Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Signals generated 2026-06-24 23:17:26

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
50.5 neutral
20d Trend
+69.9%
5d Trend
-8.4%
EMA20 Dist
+0.9%
ATR%
11.0%
Range Pos
31%
Bounce Ratio
1.9×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.0/10
Raw Quality 4.0/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 3.9

30-Day Momentum

14
-21.7%
30d Return
55%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 15.5 Conf: 0.90×
Steady (+10 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,640.20
Current Value
$8,901.65
Period P&L
$-2,738.54
Max Drawdown
-51.2%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.25

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
6 / 6
Best Trade
+8.57%
Worst Trade
-20.17%
Avg Trade Return
-1.91%
Avg Hold Time
6.9h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$263,522.07
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,738.54
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,738.54
Gross Return
-23.53%
Net Return (after fees)
-23.53%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SOXL Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,640.20 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $212.87 54 $11,494.98
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 11:55am ET $214.25 54 $11,569.50 $11,714.71 +$74.52
(+0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.4h held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 12:20pm ET $214.67 54 $11,592.18
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 1:40pm ET $212.32 54 $11,465.02 $11,587.55 $-127.16
(-1.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
3 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 9:35am ET $230.93 50 $11,546.50
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 10:45am ET $220.17 50 $11,008.50 $11,049.55 $-538.00
(-4.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 9:30am ET $240.40 45 $10,818.00
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2026 11:55am ET $261.01 45 $11,745.23 $11,976.78 +$927.23
(+8.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.4h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 12:55pm ET $276.52 43 $11,890.15
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 9:30am ET $240.00 43 $10,320.00 $10,406.63 $-1,570.15
(-13.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
20.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 9:30am ET $209.74 49 $10,277.26
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 1:10pm ET $214.46 49 $10,508.54 $10,637.91 +$231.28
(+2.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.7h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 1:35pm ET $184.21 57 $10,499.97
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 3:05pm ET $199.38 57 $11,364.65 $11,502.59 +$864.68
(+8.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.5h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 9:30am ET $194.54 59 $11,477.86
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 12:55pm ET $197.90 59 $11,675.81 $11,700.54 +$197.95
(+1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.4h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $264.52 44 $11,638.66
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 9:30am ET $265.45 44 $11,679.58 $11,741.46 +$40.92
(+0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1d held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 17, 2026 2:40pm ET $253.99 46 $11,683.54
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 3:25pm ET $245.86 46 $11,309.56 $11,367.48 $-373.98
(-3.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
45m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 22, 2026 12:30pm ET $293.63 38 $11,157.75
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $234.40 38 $8,907.20 $9,116.93 $-2,250.55
(-20.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
21h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2026 10:45am ET $232.14 39 $9,053.46
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 11:25am ET $226.62 39 $8,838.18 $8,901.65 $-215.28
(-2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
40m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,901.65
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,098.35
Total Return: -10.98%
Back to Grace Crossover