Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 09:19:39

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
62.8 neutral
20d Trend
+12.6%
5d Trend
+8.3%
EMA20 Dist
+8.3%
ATR%
4.8%
Range Pos
29%
Bounce Ratio
1.8×
Green/Red 10d
7/3

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 78%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.8/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 6.5/100
× Confidence 0.78 = 5.1

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (78%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
34,574
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-07 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
265 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$9,267.18
Current Value
$9,222.16
Period P&L
$-45.03
Max Drawdown
-36.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.04

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
8 / 10
Best Trade
+12.31%
Worst Trade
-13.58%
Avg Trade Return
+0.37%
Avg Hold Time
4.5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$325,284.83
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-45.03
Net P&L (after fees)
$-45.03
Gross Return
-0.49%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.49%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 VXX Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 265 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $9,267.18 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Apr 25, 2025 3:45pm ET $63.91 146 $9,330.86
🔴 SELL May 12, 2025 9:30am ET $55.23 146 $8,063.58 $8,087.50 $-1,267.28
(-13.6%)
🛑 -10% Stop
16.7d held
2 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2025 9:30am ET $52.31 154 $8,054.97
🔴 SELL Jun 26, 2025 10:20am ET $48.11 154 $7,408.92 $7,441.45 $-646.05
(-8.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
10d held
3 🟢 BUY Oct 13, 2025 9:35am ET $35.20 211 $7,428.11
🔴 SELL Oct 16, 2025 12:30pm ET $39.34 211 $8,300.74 $8,314.08 +$872.63
(+11.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 17, 2025 12:35pm ET $38.60 215 $8,299.00
🔴 SELL Oct 20, 2025 9:30am ET $35.36 215 $7,601.33 $7,616.41 $-697.68
(-8.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 5, 2025 9:35am ET $34.83 218 $7,591.85
🔴 SELL Nov 18, 2025 10:00am ET $38.55 218 $8,403.90 $8,428.46 +$812.05
(+10.7%)
🎯 +5% Target
13d held
6 🟢 BUY Nov 19, 2025 10:00am ET $36.30 232 $8,421.60
🔴 SELL Nov 21, 2025 10:25am ET $40.07 232 $9,296.24 $9,303.10 +$874.64
(+10.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
2d held
7 🟢 BUY Nov 24, 2025 10:25am ET $35.26 263 $9,273.38
🔴 SELL Nov 28, 2025 9:45am ET $32.39 263 $8,518.57 $8,548.29 $-754.81
(-8.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
8 🟢 BUY Jan 21, 2026 9:35am ET $28.19 303 $8,540.15
🔴 SELL Jan 23, 2026 10:45am ET $25.91 303 $7,850.73 $7,858.87 $-689.42
(-8.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
9 🟢 BUY Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET $26.81 293 $7,853.89
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 10:10am ET $29.57 293 $8,664.01 $8,668.99 +$810.12
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
3d held
10 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 10:10am ET $27.99 309 $8,648.91
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $26.63 309 $8,228.21 $8,248.29 $-420.70
(-4.9%)
📅 Sim Ended
3.2d held
11 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 9:50am ET $29.31 281 $8,234.71
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 9:55am ET $32.31 281 $9,079.08 $9,092.67 +$844.38
(+10.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
4d held
12 🟢 BUY Mar 5, 2026 10:25am ET $30.90 294 $9,084.60
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:35am ET $34.25 294 $10,069.50 $10,077.57 +$984.90
(+10.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.2h held
13 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:35am ET $36.18 278 $10,058.04
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 12:25pm ET $34.29 278 $9,532.62 $9,552.15 $-525.42
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held
14 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 3:25pm ET $32.58 293 $9,545.94
🔴 SELL Mar 19, 2026 9:30am ET $36.59 293 $10,720.87 $10,727.08 +$1,174.93
(+12.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
8.8d held
15 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 10:10am ET $35.05 306 $10,725.30
🔴 SELL Mar 23, 2026 9:50am ET $32.98 306 $10,091.88 $10,093.66 $-633.42
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
16 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:50am ET $35.42 284 $10,059.28
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 2:05pm ET $39.01 284 $11,080.26 $11,114.64 +$1,020.98
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.2d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:40am ET $37.10 299 $11,091.41
🔴 SELL Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET $34.96 299 $10,453.04 $10,476.27 $-638.37
(-5.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 11:00am ET $35.85 292 $10,466.74
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $31.55 292 $9,212.63 $9,222.16 $-1,254.11
(-12.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.5h held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,222.16
Net Profit/Loss: $-777.84
Total Return: -7.78%
Back to Momo Momentum