00
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2025 9:30am ET $258.76 41 $10,608.96 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $249.90 41 $10,245.90 $10,421.15 $-363.06
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
9 🟢 BUY Oct 23, 2025 9:30am ET $271.79 38 $10,328.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 23, 2025 3:50pm ET $285.45 38 $10,847.10 $10,940.23 +$519.08
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Oct 31, 2025 10:15am ET $302.10 36 $10,875.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 12, 2025 9:30am ET $323.17 36 $11,634.12 $11,698.74 +$758.52
(+7.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
12d held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET $297.60 39 $11,606.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $317.36 39 $12,377.04 $12,469.38 +$770.64
(+6.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 3, 2026 9:35am ET $305.84 40 $12,233.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 10:05am ET $295.16 40 $11,806.40 $12,042.18 $-427.20
(-3.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
30m held
13 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 10:05am ET $283.45 42 $11,904.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 11:40am ET $297.76 42 $12,505.92 $12,643.20 +$601.02
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 10:20am ET $283.36 44 $12,467.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 1:30pm ET $274.79 44 $12,090.76 $12,266.12 $-377.08
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held
15 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:20am ET $249.75 49 $12,237.76 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 2:00pm ET $240.47 49 $11,783.03 $11,811.39 $-454.73
(-3.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.7h held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:40am ET $235.97 50 $11,798.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 10:00am ET $248.72 50 $12,436.00 $12,448.89 +$637.50
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 10:00am ET $247.67 50 $12,383.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:50am ET $239.40 50 $11,970.00 $12,035.39 $-413.50
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
14d held
18 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 10:00am ET $235.65 51 $12,017.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 3:00pm ET $247.49 51 $12,621.99 $12,639.49 +$604.10
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.2d held
19 🟢 BUY Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET $230.82 54 $12,464.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 9:40am ET $223.48 54 $12,067.65 $12,242.86 $-396.63
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10m held
20 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 9:50am ET $225.48 54 $12,175.92 — — —
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 9:50am ET $225.23 54 $12,162.15 $12,229.09 $-13.77
(-0.1%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
21 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 10:40am ET $213.07 57 $12,144.99 — — —
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 9:30am ET $225.50 57 $12,853.50 $12,937.60 +$708.51
(+5.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
22 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 9:35am ET $216.93 59 $12,798.87 — — —
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $231.72 59 $13,671.48 $13,810.21 +$872.61
(+6.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
23.9h held
23 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:35am ET $247.18 55 $13,595.03 — — —
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 9:30am ET $260.53 55 $14,329.15 $14,544.33 +$734.12
(+5.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2d held
24 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 3:15pm ET $315.92 46 $14,532.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 3:55pm ET $332.41 46 $15,290.86 $15,302.87 +$758.54
(+5.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1d held
25 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 9:45am ET $291.62 52 $15,164.24 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 12:45pm ET $282.15 52 $14,671.80 $14,810.43 $-492.44
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3h held
26 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 12:00pm ET $274.73 53 $14,560.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 10:10am ET $265.52 53 $14,072.56 $14,322.30 $-488.13
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,322.30
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,322.30
Total Return: +43.22%
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