Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
Signals generated 2026-05-07 11:23:39

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
13.3 oversold
20d Trend
-41.6%
5d Trend
-28.6%
EMA20 Dist
-26.6%
ATR%
7.5%
Range Pos
2%
Bounce Ratio
0.1×
Green/Red 10d
1/9

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

62
Lifetime
Confidence: 85%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
35.0/35
Total Return
21.0/25
Win Rate
7.2/15
Profit Factor
3.4/15
Consistency
6.8/10
Raw Quality 73.4/100
× Confidence 0.85 = 62.2

30-Day Momentum

40
+17.2%
30d Return
67%
Win Rate
3
Trades
2.0×
Profit Factor
Quality: 65.3 Conf: 0.61×
Declining (-22 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (85%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,959
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$48,749.68
Current Value
$43,595.38
Period P&L
$-5,154.28
Max Drawdown
-31.1%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.16

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
2 / 6
Best Trade
+11.37%
Worst Trade
-8.16%
Avg Trade Return
-1.14%
Avg Hold Time
5.9d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$678,678.97
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-5,154.28
Net P&L (after fees)
$-5,154.28
Gross Return
-10.57%
Net Return (after fees)
-10.57%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 HOOD Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $48,749.68 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 5, 2025 9:30am ET $134.14 363 $48,692.82
🔴 SELL Dec 11, 2025 3:05pm ET $123.20 363 $44,721.60 $44,778.44 $-3,971.22
(-8.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6.2d held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 19, 2025 9:30am ET $119.21 375 $44,703.75
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET $116.11 375 $43,541.25 $43,615.94 $-1,162.50
(-2.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
20d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET $77.06 565 $43,538.90
🔴 SELL Mar 3, 2026 10:20am ET $73.07 565 $41,286.02 $41,363.06 $-2,252.88
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
4 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 10:20am ET $82.95 498 $41,309.05
🔴 SELL Mar 5, 2026 11:25am ET $78.74 498 $39,212.52 $39,266.53 $-2,096.53
(-5.1%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET $73.77 532 $39,248.09
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 12:30pm ET $69.90 532 $37,186.80 $37,205.25 $-2,061.28
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 2, 2026 11:10am ET $69.11 538 $37,181.13
🔴 SELL Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $76.96 538 $41,407.17 $41,431.29 +$4,226.04
(+11.4%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 14, 2026 9:30am ET $75.24 550 $41,382.00
🔴 SELL Apr 15, 2026 9:30am ET $83.36 550 $45,848.55 $45,897.84 +$4,466.55
(+10.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
1d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $90.10 509 $45,860.90
🔴 SELL Apr 23, 2026 10:00am ET $85.58 509 $43,558.44 $43,595.38 $-2,302.46
(-5.0%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $43,595.38
Net Profit/Loss: +$33,595.38
Total Return: +335.95%
Back to Momo Momentum