Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-22 16:35:52

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
20
Extreme Fear
VIX
18.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.49%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.27%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.63
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 1.0
Quiet
RSI(14)
88.4 overbought
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+5.8%
EMA20 Dist
+6.5%
ATR%
1.5%
Range Pos
98%
Bounce Ratio
40.5×
Green/Red 10d
8/2

Strategy Score Scored Jun 22, 2026

9
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.6/35
Total Return
3.7/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.2/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 9.1/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 9.0

30-Day Momentum

4
-0.3%
30d Return
14%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.7 Conf: 0.78×
Cooling (-5 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,560
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-22 → 2026-06-22
Trading Days
20 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$10,231.28
Current Value
$10,259.55
Period P&L
$28.30
Max Drawdown
-10.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.34

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
9
Winners / Losers
3 / 6
Best Trade
+1.94%
Worst Trade
-0.62%
Avg Trade Return
+0.27%
Avg Hold Time
19.5h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$181,619.42
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$28.30
Net P&L (after fees)
$28.30
Gross Return
+0.28%
Net Return (after fees)
+0.28%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 JNJ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 20 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 9 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $10,231.28 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 21, 2026 11:10am ET $229.65 43 $9,874.84
🔴 SELL May 22, 2026 1:20pm ET $234.11 43 $10,066.73 $10,208.65 +$191.89
(+1.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 3:05pm ET $231.90 44 $10,203.60
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 3:45pm ET $231.74 44 $10,196.56 $10,201.61 $-7.04
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 12:05pm ET $222.54 45 $10,014.30
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 1:35pm ET $222.19 45 $9,998.55 $10,185.86 $-15.75
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.5h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 11:25am ET $224.05 45 $10,082.25
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 1:50pm ET $224.00 45 $10,080.00 $10,183.61 $-2.25
(-0.0%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 10:20am ET $234.15 43 $10,068.45
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 3:35pm ET $236.91 43 $10,187.13 $10,302.29 +$118.68
(+1.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.2d held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 2:50pm ET $239.85 42 $10,073.70
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:50pm ET $238.91 42 $10,034.22 $10,262.81 $-39.48
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 1:15pm ET $236.81 43 $10,182.83
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 1:30pm ET $236.25 43 $10,158.75 $10,238.73 $-24.08
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
15m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 3:55pm ET $235.35 43 $10,120.26
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 9:30am ET $233.90 43 $10,057.49 $10,175.95 $-62.78
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.6h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 1:10pm ET $228.82 44 $10,068.08
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 2:00pm ET $230.72 44 $10,151.68 $10,259.55 +$83.60
(+0.8%)
DEATH_CROSS
4d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $10,259.55
Net Profit/Loss: +$259.55
Total Return: +2.60%
Back to Grace Crossover