Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-21 18:44:24

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
23
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟡 1.8
Unsettled
RSI(14)
46.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.9%
ATR%
6.3%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored Jun 21, 2026

3
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.3/10
Raw Quality 3.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 3.3

30-Day Momentum

84
+32.5%
30d Return
70%
Win Rate
10
Trades
5.4×
Profit Factor
Quality: 96.3 Conf: 0.87×
Accelerating (+81 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-21 → 2026-06-18
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$4,928.12
Current Value
$6,528.45
Period P&L
$1,600.19
Max Drawdown
-53.7%
Sharpe Ratio
0.64

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
10
Winners / Losers
7 / 3
Best Trade
+12.19%
Worst Trade
-2.95%
Avg Trade Return
+3.02%
Avg Hold Time
12.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$110,940.13
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,600.19
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,600.19
Gross Return
+32.47%
Net Return (after fees)
+32.47%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 10 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $4,928.12 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $309.09 15 $4,636.35
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 1:30pm ET $316.09 15 $4,741.35 $5,033.26 +$105.00
(+2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
4h held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 2:30pm ET $305.15 16 $4,882.40
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 3:00pm ET $304.10 16 $4,865.60 $5,016.46 $-16.80
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
30m held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 3:40pm ET $352.64 14 $4,936.96
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $395.64 14 $5,538.96 $5,618.46 +$602.00
(+12.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.7d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:45am ET $406.32 13 $5,282.16
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 12:40pm ET $410.00 13 $5,330.00 $5,666.30 +$47.84
(+0.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 12:05pm ET $390.24 14 $5,463.43
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 3:15pm ET $391.03 14 $5,474.42 $5,677.29 +$10.99
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $354.78 16 $5,676.48
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 12:25pm ET $353.02 16 $5,648.32 $5,649.13 $-28.16
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 1:35pm ET $317.11 17 $5,390.91
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 10:55am ET $320.74 17 $5,452.58 $5,710.80 +$61.67
(+1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:25pm ET $332.00 17 $5,644.00
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:35am ET $362.85 17 $6,168.45 $6,235.25 +$524.45
(+9.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
20.2h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 10:05am ET $381.33 16 $6,101.28
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 2:00pm ET $411.95 16 $6,591.12 $6,725.09 +$489.84
(+8.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.9h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 9:45am ET $416.00 16 $6,656.00
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 10:00am ET $403.71 16 $6,459.36 $6,528.45 $-196.64
(-3.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,528.45
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,471.55
Total Return: -34.72%
Back to Grace Crossover