Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-24 22:08:19

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
74.9 overbought
20d Trend
+15.2%
5d Trend
+3.0%
EMA20 Dist
+5.9%
ATR%
2.4%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.7×
Green/Red 10d
7/3
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

28
Lifetime
Confidence: 98%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
8.6/35
Total Return
10.8/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
2.1/15
Consistency
6.7/10
Raw Quality 28.1/100
× Confidence 0.98 = 27.7

30-Day Momentum

9
-1.6%
30d Return
18%
Win Rate
11
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 10.0 Conf: 0.90×
Declining (-19 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (98%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Month)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
1,638
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-05-26 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
21 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Month)

Period Start Capital
$11,994.52
Current Value
$11,548.49
Period P&L
$-445.93
Max Drawdown
-7.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.37

Trade Statistics (Last Month)

Trades in Period
12
Winners / Losers
2 / 10
Best Trade
+1.67%
Worst Trade
-2.91%
Avg Trade Return
-0.38%
Avg Hold Time
13.2h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Month)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$285,113.21
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-445.93
Net P&L (after fees)
$-445.93
Gross Return
-3.72%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.72%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XOM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 21 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Month - 12 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $11,994.52 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 1:55pm ET $154.38 78 $12,041.64
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $153.70 78 $11,988.60 $12,038.10 $-53.04
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.8d held
2 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 11:20am ET $148.34 81 $12,015.14
🔴 SELL May 27, 2026 2:30pm ET $148.06 81 $11,992.86 $12,015.82 $-22.28
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held
3 🟢 BUY May 28, 2026 3:50pm ET $147.46 81 $11,944.66
🔴 SELL May 29, 2026 2:45pm ET $145.46 81 $11,782.66 $11,853.82 $-162.00
(-1.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
22.9h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2026 9:35am ET $151.30 78 $11,801.40
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 1:40pm ET $153.82 78 $11,998.35 $12,050.77 +$196.95
(+1.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.1h held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 5, 2026 11:10am ET $151.26 79 $11,949.54
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 1:50pm ET $150.21 79 $11,866.59 $11,967.82 $-82.95
(-0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.7h held
6 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 2:00pm ET $151.74 78 $11,835.72
🔴 SELL Jun 8, 2026 3:20pm ET $151.54 78 $11,820.12 $11,952.22 $-15.60
(-0.1%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
7 🟢 BUY Jun 10, 2026 9:30am ET $150.46 79 $11,886.73
🔴 SELL Jun 10, 2026 2:10pm ET $151.53 79 $11,970.87 $12,036.36 +$84.14
(+0.7%)
DEATH_CROSS
4.7h held
8 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 10:00am ET $148.38 81 $12,019.18
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 11:20am ET $147.97 81 $11,985.57 $12,002.75 $-33.61
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
9 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 12:45pm ET $141.71 84 $11,903.22
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 2:00pm ET $141.21 84 $11,861.22 $11,960.75 $-42.00
(-0.4%)
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held
10 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 2:35pm ET $141.33 84 $11,871.72
🔴 SELL Jun 16, 2026 3:00pm ET $140.84 84 $11,830.56 $11,919.59 $-41.16
(-0.3%)
DEATH_CROSS
25m held
11 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 1:15pm ET $137.09 86 $11,789.74
🔴 SELL Jun 18, 2026 3:50pm ET $136.76 86 $11,761.36 $11,891.21 $-28.38
(-0.2%)
DEATH_CROSS
2.6h held
12 🟢 BUY Jun 23, 2026 3:30pm ET $140.11 84 $11,769.23
🔴 SELL Jun 24, 2026 1:30pm ET $136.03 84 $11,426.51 $11,548.49 $-342.72
(-2.9%)
DEATH_CROSS
22h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $11,548.49
Net Profit/Loss: +$1,548.49
Total Return: +15.48%
Back to Grace Crossover