Compendium › Luke Liquidation › SHIBUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
SHIBUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Luke Liquidation's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 4 trades in period

+32.04%
Last Year Return
$24,137.19
Current Value
100%
Win Rate
$18,280.69
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 12:30:53

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
22 oversold
20d Trend
-35.2%
5d Trend
-32.9%
EMA20 Dist
+0.0%
ATR%
10.4%
Range Pos
1%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 5, 2026

35
Lifetime
Confidence: 55%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
24.9/35
Total Return
17.9/25
Win Rate
7.7/15
Profit Factor
6.1/15
Consistency
6.9/10
Raw Quality 63.6/100
× Confidence 0.55 = 34.8

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (55%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
105,280
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
366 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$18,280.69
Current Value
$24,137.19
Period P&L
$5,856.50
Max Drawdown
-19.9%
Sharpe Ratio
4.40

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
4 / 0
Best Trade
+9.35%
Worst Trade
+5.04%
Avg Trade Return
+7.73%
Avg Hold Time
43m

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$171,072.57
Estimated Fees
$427.68
Gross P&L
$5,856.50
Net P&L (after fees)
$5,428.82
Gross Return
+32.04%
Net Return (after fees)
+29.70%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 SHIBUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 366 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Luke Liquidation had $18,280.69 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 5:20pm ET $0.00000714 2,560,320,728 $18,280.69 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 5:30pm ET $0.00000780 2,560,320,728 $19,970.50 $19,874.87 +$1,594.18
(+9.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
12m held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 6:15pm ET $0.00000930 2,137,082,796 $19,874.87 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 6:30pm ET $0.00001017 2,137,082,796 $21,734.13 $21,630.11 +$1,755.24
(+9.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18m held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 8:15pm ET $0.00000973 2,223,032,888 $21,630.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 10:15pm ET $0.00001022 2,223,032,888 $22,719.40 $22,608.52 +$978.41
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
2h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 5, 2026 7:10pm ET $0.00000522 4,331,134,100 $22,608.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 7:35pm ET $0.00000560 4,331,134,100 $24,254.35 $24,137.19 +$1,528.67
(+7.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
24m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $24,137.19
Net Profit/Loss: +$14,137.19
Total Return: +141.37%
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