Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 12:59:15

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
47.7 neutral
20d Trend
-0.8%
5d Trend
-0.8%
EMA20 Dist
-0.1%
ATR%
4.5%
Range Pos
9%
Bounce Ratio
2.0×
Green/Red 10d
5/5

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 76%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.4/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.4/10
Raw Quality 5.8/100
× Confidence 0.76 = 4.4

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (76%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 6 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
15,928
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2025-11-07 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
138 days
Data Gaps
None (6 market holidays)

Market Closed (6 days)

2025-11-27 — Thanksgiving, 2025-12-25 — Christmas Day, 2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 6 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,714.57
Current Value
$8,844.65
Period P&L
$-869.91
Max Drawdown
-51.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11

Trade Statistics (Last 6 Months)

Trades in Period
8
Winners / Losers
3 / 5
Best Trade
+12.31%
Worst Trade
-8.33%
Avg Trade Return
-0.87%
Avg Hold Time
4.8d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 6 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$138,607.07
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-869.91
Net P&L (after fees)
$-869.91
Gross Return
-8.95%
Net Return (after fees)
-8.95%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 NIO Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 138 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 6 Months - 8 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $9,714.57 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Nov 7, 2025 9:30am ET $6.92 1,404 $9,713.71
🔴 SELL Nov 13, 2025 10:30am ET $6.34 1,404 $8,904.17 $8,905.01 $-809.55
(-8.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
6d held
2 🟢 BUY Dec 31, 2025 9:30am ET $5.16 1,727 $8,902.69
🔴 SELL Jan 8, 2026 9:40am ET $4.73 1,727 $8,168.71 $8,171.04 $-733.98
(-8.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $4.76 1,716 $8,167.64
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $4.88 1,716 $8,365.50 $8,368.89 +$197.86
(+2.4%)
📅 Sim Ended
6.4h held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 10:00am ET $5.33 1,569 $8,363.71
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 12:20pm ET $5.05 1,569 $7,925.02 $7,930.20 $-438.69
(-5.2%)
🛑 -10% Stop
3.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 10:40am ET $4.78 1,659 $7,929.85
🔴 SELL Mar 10, 2026 9:35am ET $5.37 1,659 $8,905.68 $8,906.02 +$975.82
(+12.3%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 10:10am ET $5.79 1,538 $8,905.02
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 12:25pm ET $5.48 1,538 $8,428.24 $8,429.24 $-476.78
(-5.4%)
🛑 -10% Stop
8.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:05am ET $5.80 1,454 $8,425.93
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:35am ET $6.42 1,454 $9,332.21 $9,335.52 +$906.28
(+10.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
6d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET $6.43 1,451 $9,329.93
🔴 SELL Apr 9, 2026 11:10am ET $6.09 1,451 $8,839.06 $8,844.65 $-490.87
(-5.3%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $8,844.65
Net Profit/Loss: $-1,155.35
Total Return: -11.55%
Back to Momo Momentum