Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 5: BULL TREND
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:23:43

Trend-following and momentum strategies active. Ride winners.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
55.8 neutral
20d Trend
+3.7%
5d Trend
-4.0%
EMA20 Dist
+1.4%
ATR%
3.2%
Range Pos
71%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
9/1

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

7
Lifetime
Confidence: 73%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
4.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
5.3/10
Raw Quality 9.7/100
× Confidence 0.73 = 7.1

30-Day Momentum

0
-24.6%
30d Return
0%
Win Rate
3
Trades
0.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 0.0 Conf: 0.61×
Cooling (-7 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (73%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,781
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
62 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$8,877.16
Current Value
$7,534.87
Period P&L
$-1,342.30
Max Drawdown
-23.0%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.20

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
3 / 5
Best Trade
+12.30%
Worst Trade
-14.18%
Avg Trade Return
-1.65%
Avg Hold Time
3.2d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$146,600.88
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-1,342.30
Net P&L (after fees)
$-1,342.30
Gross Return
-15.12%
Net Return (after fees)
-15.12%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 USO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 62 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $8,877.16 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 4, 2026 9:35am ET $76.62 115 $8,811.30
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $78.04 115 $8,974.03 $8,997.35 +$162.73
(+1.9%)
📅 Sim Ended
5.3d held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $87.67 102 $8,942.34
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 11:15am ET $96.44 102 $9,836.89 $9,891.90 +$894.55
(+10.0%)
🎯 +5% Target
3.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $119.16 83 $9,890.28
🔴 SELL Mar 9, 2026 12:45pm ET $113.07 83 $9,384.82 $9,386.44 $-505.46
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.3h held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 10, 2026 2:50pm ET $103.01 91 $9,373.71
🔴 SELL Mar 12, 2026 9:30am ET $115.68 91 $10,526.68 $10,539.41 +$1,152.97
(+12.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
1.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 24, 2026 9:35am ET $115.07 91 $10,471.37
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:30am ET $109.13 91 $9,930.83 $9,998.87 $-540.54
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.9h held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET $138.90 71 $9,861.90
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $119.21 71 $8,463.63 $8,600.60 $-1,398.27
(-14.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $133.26 64 $8,528.72
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:55am ET $126.26 64 $8,080.64 $8,152.52 $-448.08
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 29, 2026 10:30am ET $146.74 55 $8,070.70
🔴 SELL May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $135.51 55 $7,453.05 $7,534.87 $-617.65
(-7.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
7d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $7,534.87
Net Profit/Loss: $-2,465.13
Total Return: -24.65%
Back to Momo Momentum