Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 09:14:40

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
55.8 neutral
20d Trend
+3.7%
5d Trend
-4.0%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

34
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
13.2/35
Total Return
13.7/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.8/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 34.6/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 34.3

30-Day Momentum

11
-12.5%
30d Return
45%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 12.0 Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-24 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,716
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-04-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
22 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$16,478.11
Current Value
$14,415.58
Period P&L
$-2,062.52
Max Drawdown
-11.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.22

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
11
Winners / Losers
5 / 6
Best Trade
+2.46%
Worst Trade
-15.81%
Avg Trade Return
-1.08%
Avg Hold Time
12.8h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$316,753.29
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-2,062.52
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,062.52
Gross Return
-12.52%
Net Return (after fees)
-12.52%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 USO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 22 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 11 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $16,478.11 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 3:00pm ET $141.60 116 $16,425.58
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $119.21 116 $13,827.90 $13,880.42 $-2,597.68
(-15.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
18.5h held
2 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 10:55am ET $126.14 110 $13,875.40
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 1:05pm ET $126.72 110 $13,939.20 $13,944.22 +$63.80
(+0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.2h held
3 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 3:35pm ET $123.83 112 $13,868.96
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $123.15 112 $13,792.40 $13,867.66 $-76.56
(-0.6%)
DEATH_CROSS
17.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $124.11 111 $13,776.21
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 2:35pm ET $127.12 111 $14,110.32 $14,201.77 +$334.11
(+2.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
5.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 10:10am ET $122.55 115 $14,093.25
🔴 SELL Apr 21, 2026 1:55pm ET $125.57 115 $14,440.54 $14,549.06 +$347.29
(+2.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 2:20pm ET $130.19 111 $14,451.09
🔴 SELL Apr 22, 2026 2:55pm ET $129.83 111 $14,411.13 $14,509.10 $-39.96
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
35m held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 2:20pm ET $131.71 110 $14,488.10
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 12:10pm ET $134.43 110 $14,787.30 $14,808.30 +$299.20
(+2.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2026 1:10pm ET $139.38 106 $14,774.28
🔴 SELL Apr 28, 2026 3:25pm ET $139.64 106 $14,801.84 $14,835.86 +$27.56
(+0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 2:25pm ET $146.63 101 $14,809.63
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:30am ET $143.40 101 $14,483.40 $14,509.63 $-326.23
(-2.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
19.1h held
10 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 2:15pm ET $147.69 98 $14,473.62
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 3:15pm ET $147.49 98 $14,454.02 $14,490.03 $-19.60
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1h held
11 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 1:20pm ET $134.32 107 $14,371.79
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 1:30pm ET $133.62 107 $14,297.34 $14,415.58 $-74.45
(-0.5%)
DEATH_CROSS
10m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $14,415.58
Net Profit/Loss: +$4,415.58
Total Return: +44.16%
Back to Grace Crossover