Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:22:09

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
58.2 neutral
20d Trend
+92.9%
5d Trend
-10.5%
EMA20 Dist
+4.3%
ATR%
12.0%
Range Pos
60%
Bounce Ratio
0.8×
Green/Red 10d
2/8

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

25
Lifetime
Confidence: 82%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.0/35
Total Return
14.5/25
Win Rate
2.7/15
Profit Factor
1.9/15
Consistency
5.7/10
Raw Quality 30.9/100
× Confidence 0.82 = 25.4

30-Day Momentum

38
+15.1%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
2.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 62.1 Conf: 0.61×
Accelerating (+13 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (82%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
23,534
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
261 days
Data Gaps
2 days with gaps

Data Gap Notice

The following dates had fewer candles than expected. This could be due to early market closes, API rate limits during data collection, or low volume periods. Simulation results may be slightly affected.

2025-06-23 (26 candles), 2025-06-24 (no data)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$11,263.97
Current Value
$15,476.25
Period P&L
$4,212.26
Max Drawdown
-31.8%
Sharpe Ratio
0.28

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
17
Winners / Losers
9 / 8
Best Trade
+14.97%
Worst Trade
-10.69%
Avg Trade Return
+2.42%
Avg Hold Time
11.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$497,713.69
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,212.26
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,212.26
Gross Return
+37.40%
Net Return (after fees)
+37.40%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NET Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 261 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 17 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $11,263.97 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 28, 2025 9:30am ET $121.13 90 $10,901.25
🔴 SELL May 9, 2025 9:30am ET $134.80 90 $12,132.00 $12,238.67 +$1,230.75
(+11.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
11d held
2 🟢 BUY May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $137.80 88 $12,126.40
🔴 SELL May 14, 2025 9:30am ET $153.67 88 $13,522.78 $13,635.05 +$1,396.38
(+11.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
3 🟢 BUY May 15, 2025 9:35am ET $152.02 89 $13,529.95
🔴 SELL Jun 2, 2025 12:50pm ET $167.52 89 $14,909.28 $15,014.38 +$1,379.33
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
18.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 3, 2025 12:55pm ET $171.96 87 $14,960.52
🔴 SELL Jun 25, 2025 9:30am ET $190.16 87 $16,543.92 $16,597.78 +$1,583.40
(+10.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
21.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Jun 26, 2025 9:30am ET $188.82 87 $16,427.34
🔴 SELL Jul 16, 2025 9:30am ET $187.54 87 $16,315.98 $16,486.42 $-111.36
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
6 🟢 BUY Jul 17, 2025 9:35am ET $190.27 86 $16,363.17
🔴 SELL Jul 31, 2025 10:30am ET $209.51 86 $18,017.86 $18,141.12 +$1,654.69
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
14d held
7 🟢 BUY Aug 1, 2025 10:35am ET $204.78 88 $18,020.64
🔴 SELL Aug 20, 2025 9:50am ET $187.48 88 $16,498.24 $16,618.72 $-1,522.40
(-8.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
19d held
8 🟢 BUY Aug 29, 2025 9:30am ET $212.30 78 $16,559.40
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2025 9:30am ET $217.52 78 $16,966.56 $17,025.88 +$407.16
(+2.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
9 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2025 9:40am ET $224.49 75 $16,836.83
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 9:40am ET $215.19 75 $16,139.25 $16,328.30 $-697.58
(-4.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 3, 2025 9:50am ET $255.91 63 $16,122.33
🔴 SELL Nov 4, 2025 1:25pm ET $235.16 63 $14,815.08 $15,021.05 $-1,307.25
(-8.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2d held
11 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 1:25pm ET $230.75 65 $14,998.75
🔴 SELL Nov 14, 2025 9:30am ET $206.08 65 $13,394.88 $13,417.18 $-1,603.88
(-10.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.8d held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 22, 2025 9:30am ET $198.44 67 $13,295.15
🔴 SELL Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET $182.80 67 $12,247.27 $12,369.30 $-1,047.88
(-7.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
21d held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 26, 2026 9:30am ET $187.32 66 $12,363.12
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 9:30am ET $215.36 66 $14,213.76 $14,219.94 +$1,850.64
(+15.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
14 🟢 BUY Feb 11, 2026 9:30am ET $196.97 72 $14,181.84
🔴 SELL Feb 11, 2026 11:55am ET $186.28 72 $13,412.16 $13,450.26 $-769.68
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.4h held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $223.45 60 $13,406.70
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 10:10am ET $212.13 60 $12,728.10 $12,771.66 $-678.60
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 10, 2026 12:25pm ET $172.80 73 $12,614.76
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 11:20am ET $190.38 73 $13,897.95 $14,054.85 +$1,283.19
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 16, 2026 11:50am ET $201.66 69 $13,914.54
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:30am ET $222.26 69 $15,335.94 $15,476.25 +$1,421.40
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
17.9d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $15,476.25
Net Profit/Loss: +$5,476.25
Total Return: +54.76%
Back to Momo Momentum