Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-15 19:21:33

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.39%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.78
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.5
Unsettled
⛈️ 1 storm day in 7d
RSI(14)
74 overbought
20d Trend
+6.1%
5d Trend
+7.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored Jun 15, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 73%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
16.6/35
Total Return
12.7/25
Win Rate
7.5/15
Profit Factor
5.5/15
Consistency
5.8/10
Raw Quality 48.1/100
× Confidence 0.73 = 35.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (73%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
63,262
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-06-17 → 2026-06-15
Trading Days
534 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$13,275.61
Total P&L
$3,275.60
Max Drawdown
-6.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.49

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
15
Winners / Losers
9 / 6
Best Trade
+8.15%
Worst Trade
-3.19%
Avg Trade Return
+2.00%
Avg Hold Time
7.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$353,260.10
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$3,275.60
Net P&L (after fees)
$3,275.60
Gross Return
+32.76%
Net Return (after fees)
+32.76%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WMT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 534 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 25, 2024 9:50am ET $66.59 150 $9,988.50
🔴 SELL Jul 5, 2024 2:30pm ET $69.93 150 $10,489.01 $10,500.51 +$500.50
(+5.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
10.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 2, 2024 11:10am ET $68.00 154 $10,472.00
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2024 9:30am ET $73.54 154 $11,325.16 $11,353.67 +$853.16
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
12.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Dec 23, 2024 9:40am ET $89.87 126 $11,323.62
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2025 9:40am ET $91.11 126 $11,479.86 $11,509.91 +$156.24
(+1.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2025 9:30am ET $97.77 117 $11,439.00
🔴 SELL Feb 21, 2025 12:05pm ET $94.80 117 $11,091.60 $11,162.51 $-347.40
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 7, 2025 10:35am ET $91.95 121 $11,125.95
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2025 9:35am ET $89.13 121 $10,784.91 $10,821.47 $-341.04
(-3.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2025 10:55am ET $86.17 125 $10,771.25
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2025 10:55am ET $85.31 125 $10,663.75 $10,713.97 $-107.50
(-1.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $80.86 132 $10,673.52
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:15am ET $85.41 132 $11,274.12 $11,314.57 +$600.60
(+5.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
48m held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2025 12:00pm ET $88.64 127 $11,257.28
🔴 SELL Apr 11, 2025 1:40pm ET $93.22 127 $11,838.94 $11,896.23 +$581.66
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held
9 🟢 BUY May 15, 2025 9:30am ET $92.99 127 $11,809.10
🔴 SELL May 16, 2025 10:00am ET $97.84 127 $12,425.68 $12,512.82 +$616.59
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Aug 21, 2025 9:30am ET $98.45 127 $12,503.15
🔴 SELL Aug 26, 2025 12:15pm ET $95.49 127 $12,126.60 $12,136.26 $-376.56
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Jan 20, 2026 10:30am ET $117.84 102 $12,020.08
🔴 SELL Feb 2, 2026 2:35pm ET $123.83 102 $12,631.17 $12,747.35 +$611.09
(+5.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
13.2d held
12 🟢 BUY Feb 20, 2026 9:35am ET $122.10 104 $12,697.88
🔴 SELL Feb 27, 2026 3:50pm ET $128.50 104 $13,364.00 $13,413.47 +$666.12
(+5.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
7.3d held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 10:10am ET $123.68 108 $13,357.44
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 10:55am ET $119.94 108 $12,953.61 $13,009.64 $-403.83
(-3.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
14d held
14 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 9:30am ET $123.83 105 $13,002.15
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 9:55am ET $119.88 105 $12,587.40 $12,594.89 $-414.75
(-3.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
15 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 10:55am ET $115.15 109 $12,551.34
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 10:15am ET $121.39 109 $13,232.05 $13,275.61 +$680.72
(+5.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
13d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $13,275.61
Net Profit/Loss: +$3,275.61
Total Return: +32.76%
Back to Danny Dip