Compendium › Luke Liquidation › XRPUSD
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
XRPUSD
Alpaca Tradeable

Luke Liquidation's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-05-06 to present • 7 trades in period

-19.09%
Last Year Return
$16,841.64
Current Value
43%
Win Rate
$20,487.90
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-06 11:27:11

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.7 oversold
20d Trend
-37.8%
5d Trend
-40.3%
EMA20 Dist
-38.0%
ATR%
13.2%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.3×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.

Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026

32
Lifetime
Confidence: 67%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
9.3/35
Total Return
15.3/25
Win Rate
11.3/15
Profit Factor
3.4/15
Consistency
7.9/10
Raw Quality 47.1/100
× Confidence 0.67 = 31.6

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (67%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
105,300
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-06 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
366 days
Data Gaps
None detected
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Crypto: 0.15% maker / 0.25% taker (volume-tiered) • 24/7/365 trading

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$20,487.90
Current Value
$16,841.64
Period P&L
$-3,911.87
Max Drawdown
-25.9%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.16

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
7
Winners / Losers
3 / 4
Best Trade
+9.11%
Worst Trade
-25.41%
Avg Trade Return
-1.80%
Avg Hold Time
7.6h

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
₿ Crypto
Fee Rate
0.25% per trade
Total Volume
$244,898.20
Estimated Fees
$612.25
Gross P&L
$-3,911.87
Net P&L (after fees)
$-4,524.12
Gross Return
-19.09%
Net Return (after fees)
-22.08%

⚠️ Crypto: Alpaca charges 0.25% taker fee (or 0.15% maker). This simulation uses the conservative 0.25% estimate on all trades.
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 XRPUSD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 366 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 7 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Luke Liquidation had $20,487.90 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 5:10pm ET $2.30 8,927 $20,487.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 5:15pm ET $1.71 8,927 $15,281.56 $15,192.14 $-5,295.76
(-25.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6m held
2 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 5:15pm ET $1.71 8,875 $15,192.14 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 5:20pm ET $1.87 8,875 $16,575.74 $16,496.33 +$1,304.19
(+9.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6m held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 5:20pm ET $1.87 8,832 $16,496.33 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 5:30pm ET $2.03 8,832 $17,963.40 $17,877.25 +$1,380.92
(+8.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
12m held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 7:05pm ET $2.32 7,698 $17,877.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 10:35pm ET $2.44 7,698 $18,777.19 $18,685.56 +$808.31
(+5.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.5h held
5 🟢 BUY Feb 16, 2026 12:10pm ET $1.49 12,574 $18,685.56 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 17, 2026 9:45am ET $1.43 12,574 $17,984.38 $17,984.38 $-792.85
(-3.8%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
21.6h held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 6:25pm ET $1.44 12,500 $17,984.38 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 11:50am ET $1.39 12,500 $17,375.36 $17,375.36 $-697.42
(-3.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
17.4h held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 21, 2026 5:50pm ET $1.44 12,070 $17,375.36 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 22, 2026 4:20am ET $1.40 12,070 $16,841.64 $16,841.64 $-619.26
(-3.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,841.64
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,841.64
Total Return: +68.42%
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