Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 13:00:47

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
74 overbought
20d Trend
+6.1%
5d Trend
+7.2%
EMA20 Dist
+5.3%
ATR%
1.8%
Range Pos
94%
Bounce Ratio
3.3×
Green/Red 10d
6/4

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

18
Lifetime
Confidence: 51%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
5.8/35
Total Return
12.1/25
Win Rate
8.9/15
Profit Factor
3.1/15
Consistency
5.9/10
Raw Quality 35.7/100
× Confidence 0.51 = 18.2

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (51%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last Year)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
30,275
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-05-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
266 days
Data Gaps
None (10 market holidays)

Market Closed (10 days)

2025-05-26 — Memorial Day, 2025-06-19 — Juneteenth, 2025-07-04 — Independence Day, 2025-09-01 — Labor Day, 2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last Year)

Period Start Capital
$13,343.11
Current Value
$12,729.87
Period P&L
$-613.24
Max Drawdown
-16.4%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.03

Trade Statistics (Last Year)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
4 / 4
Best Trade
+10.06%
Worst Trade
-7.07%
Avg Trade Return
-0.17%
Avg Hold Time
16.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last Year)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$194,367.36
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-613.24
Net P&L (after fees)
$-613.24
Gross Return
-4.60%
Net Return (after fees)
-4.60%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 WMT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 266 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last Year - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $13,343.11 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY May 1, 2025 9:40am ET $96.82 134 $12,973.88
🔴 SELL May 21, 2025 9:40am ET $97.09 134 $13,010.06 $13,087.17 +$36.18
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
2 🟢 BUY Aug 7, 2025 9:35am ET $103.39 126 $13,026.51
🔴 SELL Aug 27, 2025 9:35am ET $96.08 126 $12,106.08 $12,166.74 $-920.43
(-7.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
3 🟢 BUY Sep 19, 2025 9:30am ET $103.58 117 $12,118.86
🔴 SELL Oct 9, 2025 9:30am ET $102.97 117 $12,047.49 $12,095.37 $-71.37
(-0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
4 🟢 BUY Oct 16, 2025 9:30am ET $108.16 111 $12,005.75
🔴 SELL Nov 5, 2025 9:30am ET $101.13 111 $11,225.43 $11,315.05 $-780.32
(-6.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
5 🟢 BUY Nov 28, 2025 9:40am ET $109.82 103 $11,311.46
🔴 SELL Dec 18, 2025 9:40am ET $115.08 103 $11,853.24 $11,856.83 +$541.78
(+4.8%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
6 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 9:40am ET $113.99 104 $11,854.96
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:40am ET $110.94 104 $11,537.76 $11,539.63 $-317.20
(-2.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
7 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 9:35am ET $119.22 96 $11,445.12
🔴 SELL Feb 6, 2026 3:30pm ET $131.21 96 $12,596.16 $12,690.67 +$1,151.04
(+10.1%)
🎯 +5% Target
15.2d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 3:35pm ET $128.65 98 $12,607.70
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $129.05 98 $12,646.90 $12,729.87 +$39.20
(+0.3%)
📅 Sim Ended
18m held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $12,729.87
Net Profit/Loss: +$2,729.87
Total Return: +27.30%
Back to Momo Momentum