Compendium › Danny Dip › XLF
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
XLF
Alpaca Tradeable

Danny Dip's Analysis

2024-01-02 00:00:00+00 to 2026-05-06 19:55:00+00 • 7 trades executed

+8.35%
2 Years Return
$10,834.70
Current Value
57%
Win Rate
$10,000.00
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 04:17:10

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
44.4 neutral
20d Trend
-1.7%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.7%
ATR%
1.2%
Range Pos
44%
Bounce Ratio
1.3×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored Mar 6, 2026

0
Lifetime
Confidence: 20%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
57.6/35
Total Return
45.6/25
Win Rate
80.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
83.3/10
Raw Quality 0.0/100
× Confidence 0.20 = 0.0

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (20%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles Used
68,089
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Date Range
2024-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
534 days
Data Gaps
None (21 market holidays)

Market Closed (21 days)

2024-05-27 — Memorial Day, 2024-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2024-07-04 — Independence Day, 2024-09-02 — Labor Day, 2024-11-28 — Thanksgiving, 2024-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2025-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2025-01-09 — National Day of Mourning (Carter), 2025-01-20 — MLK Jr. Day, 2025-02-17 — Presidents' Day, 2025-04-18 — Good Friday, 2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day ... and 1 more
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary

Starting Capital
$10,000.00
Current Value
$10,834.70
Total P&L
$834.71
Max Drawdown
-7.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.29

Trade Statistics

Total Trades
7
Winners / Losers
4 / 3
Best Trade
+5.69%
Worst Trade
-4.73%
Avg Trade Return
+1.24%
Avg Hold Time
6d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$145,774.36
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$834.71
Net P&L (after fees)
$834.71
Gross Return
+8.35%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.35%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XLF Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 534 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Complete Trade History

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Danny Dip had $10,000.00 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2024 9:30am ET $40.77 245 $9,988.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 14, 2024 10:20am ET $42.83 245 $10,492.13 $10,503.48 +$503.48
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2025 9:45am ET $50.41 208 $10,485.28 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 7, 2025 10:10am ET $48.86 208 $10,162.88 $10,181.08 $-322.40
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 3, 2025 9:30am ET $48.45 210 $10,174.50 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 4, 2025 9:30am ET $46.16 210 $9,693.60 $9,700.18 $-480.90
(-4.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2025 9:30am ET $42.63 227 $9,677.01 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2025 10:15am ET $44.89 227 $10,190.03 $10,213.20 +$513.02
(+5.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
48m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2025 3:45pm ET $43.24 236 $10,204.64 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2025 1:20pm ET $45.70 236 $10,785.20 $10,793.76 +$580.56
(+5.7%) 		🎯 +5% Target
21.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 9:45am ET $51.15 211 $10,792.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 15, 2025 9:45am ET $53.02 211 $11,186.17 $11,187.27 +$393.52
(+3.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
14d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:50am ET $50.90 219 $11,147.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 10:10am ET $49.29 219 $10,794.53 $10,834.70 $-352.57
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
13.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,834.70
Net Profit/Loss: +$834.70
Total Return: +8.35%
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