Compendium › Momo Momentum › TQQQ
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
TQQQ
Alpaca Tradeable

Momo Momentum's Analysis

Last Year: 2025-06-24 to present • 22 trades in period

+2.16%
Last Year Return
$8,238.55
Current Value
50%
Win Rate
$8,064.29
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-24 16:56:08

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
31.4 neutral
20d Trend
-11.9%
5d Trend
-13.2%
EMA20 Dist
-11.3%
ATR%
5.7%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
0.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

7
Lifetime
Confidence: 84%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 8.8/100
× Confidence 0.84 = 7.3

30-Day Momentum

16
+5.4%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
4
Trades
1.1×
Profit Factor
Quality: 24.2 Conf: 0.66×
Steady (+9 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (84%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
37,306
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-06-24 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$8,064.29
Current Value
$8,238.55
Period P&L
$174.24
Max Drawdown
-45.4%
Sharpe Ratio
0.05

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
22
Winners / Losers
11 / 11
Best Trade
+11.44%
Worst Trade
-8.96%
Avg Trade Return
+0.44%
Avg Hold Time
9.4d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$378,628.92
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$174.24
Net P&L (after fees)
$174.24
Gross Return
+2.16%
Net Return (after fees)
+2.16%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TQQQ Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 22 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $8,064.29 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jun 24, 2025 10:05am ET $38.49 209 $8,044.26 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 3, 2025 10:05am ET $42.38 209 $8,857.42 $8,877.45 +$813.16
(+10.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
9d held
2 🟢 BUY Jul 7, 2025 1:00pm ET $41.35 214 $8,849.44 — — —
🔴 SELL Jul 28, 2025 9:30am ET $44.92 214 $9,612.35 $9,640.36 +$762.91
(+8.6%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jul 29, 2025 9:40am ET $45.64 211 $9,628.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 1, 2025 9:40am ET $41.66 211 $8,790.26 $8,801.64 $-838.73
(-8.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Aug 5, 2025 9:30am ET $43.80 200 $8,759.02 — — —
🔴 SELL Aug 25, 2025 9:30am ET $44.66 200 $8,931.08 $8,973.70 +$172.06
(+2.0%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
5 🟢 BUY Aug 29, 2025 9:30am ET $45.64 196 $8,945.11 — — —
🔴 SELL Sep 18, 2025 9:30am ET $50.50 196 $9,897.02 $9,925.61 +$951.91
(+10.6%) 		🎯 +5% Target
20d held
6 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2025 9:30am ET $50.85 195 $9,914.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 9:30am ET $54.31 195 $10,589.49 $10,600.33 +$674.72
(+6.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
7 🟢 BUY Oct 10, 2025 9:40am ET $54.70 193 $10,557.97 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 10, 2025 12:50pm ET $50.28 193 $9,704.04 $9,746.40 $-853.93
(-8.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3.2h held
8 🟢 BUY Oct 21, 2025 9:30am ET $53.82 181 $9,740.52 — — —
🔴 SELL Oct 28, 2025 12:30pm ET $59.22 181 $10,717.92 $10,723.80 +$977.40
(+10.0%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Oct 29, 2025 12:30pm ET $60.14 178 $10,704.03 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 5, 2025 9:30am ET $55.07 178 $9,801.57 $9,821.34 $-902.46
(-8.4%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
6.9d held
10 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET $52.19 188 $9,811.72 — — —
🔴 SELL Nov 20, 2025 12:40pm ET $47.78 188 $8,981.70 $8,991.32 $-830.02
(-8.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
13.1d held
11 🟢 BUY Dec 8, 2025 9:35am ET $56.67 158 $8,953.86 — — —
🔴 SELL Dec 15, 2025 10:20am ET $51.99 158 $8,214.42 $8,251.88 $-739.44
(-8.3%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
12 🟢 BUY Dec 17, 2025 9:30am ET $52.51 157 $8,244.07 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:30am ET $53.99 157 $8,476.43 $8,484.24 +$232.36
(+2.8%) 		⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
13 🟢 BUY Jan 13, 2026 9:40am ET $56.17 151 $8,481.65 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 20, 2026 10:05am ET $51.59 151 $7,790.09 $7,792.68 $-691.56
(-8.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
14 🟢 BUY Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET $56.72 137 $7,770.30 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 3, 2026 12:30pm ET $52.12 137 $7,139.85 $7,162.23 $-630.45
(-8.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 3:35pm ET $49.69 144 $7,156.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 10:30am ET $47.13 144 $6,787.28 $6,793.43 $-368.80
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:40am ET $45.35 149 $6,756.41 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 9:35am ET $42.97 149 $6,402.53 $6,439.56 $-353.88
(-5.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
17 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:55am ET $39.98 161 $6,436.78 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET $44.13 161 $7,104.13 $7,106.91 +$667.35
(+10.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $48.75 145 $7,068.75 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $53.65 145 $7,779.97 $7,818.13 +$711.22
(+10.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
7d held
19 🟢 BUY May 8, 2026 10:05am ET $74.50 104 $7,747.48 — — —
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 10:35am ET $82.02 104 $8,530.08 $8,600.73 +$782.60
(+10.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
18d held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 11:00am ET $77.95 110 $8,574.20 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 10:50am ET $73.54 110 $8,089.40 $8,115.93 $-484.80
(-5.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
21 🟢 BUY Jun 11, 2026 2:45pm ET $74.38 109 $8,106.88 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 9:30am ET $82.88 109 $9,033.92 $9,042.97 +$927.04
(+11.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3.8d held
22 🟢 BUY Jun 18, 2026 10:25am ET $82.34 109 $8,975.06 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 23, 2026 9:30am ET $74.96 109 $8,170.64 $8,238.55 $-804.42
(-9.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,238.55
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,761.45
Total Return: -17.61%
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