Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 4: RECOVERY
Signals generated 2026-06-24 16:47:41

Bounce in progress. Hold existing positions, let trailing stops manage exits.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
17.3
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.51%
HIGH
Yield Curve
+0.34%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.65
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
46.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+2.4%
EMA20 Dist
-0.9%
ATR%
6.3%
Range Pos
19%
Bounce Ratio
1.6×
Green/Red 10d
4/6
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

62
Lifetime
Confidence: 88%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
20.7/25
Win Rate
5.7/15
Profit Factor
3.6/15
Consistency
5.0/10
Raw Quality 69.9/100
× Confidence 0.88 = 61.6

30-Day Momentum

57
+27.5%
30d Return
75%
Win Rate
4
Trades
2.9×
Profit Factor
Quality: 86.7 Conf: 0.66×
Cooling (-4 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (88%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
11,652
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-12-24 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
131 days
Data Gaps
None (7 market holidays)

Market Closed (7 days)

2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$30,465.71
Current Value
$40,663.18
Period P&L
$10,197.48
Max Drawdown
-30.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.27

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
16
Winners / Losers
8 / 8
Best Trade
+11.46%
Worst Trade
-8.36%
Avg Trade Return
+2.14%
Avg Hold Time
3.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,038,383.33
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$10,197.48
Net P&L (after fees)
$10,197.48
Gross Return
+33.47%
Net Return (after fees)
+33.47%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 ARM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 131 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 16 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $30,465.71 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET $117.66 258 $30,356.28
🔴 SELL Jan 29, 2026 9:55am ET $107.82 258 $27,817.59 $27,927.01 $-2,538.69
(-8.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $119.23 234 $27,899.87
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $124.78 234 $29,198.52 $29,225.66 +$1,298.65
(+4.7%)
📅 Sim Ended
6.4h held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 24, 2026 9:45am ET $128.59 227 $29,189.93
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 11:20am ET $122.16 227 $27,729.53 $27,765.26 $-1,460.40
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.1d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET $137.83 201 $27,703.83
🔴 SELL Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET $152.91 201 $30,735.91 $30,797.34 +$3,032.08
(+10.9%)
🎯 +5% Target
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 9:50am ET $145.30 211 $30,658.30
🔴 SELL Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $161.95 211 $34,171.45 $34,310.49 +$3,513.15
(+11.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
14d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 22, 2026 10:25am ET $186.49 183 $34,127.67
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:50am ET $205.57 183 $37,620.22 $37,803.04 +$3,492.55
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 24, 2026 10:50am ET $229.64 164 $37,660.96
🔴 SELL Apr 27, 2026 9:40am ET $217.30 164 $35,637.20 $35,779.28 $-2,023.76
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 12:10pm ET $214.01 167 $35,739.67
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 10:25am ET $202.41 167 $33,802.47 $33,842.08 $-1,937.20
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.9d held
9 🟢 BUY May 6, 2026 9:30am ET $228.92 147 $33,650.86
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 10:05am ET $217.21 147 $31,929.14 $32,120.36 $-1,721.72
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
10 🟢 BUY May 13, 2026 10:20am ET $217.65 147 $31,994.55
🔴 SELL May 18, 2026 9:40am ET $206.01 147 $30,283.47 $30,409.28 $-1,711.08
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
5d held
11 🟢 BUY May 19, 2026 9:40am ET $219.50 138 $30,291.00
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 10:20am ET $208.32 138 $28,748.85 $28,867.13 $-1,542.15
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held
12 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 10:20am ET $254.39 113 $28,746.07
🔴 SELL May 21, 2026 9:45am ET $281.07 113 $31,760.91 $31,881.97 +$3,014.84
(+10.5%)
🎯 +5% Target
23.4h held
13 🟢 BUY May 22, 2026 9:55am ET $302.70 105 $31,783.50
🔴 SELL May 28, 2026 10:40am ET $333.50 105 $35,017.51 $35,115.98 +$3,234.01
(+10.2%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
14 🟢 BUY Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $395.64 88 $34,816.32
🔴 SELL Jun 4, 2026 10:00am ET $372.29 88 $32,761.52 $33,061.18 $-2,054.80
(-5.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3d held
15 🟢 BUY Jun 9, 2026 2:10pm ET $317.58 104 $33,028.32
🔴 SELL Jun 12, 2026 9:30am ET $353.54 104 $36,768.16 $36,801.02 +$3,739.84
(+11.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held
16 🟢 BUY Jun 15, 2026 11:05am ET $396.15 92 $36,445.80
🔴 SELL Jun 17, 2026 2:40pm ET $438.13 92 $40,307.96 $40,663.18 +$3,862.16
(+10.6%)
🎯 +5% Target
2.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $40,663.18
Net Profit/Loss: +$30,663.18
Total Return: +306.63%
Back to Momo Momentum