Compendium › Momo Momentum › RIVN
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
RIVN
Alpaca Tradeable

Momo Momentum's Analysis

Last 3 Months: 2026-03-24 to present • 4 trades in period

-7.58%
Last 3 Months Return
$16,490.35
Current Value
25%
Win Rate
$17,842.64
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-06-24 16:52:48

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
17.7 oversold
20d Trend
-28.4%
5d Trend
-8.8%
EMA20 Dist
-13.1%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
12%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

27
Lifetime
Confidence: 88%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
6.4/35
Total Return
15.1/25
Win Rate
3.8/15
Profit Factor
1.1/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 31.1/100
× Confidence 0.88 = 27.3

30-Day Momentum

0
-1.4%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
3
Trades
1.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-27 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (88%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$17,842.64
Current Value
$16,490.35
Period P&L
$-1,352.28
Max Drawdown
-35.8%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.21

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
4
Winners / Losers
1 / 3
Best Trade
+10.15%
Worst Trade
-5.68%
Avg Trade Return
-1.41%
Avg Hold Time
5d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$139,059.87
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,352.28
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,352.28
Gross Return
-7.58%
Net Return (after fees)
-7.58%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 RIVN Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 4 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $17,842.64 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 9:50am ET $15.70 1,121 $17,599.70 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 27, 2026 9:55am ET $14.91 1,121 $16,714.11 $16,721.63 $-885.59
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
4d held
2 🟢 BUY May 29, 2026 12:10pm ET $16.10 1,038 $16,716.99 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 3, 2026 10:05am ET $17.74 1,038 $18,414.12 $18,418.76 +$1,697.13
(+10.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 10:15am ET $17.25 1,067 $18,411.08 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 9, 2026 9:55am ET $16.27 1,067 $17,365.42 $17,373.10 $-1,045.66
(-5.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held
4 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 9:35am ET $16.03 1,083 $17,360.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 12:40pm ET $15.22 1,083 $16,477.85 $16,490.35 $-882.75
(-5.1%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
10.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $16,490.35
Net Profit/Loss: +$6,490.35
Total Return: +64.90%
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