Compendium › Momo Momentum › MRNA
Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
Period: 1M 3M 6M YTD 1Y 2Y
MRNA
Alpaca Tradeable

Momo Momentum's Analysis

Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 13 trades in period

+89.23%
Year to Date Return
$9,554.63
Current Value
69%
Win Rate
$5,049.10
Period Start
Login to Apply
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 13:00:49

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
45 neutral
20d Trend
-0.3%
5d Trend
-10.0%
EMA20 Dist
-6.7%
ATR%
7.8%
Range Pos
52%
Bounce Ratio
0.4×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

4
Lifetime
Confidence: 83%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
1.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
3.9/10
Raw Quality 5.3/100
× Confidence 0.83 = 4.5

30-Day Momentum

Insufficient Recent Data
Fewer than 3 trades in the last 30 days. Momentum scores require recent trading activity.
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (83%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Year to Date)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
8,563
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-07
Trading Days
93 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)

Market Closed (4 days)

2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Year to Date)

Period Start Capital
$5,049.10
Current Value
$9,554.63
Period P&L
$4,505.53
Max Drawdown
-67.9%
Sharpe Ratio
0.61

Trade Statistics (Year to Date)

Trades in Period
13
Winners / Losers
9 / 4
Best Trade
+11.92%
Worst Trade
-8.46%
Avg Trade Return
+4.93%
Avg Hold Time
5.3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$185,891.46
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$4,505.53
Net P&L (after fees)
$4,505.53
Gross Return
+89.23%
Net Return (after fees)
+89.23%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 MRNA Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 93 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Year to Date - 13 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Momo Momentum had $5,049.10 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Dec 29, 2025 9:55am ET $31.22 170 $5,307.40 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 6, 2026 9:40am ET $34.45 170 $5,855.65 $5,882.96 +$548.25
(+10.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
8d held
2 🟢 BUY Jan 7, 2026 9:45am ET $34.85 168 $5,854.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 13, 2026 12:20pm ET $38.36 168 $6,443.64 $6,471.80 +$588.84
(+10.1%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.1d held
3 🟢 BUY Jan 14, 2026 12:20pm ET $39.86 162 $6,457.32 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 21, 2026 9:30am ET $44.38 162 $7,188.75 $7,203.23 +$731.43
(+11.3%) 		🎯 +5% Target
6.9d held
4 🟢 BUY Jan 22, 2026 9:35am ET $50.72 142 $7,202.25 — — —
🔴 SELL Jan 27, 2026 12:45pm ET $46.57 142 $6,612.94 $6,613.91 $-589.31
(-8.2%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
5.1d held
5 🟢 BUY Jan 28, 2026 12:45pm ET $44.70 147 $6,570.90 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 5, 2026 1:00pm ET $40.92 147 $6,015.24 $6,058.25 $-555.66
(-8.5%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
8d held
6 🟢 BUY Feb 6, 2026 1:05pm ET $40.10 151 $6,055.10 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $41.91 151 $6,328.41 $6,331.56 +$273.31
(+4.5%) 		📅 Sim Ended
3.1d held
7 🟢 BUY Feb 18, 2026 9:30am ET $46.90 135 $6,331.23 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 23, 2026 9:40am ET $52.49 135 $7,086.15 $7,086.48 +$754.92
(+11.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5d held
8 🟢 BUY Feb 25, 2026 9:45am ET $53.80 131 $7,047.80 — — —
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 10:20am ET $51.10 131 $6,693.56 $6,732.24 $-354.24
(-5.0%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 4, 2026 9:40am ET $53.10 126 $6,690.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 4, 2026 2:50pm ET $58.88 126 $7,418.53 $7,460.17 +$727.93
(+10.9%) 		🎯 +5% Target
5.2h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 6, 2026 1:15pm ET $51.86 143 $7,416.62 — — —
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 10:20am ET $57.25 143 $8,186.75 $8,230.30 +$770.13
(+10.4%) 		🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 31, 2026 10:05am ET $49.90 164 $8,183.60 — — —
🔴 SELL Apr 17, 2026 9:30am ET $55.50 164 $9,102.00 $9,148.70 +$918.40
(+11.2%) 		🎯 +5% Target
17d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 10:45am ET $47.82 191 $9,133.62 — — —
🔴 SELL May 1, 2026 9:35am ET $45.09 191 $8,612.19 $8,627.27 $-521.43
(-5.7%) 		🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held
13 🟢 BUY May 4, 2026 9:55am ET $46.65 184 $8,584.52 — — —
🔴 SELL May 7, 2026 9:30am ET $51.69 184 $9,511.88 $9,554.63 +$927.36
(+10.8%) 		🎯 +5% Target
3d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,554.63
Net Profit/Loss: $-445.37
Total Return: -4.45%
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