PANW Grace Crossover's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 38 trades in period
+8.94%
Year to Date Return
$14,239.95
Current Value
37%
Win Rate
$13,071.58
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
18.4 oversold
20d Trend
-19.1%
5d Trend
-12.6%
EMA20 Dist
-11.6%
ATR%
3.8%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5
Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026
38
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
14.6/35
Total Return
13.6/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
3.1/15
Consistency
6.6/10
Raw Quality
37.8/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 37.7
30-Day Momentum
34
+2.8%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
10
Trades
1.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 39.1
Conf: 0.87×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,640
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$13,071.58
Current Value
$14,239.95
Period P&L
$1,168.35
Max Drawdown
-10.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.15
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
38
Winners / Losers
14 /
24
Best Trade
+8.29%
Worst Trade
-2.36%
Avg Trade Return
+0.24%
Avg Hold Time
12.4h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,001,219.38
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$1,168.35
Net P&L (after fees)
$1,168.35
Gross Return
+8.94%
Net Return (after fees)
+8.94%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 PANW Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 38 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Grace Crossover had $13,071.58 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 5, 2026 3:15pm ET | $182.82 | 71 | $12,980.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 3:25pm ET | $182.50 | 71 | $12,957.50 | $13,048.87 |
$-22.72 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
12m held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 8, 2026 12:45pm ET | $191.40 | 68 | $13,015.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 2:25pm ET | $191.06 | 68 | $12,992.08 | $13,025.75 |
$-23.12 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.7h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 10:35am ET | $189.42 | 68 | $12,880.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 12:10pm ET | $188.58 | 68 | $12,823.49 | $12,969.02 |
$-56.73 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.6h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 3:55pm ET | $190.84 | 67 | $12,786.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 9:55am ET | $189.60 | 67 | $12,702.87 | $12,885.61 |
$-83.42 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18h held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 11:20am ET | $187.59 | 68 | $12,756.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 16, 2026 2:30pm ET | $188.10 | 68 | $12,790.80 | $12,920.29 |
+$34.68 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.2h held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 2:35pm ET | $181.28 | 71 | $12,870.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 10:10am ET | $180.97 | 71 | $12,848.87 | $12,898.28 |
$-22.01 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.6h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET | $181.54 | 71 | $12,889.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 26, 2026 2:00pm ET | $183.75 | 71 | $13,046.25 | $13,055.19 |
+$156.91 (+1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.5h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 9:30am ET | $184.95 | 70 | $12,946.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 11:20am ET | $184.74 | 70 | $12,931.45 | $13,040.14 |
$-15.05 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.8h held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 1:30pm ET | $174.04 | 74 | $12,878.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 12:10pm ET | $176.51 | 74 | $13,061.74 | $13,222.92 |
+$182.78 (+1.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.7h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 3:20pm ET | $164.72 | 80 | $13,177.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:35am ET | $163.70 | 80 | $13,095.60 | $13,140.91 |
$-82.01 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.3h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 11:55am ET | $163.39 | 80 | $13,071.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 1:00pm ET | $161.96 | 80 | $12,956.80 | $13,026.51 |
$-114.40 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.1h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 12:15pm ET | $167.00 | 78 | $13,026.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 1:05pm ET | $166.25 | 78 | $12,967.50 | $12,967.92 |
$-58.59 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
50m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 11:25am ET | $163.33 | 79 | $12,903.07 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 12:45pm ET | $162.50 | 79 | $12,837.50 | $12,902.35 |
$-65.57 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.3h held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $152.55 | 84 | $12,814.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 3:30pm ET | $151.21 | 84 | $12,701.64 | $12,789.79 |
$-112.56 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
6h held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 9:40am ET | $145.01 | 88 | $12,760.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 3:30pm ET | $141.59 | 88 | $12,459.92 | $12,488.83 |
$-300.96 (-2.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.8h held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 11:45am ET | $147.07 | 84 | $12,353.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 12:20pm ET | $146.88 | 84 | $12,338.21 | $12,473.16 |
$-15.67 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
35m held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:35am ET | $151.44 | 82 | $12,418.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 3:20pm ET | $155.69 | 82 | $12,766.58 | $12,821.66 |
+$348.50 (+2.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
5.8h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 5, 2026 1:10pm ET | $162.68 | 78 | $12,689.43 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $162.73 | 78 | $12,692.94 | $12,825.17 |
+$3.51 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.5h held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 3:30pm ET | $165.26 | 77 | $12,725.02 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $164.47 | 77 | $12,664.19 | $12,764.34 |
$-60.83 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
18.1h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 2:50pm ET | $164.42 | 77 | $12,660.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 12:55pm ET | $167.24 | 77 | $12,877.48 | $12,981.48 |
+$217.14 (+1.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
22.1h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 1:30pm ET | $167.35 | 77 | $12,885.94 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 2:20pm ET | $166.36 | 77 | $12,809.39 | $12,904.93 |
$-76.55 (-0.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
50m held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 2:45pm ET | $167.68 | 76 | $12,743.68 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 12:05pm ET | $169.28 | 76 | $12,865.28 | $13,026.53 |
+$121.60 (+1.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 9:55am ET | $170.42 | 76 | $12,951.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 11:20am ET | $169.51 | 76 | $12,882.76 | $12,957.37 |
$-69.16 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1.4h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 2:30pm ET | $163.98 | 79 | $12,954.42 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 11:40am ET | $164.60 | 79 | $13,003.40 | $13,006.35 |
+$48.98 (+0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9d held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 2:40pm ET | $158.10 | 82 | $12,964.61 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 11:15am ET | $156.70 | 82 | $12,849.40 | $12,891.14 |
$-115.21 (-0.9%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.6h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 1:05pm ET | $157.50 | 81 | $12,757.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 1:45pm ET | $156.82 | 81 | $12,702.42 | $12,836.06 |
$-55.08 (-0.4%) |
DEATH_CROSS
40m held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 3:30pm ET | $146.84 | 87 | $12,774.65 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 12:00pm ET | $159.00 | 87 | $13,833.14 | $13,894.55 |
+$1,058.49 (+8.3%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 3:15pm ET | $160.21 | 86 | $13,778.06 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 11:30am ET | $159.65 | 86 | $13,729.91 | $13,846.40 |
$-48.15 (-0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 10:45am ET | $161.93 | 85 | $13,763.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 2:20pm ET | $161.96 | 85 | $13,766.60 | $13,849.38 |
+$2.98 (+0.0%) |
DEATH_CROSS
3.6h held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 12:25pm ET | $155.59 | 89 | $13,847.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 12:45pm ET | $154.76 | 89 | $13,773.64 | $13,775.51 |
$-73.87 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
20m held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 12:35pm ET | $161.33 | 85 | $13,713.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 1:00pm ET | $161.17 | 85 | $13,699.45 | $13,761.91 |
$-13.60 (-0.1%) |
DEATH_CROSS
25m held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $167.10 | 82 | $13,702.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 17, 2026 11:15am ET | $167.56 | 82 | $13,739.92 | $13,799.63 |
+$37.72 (+0.3%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:30am ET | $170.40 | 80 | $13,632.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 12:25pm ET | $174.87 | 80 | $13,989.60 | $14,157.23 |
+$357.60 (+2.6%) |
DEATH_CROSS
2.9h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 2:10pm ET | $172.34 | 82 | $14,131.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 24, 2026 11:35am ET | $174.46 | 82 | $14,305.72 | $14,331.48 |
+$174.25 (+1.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.4h held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 3:25pm ET | $183.38 | 78 | $14,303.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 10:30am ET | $182.92 | 78 | $14,267.76 | $14,295.99 |
$-35.49 (-0.2%) |
DEATH_CROSS
19.1h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 12:10pm ET | $180.30 | 79 | $14,243.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 30, 2026 9:30am ET | $179.08 | 79 | $14,147.32 | $14,199.61 |
$-96.38 (-0.7%) |
DEATH_CROSS
21.3h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | May 1, 2026 10:35am ET | $180.57 | 78 | $14,084.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 3:25pm ET | $182.03 | 78 | $14,198.34 | $14,313.10 |
+$113.49 (+0.8%) |
DEATH_CROSS
4.8h held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 10:50am ET | $184.28 | 77 | $14,189.56 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 11:50am ET | $183.33 | 77 | $14,116.41 | $14,239.95 |
$-73.15 (-0.5%) |
DEATH_CROSS
1h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$14,239.95
Net Profit/Loss:
+$4,239.95
Total Return:
+42.40%