Compendium › Danny Dip › MCD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MCD
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-06 19:55:00+00 • 6 trades executed

+8.84%
2 Years Return
$10,873.78
Current Value
75%
Win Rate
$9,990.74
Period Start
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PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 04:16:29

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
71.6 overbought
20d Trend
+5.3%
5d Trend
+2.7%
EMA20 Dist
+2.8%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
87%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 17%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
66.5/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
80.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
69.6/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.17 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (17%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
46,342
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
519 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$9,990.74
Current Value
$10,873.78
Total P&L
$883.04
Max Drawdown
-3.0%
Sharpe Ratio
0.64

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
4
Winners / Losers
3 / 1
Best Trade
+5.31%
Worst Trade
-3.07%
Avg Trade Return
+2.20%
Avg Hold Time
6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$82,903.65
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$883.04
Net P&L (after fees)
$883.04
Gross Return
+8.84%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.84%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MCD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 519 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $9,990.74 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jul 24, 2024 9:30am ET $248.51 40 $9,940.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 29, 2024 10:00am ET $261.70 40 $10,468.00 $10,518.55 +$527.80
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 23, 2024 9:30am ET $295.19 35 $10,331.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 6, 2024 9:30am ET $299.42 35 $10,479.70 $10,666.60 +$148.05
(+1.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 11, 2025 11:00am ET $307.75 34 $10,463.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2025 10:20am ET $298.31 34 $10,142.54 $10,345.81 $-320.79
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $293.58 35 $10,275.13 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 11, 2025 9:45am ET $308.66 35 $10,803.10 $10,873.78 +$527.98
(+5.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,873.78
Net Profit/Loss: +$873.78
Total Return: +8.74%
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