TLT Felix Firstr's Analysis
Last 3 Months: 2025-11-14 to present • 36 trades in period
+0.04%
Last 3 Months Return
$10,441.78
Current Value
53%
Win Rate
$10,437.39
Period Start
Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)
Hybrid data: Polygon.io (historical) + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Polygon + Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
10,516
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-14 → 2026-02-13
Trading Days
75 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)
Period Start Capital
$10,437.39
Current Value
$10,441.78
Period P&L
$4.39
Max Drawdown
-2.6%
Sharpe Ratio
0.01
Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)
Trades in Period
36
Winners / Losers
19 /
17
Best Trade
+0.54%
Worst Trade
-0.44%
Avg Trade Return
+0.00%
Avg Hold Time
1.2h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$746,625.99
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4.39
Net P&L (after fees)
$4.39
Gross Return
+0.04%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.04%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 TLT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 75 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Last 3 Months - 36 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Felix Firstr had $10,437.39 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 14, 2025 10:10am ET | $89.28 | 116 | $10,355.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 14, 2025 11:25am ET | $89.09 | 116 | $10,334.44 | $10,415.93 |
$-21.46 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 17, 2025 9:40am ET | $89.02 | 117 | $10,414.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 17, 2025 10:55am ET | $89.14 | 117 | $10,429.47 | $10,430.65 |
+$14.72 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 19, 2025 10:10am ET | $88.94 | 117 | $10,405.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 19, 2025 11:25am ET | $89.12 | 117 | $10,426.48 | $10,451.15 |
+$20.50 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 21, 2025 9:45am ET | $89.55 | 116 | $10,387.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 21, 2025 11:00am ET | $89.48 | 116 | $10,379.68 | $10,443.03 |
$-8.12 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 24, 2025 11:05am ET | $89.81 | 116 | $10,417.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 24, 2025 12:20pm ET | $89.94 | 116 | $10,432.46 | $10,457.53 |
+$14.50 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Nov 26, 2025 9:45am ET | $90.11 | 116 | $10,452.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Nov 26, 2025 11:00am ET | $90.27 | 116 | $10,471.33 | $10,476.10 |
+$18.57 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 1, 2025 9:50am ET | $88.80 | 117 | $10,389.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 1, 2025 11:05am ET | $88.79 | 117 | $10,388.43 | $10,475.52 |
$-0.58 (-0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 2, 2025 11:05am ET | $88.61 | 118 | $10,455.98 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 2, 2025 12:20pm ET | $88.80 | 118 | $10,477.81 | $10,497.35 |
+$21.83 (+0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 4, 2025 11:35am ET | $88.62 | 118 | $10,456.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 4, 2025 12:50pm ET | $88.65 | 118 | $10,460.70 | $10,501.48 |
+$4.13 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 8, 2025 9:35am ET | $88.15 | 119 | $10,489.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 8, 2025 9:50am ET | $87.84 | 119 | $10,452.96 | $10,464.59 |
$-36.89 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 9, 2025 9:40am ET | $88.29 | 118 | $10,418.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 9, 2025 10:00am ET | $87.90 | 118 | $10,372.20 | $10,418.57 |
$-46.02 (-0.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 11, 2025 9:50am ET | $88.75 | 117 | $10,383.17 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 11, 2025 11:05am ET | $88.52 | 117 | $10,356.96 | $10,392.36 |
$-26.21 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 15, 2025 10:20am ET | $87.81 | 118 | $10,361.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 15, 2025 11:35am ET | $87.58 | 118 | $10,334.44 | $10,365.53 |
$-26.83 (-0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 16, 2025 10:50am ET | $87.61 | 118 | $10,337.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 16, 2025 12:05pm ET | $87.71 | 118 | $10,349.78 | $10,377.92 |
+$12.39 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 18, 2025 11:10am ET | $88.29 | 117 | $10,329.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 18, 2025 12:25pm ET | $88.16 | 117 | $10,314.14 | $10,362.12 |
$-15.80 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 22, 2025 10:00am ET | $87.33 | 118 | $10,304.35 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 22, 2025 11:15am ET | $87.44 | 118 | $10,317.92 | $10,375.69 |
+$13.57 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 23, 2025 9:45am ET | $87.09 | 119 | $10,363.71 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 23, 2025 11:00am ET | $87.36 | 119 | $10,395.88 | $10,407.86 |
+$32.17 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 26, 2025 10:35am ET | $88.01 | 118 | $10,384.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 26, 2025 11:20am ET | $87.70 | 118 | $10,348.60 | $10,371.87 |
$-35.99 (-0.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
0m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 30, 2025 12:30pm ET | $87.90 | 117 | $10,284.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 30, 2025 1:45pm ET | $87.95 | 117 | $10,290.15 | $10,377.72 |
+$5.85 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 1:05pm ET | $87.55 | 118 | $10,330.90 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Dec 31, 2025 2:20pm ET | $87.39 | 118 | $10,311.43 | $10,358.25 |
$-19.47 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $87.26 | 118 | $10,296.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 10:45am ET | $87.24 | 118 | $10,294.32 | $10,356.48 |
$-1.77 (-0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 9:55am ET | $87.74 | 118 | $10,353.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 7, 2026 11:10am ET | $87.78 | 118 | $10,357.45 | $10,360.61 |
+$4.13 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 9:40am ET | $87.29 | 118 | $10,299.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 10:55am ET | $87.37 | 118 | $10,309.66 | $10,370.57 |
+$9.96 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 10:05am ET | $87.47 | 118 | $10,321.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 11:20am ET | $87.70 | 118 | $10,348.60 | $10,397.71 |
+$27.14 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 1:05pm ET | $88.32 | 117 | $10,333.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 2:20pm ET | $88.39 | 117 | $10,341.05 | $10,405.06 |
+$7.35 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 9:45am ET | $88.51 | 117 | $10,355.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 11:00am ET | $88.41 | 117 | $10,343.39 | $10,392.77 |
$-12.29 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 20, 2026 11:05am ET | $86.82 | 119 | $10,331.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 12:20pm ET | $86.92 | 119 | $10,343.48 | $10,404.67 |
+$11.90 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 10:00am ET | $87.26 | 119 | $10,383.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 11:15am ET | $87.35 | 119 | $10,394.65 | $10,415.38 |
+$10.71 (+0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 11:25am ET | $87.79 | 118 | $10,358.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 12:40pm ET | $87.62 | 118 | $10,338.57 | $10,395.32 |
$-20.06 (-0.2%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 27, 2026 10:35am ET | $88.13 | 117 | $10,310.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 11:50am ET | $88.02 | 117 | $10,297.76 | $10,382.45 |
$-12.87 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 12:05pm ET | $87.37 | 118 | $10,309.66 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 1:20pm ET | $87.60 | 118 | $10,336.80 | $10,409.59 |
+$27.14 (+0.3%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 11:20am ET | $87.29 | 119 | $10,387.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 12:35pm ET | $87.32 | 119 | $10,390.49 | $10,412.56 |
+$2.97 (+0.0%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:40am ET | $86.52 | 120 | $10,382.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 10:55am ET | $86.46 | 120 | $10,375.80 | $10,405.97 |
$-6.59 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 9:50am ET | $86.82 | 119 | $10,331.58 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 10:30am ET | $87.29 | 119 | $10,386.92 | $10,461.31 |
+$55.34 (+0.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
0m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 9:55am ET | $87.33 | 119 | $10,392.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 11:10am ET | $87.28 | 119 | $10,385.73 | $10,454.76 |
$-6.55 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 11:45am ET | $88.46 | 118 | $10,438.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 1:00pm ET | $88.35 | 118 | $10,425.30 | $10,441.78 |
$-12.98 (-0.1%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
0m held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$10,441.78
Net Profit/Loss:
+$441.78
Total Return:
+4.42%