Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:30:50

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
44.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
+1.1%
EMA20 Dist
-0.8%
ATR%
2.1%
Range Pos
55%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
2.1/35
Total Return
8.9/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 18.0/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 17.8

30-Day Momentum

14
+0.4%
30d Return
27%
Win Rate
11
Trades
1.2×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.4 Conf: 0.90×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,741
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
23 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,029.63
Current Value
$11,074.63
Period P&L
$44.98
Max Drawdown
-17.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.08

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
3 / 8
Best Trade
+1.57%
Worst Trade
-0.53%
Avg Trade Return
+0.04%
Avg Hold Time
6.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$237,074.33
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$44.98
Net P&L (after fees)
$44.98
Gross Return
+0.41%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.41%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 AXP Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 23 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,029.63 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:55am ET $305.12 36 $10,984.32
🔴 SELL Apr 7, 2026 10:10am ET $303.49 36 $10,925.82 $10,971.15 $-58.50
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 12:40pm ET $315.83 34 $10,738.22
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 12:50pm ET $315.43 34 $10,724.69 $10,957.62 $-13.53
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 1:30pm ET $314.35 34 $10,687.73
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 3:25pm ET $314.14 34 $10,680.93 $10,950.82 $-6.80
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 12:05pm ET $327.49 33 $10,807.17
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 12:50pm ET $326.92 33 $10,788.36 $10,932.01 $-18.81
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 20, 2026 11:55am ET $332.01 32 $10,624.16
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 12:00pm ET $331.66 32 $10,613.12 $10,920.97 $-11.04
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
5m held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 3:25pm ET $331.12 32 $10,595.84
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 11:40am ET $331.96 32 $10,622.88 $10,948.01 +$27.04
(+0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 1:20pm ET $314.35 34 $10,687.90
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 3:20pm ET $314.30 34 $10,686.23 $10,946.34 $-1.67
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 12:15pm ET $318.15 34 $10,817.27
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 2:15pm ET $318.23 34 $10,819.82 $10,948.89 +$2.55
(+0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 1:25pm ET $321.30 34 $10,924.03
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:40am ET $321.16 34 $10,919.44 $10,944.30 $-4.59
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held
10 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 10:15am ET $320.90 34 $10,910.49
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 11:25am ET $319.77 34 $10,872.01 $10,905.82 $-38.48
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2h held
11 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 2:10pm ET $315.81 34 $10,737.54
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 11:30am ET $320.77 34 $10,906.35 $11,074.63 +$168.81
(+1.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,074.63
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,074.63
Total Return: +10.75%
Back to Grace Crossover