Compendium › Luke Liquidation › DOGEUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
DOGEUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Luke Liquidation's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 8 trades in period

-24.54%
Last Year Return
$6,804.28
Current Value
0%
Win Rate
$8,924.85
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:31:56

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
21.8 oversold
20d Trend
-37.1%
5d Trend
-36.5%
EMA20 Dist
-35.0%
ATR%
12.1%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

2
Lifetime
Confidence: 59%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 3.8/100
× Confidence 0.59 = 2.3

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (59%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
105,298
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
366 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$8,924.85
Current Value
$6,804.28
Period P&L
$-2,190.15
Max Drawdown
-31.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-2.23

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
0 / 8
Best Trade
+0.43%
Worst Trade
-4.04%
Avg Trade Return
-2.95%
Avg Hold Time
8.4h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$123,230.27
Estimated Fees
$308.08
Gross P&L
$-2,190.15
Net P&L (after fees)
$-2,498.23
Gross Return
-24.54%
Net Return (after fees)
-27.99%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 DOGEUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 366 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Luke Liquidation had $8,924.85 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Aug 17, 2025 2:50pm ET $0.2331 38,281 $8,924.85 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 17, 2025 10:50pm ET $0.2247 38,281 $8,599.84 $8,556.03 $-368.82
(-3.6%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8h held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2025 3:30pm ET $0.2373 36,051 $8,556.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 24, 2025 4:10pm ET $0.2298 36,051 $8,285.65 $8,243.54 $-312.49
(-3.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
42m held
3 🟢 BUY Aug 24, 2025 6:20pm ET $0.2288 36,026 $8,243.54 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2025 3:30am ET $0.2218 36,026 $7,992.08 $7,951.49 $-292.05
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
9.2h held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 5:10pm ET $0.2021 39,340 $7,951.49 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 5:15pm ET $0.1944 39,340 $7,648.57 $7,609.57 $-341.92
(-3.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
5 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 5:15pm ET $0.1944 39,140 $7,609.57 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 5:20pm ET $0.1866 39,140 $7,301.93 $7,264.65 $-344.92
(-4.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 12:35pm ET $0.0963 75,429 $7,264.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 10, 2026 1:45am ET $0.0931 75,429 $7,023.58 $6,987.86 $-276.79
(-3.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
13.2h held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 16, 2026 1:20pm ET $0.1008 69,329 $6,987.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 1:20pm ET $0.1012 69,329 $7,018.18 $7,018.18 $-4.70
(+0.4%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 6:25pm ET $0.1017 69,017 $7,018.18 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 6:05am ET $0.0986 69,017 $6,804.28 $6,804.28 $-248.46
(-3.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
11.7h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $6,804.28
Net Profit/Loss: $-3,195.72
Total Return: -31.96%
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