Compendium › Danny Dip › JPM
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
JPM
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

2024-01-16 14:40:00+00 to 2026-05-05 19:55:00+00 • 20 trades executed

-2.65%
2 Years Return
$9,921.35
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$10,191.60
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-06 04:26:40

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.6 neutral
20d Trend
-0.6%
5d Trend
+1.6%
EMA20 Dist
+0.2%
ATR%
1.7%
Range Pos
42%
Bounce Ratio
0.9×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 58%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.6/10
Raw Quality 9.4/100
× Confidence 0.58 = 5.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (58%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
55,349
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-06 → 2026-05-05
Trading Days
530 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,191.60
Current Value
$9,921.35
Total P&L
$-270.25
Max Drawdown
-23.6%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.02

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
18
Winners / Losers
9 / 9
Best Trade
+6.07%
Worst Trade
-7.03%
Avg Trade Return
-0.06%
Avg Hold Time
5.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$337,376.94
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-270.25
Net P&L (after fees)
$-270.25
Gross Return
-2.65%
Net Return (after fees)
-2.65%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JPM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 530 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $10,191.60 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 2, 2024 10:15am ET $201.35 50 $10,067.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $191.46 50 $9,572.75 $9,696.85 $-494.75
(-4.9%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
2 🟢 BUY Sep 10, 2024 10:10am ET $208.88 46 $9,608.48 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 10, 2024 11:20am ET $202.58 46 $9,318.68 $9,407.05 $-289.80
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2024 9:55am ET $239.43 39 $9,337.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2024 9:55am ET $243.14 39 $9,482.46 $9,551.76 +$144.71
(+1.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2025 10:35am ET $270.62 35 $9,471.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2025 9:50am ET $262.26 35 $9,179.10 $9,259.16 $-292.60
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2025 9:30am ET $254.24 36 $9,152.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2025 11:00am ET $246.35 36 $8,868.60 $8,975.12 $-284.04
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2025 9:35am ET $244.83 36 $8,813.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2025 9:30am ET $235.17 36 $8,466.12 $8,627.36 $-347.76
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $234.01 36 $8,424.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET $217.55 36 $7,831.80 $8,034.98 $-592.38
(-7.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $204.44 39 $7,973.16 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:10am ET $216.27 39 $8,434.53 $8,496.35 +$461.37
(+5.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
42m held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 3:35pm ET $214.14 39 $8,351.46 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET $227.15 39 $8,858.66 $9,003.55 +$507.20
(+6.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Jul 8, 2025 10:45am ET $282.46 31 $8,756.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 22, 2025 10:45am ET $291.50 31 $9,036.50 $9,283.69 +$280.14
(+3.2%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
11 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 9:30am ET $287.87 32 $9,211.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2025 9:30am ET $293.51 32 $9,392.32 $9,464.17 +$180.48
(+2.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
12 🟢 BUY Oct 14, 2025 9:30am ET $299.06 31 $9,270.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 28, 2025 9:30am ET $306.23 31 $9,493.13 $9,686.44 +$222.27
(+2.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
13 🟢 BUY Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $301.87 32 $9,659.84 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 9:30am ET $310.84 32 $9,946.88 $9,973.48 +$287.04
(+3.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
14 🟢 BUY Dec 9, 2025 12:35pm ET $306.24 32 $9,799.68 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 9:35am ET $321.78 32 $10,296.80 $10,470.60 +$497.12
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
15 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 10:20am ET $325.23 32 $10,407.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 10:10am ET $315.41 32 $10,092.96 $10,156.20 $-314.40
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
16 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $308.08 32 $9,858.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 2:00pm ET $323.75 32 $10,360.00 $10,657.64 +$501.44
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
1.2d held
17 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:10am ET $301.02 35 $10,535.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 24, 2026 10:10am ET $291.48 35 $10,201.80 $10,323.74 $-333.90
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
18 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:40am ET $297.73 34 $10,122.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $285.89 34 $9,720.26 $9,921.35 $-402.39
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,921.35
Net Profit/Loss: $-78.65
Total Return: -0.79%
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