Compendium › Grace Crossover › MDT
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MDT
Alpaca Tradeable

Grace Crossover's Analysis

Last Month: 2026-05-24 to present • 8 trades in period

-6.97%
Last Month Return
$8,376.09
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$9,003.66
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Signals generated 2026-06-24 23:18:35

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
62.3 neutral
20d Trend
+5.9%
5d Trend
+0.9%
EMA20 Dist
+1.9%
ATR%
1.9%
Range Pos
83%
Bounce Ratio
2.8×
Green/Red 10d
6/4
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.7/10
Raw Quality 3.7/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 3.7

30-Day Momentum

4
-7.1%
30d Return
14%
Win Rate
7
Trades
0.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 5.7 Conf: 0.78×
Steady (+1 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$9,003.66
Current Value
$8,376.09
Period P&L
$-627.55
Max Drawdown
-12.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.52

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
2 / 6
Best Trade
+1.02%
Worst Trade
-4.06%
Avg Trade Return
-0.89%
Avg Hold Time
15.7h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$137,017.61
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-627.55
Net P&L (after fees)
$-627.55
Gross Return
-6.97%
Net Return (after fees)
-6.97%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MDT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $9,003.66 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 9:45am ET $77.98 115 $8,967.70 — — —
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 9:35am ET $75.29 115 $8,658.92 $8,694.86 $-308.78
(-3.4%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:40am ET $74.39 116 $8,629.82 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 10:25am ET $74.01 116 $8,585.74 $8,650.78 $-44.08
(-0.5%) 		DEATH_CROSS
45m held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:40am ET $74.12 116 $8,597.92 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 11:45am ET $74.07 116 $8,592.12 $8,644.98 $-5.80
(-0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 4, 2026 12:35pm ET $81.27 106 $8,614.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 11:50am ET $82.10 106 $8,702.60 $8,732.96 +$87.98
(+1.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
23.3h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 1:25pm ET $80.32 108 $8,674.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 3:55pm ET $80.32 108 $8,674.02 $8,732.42 $-0.54
(-0.0%) 		DEATH_CROSS
2.5h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 2:55pm ET $81.06 107 $8,673.42 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:10pm ET $77.77 107 $8,321.39 $8,380.39 $-352.03
(-4.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 9:45am ET $79.14 105 $8,309.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 10:05am ET $79.00 105 $8,295.00 $8,366.21 $-14.18
(-0.2%) 		DEATH_CROSS
20m held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 1:35pm ET $80.34 104 $8,355.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 3:30pm ET $80.43 104 $8,365.24 $8,376.09 +$9.88
(+0.1%) 		DEATH_CROSS
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,376.09
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,623.91
Total Return: -16.24%
Back to Grace Crossover