Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 3: CAPITULATION
Signals generated 2026-06-24 20:31:44

Extreme fear + bounces appearing. Mean reversion and reversal strategies have best edge NOW.

Fear & Greed
17
Extreme Fear
VIX
19.5
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.50%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.30%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.71
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟠 1.5
Active
RSI(14)
49.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
0.7%
Range Pos
20%
Bounce Ratio
2.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Active magnetosphere: slight tilt toward volume/macro strategies.

Strategy Score Scored Jun 24, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.7/10
Raw Quality 5.1/100
× Confidence 1.00 = 5.1

30-Day Momentum

18
+1.5%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
6
Trades
1.6×
Profit Factor
Quality: 24.2 Conf: 0.74×
Accelerating (+13 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,992
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-03-24 → 2026-06-24
Trading Days
64 days
Data Gaps
None (3 market holidays)

Market Closed (3 days)

2026-04-03 — Good Friday, 2026-05-25 — Memorial Day, 2026-06-19 — Juneteenth
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$9,753.61
Current Value
$9,647.29
Period P&L
$-106.29
Max Drawdown
-13.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.11

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
20
Winners / Losers
8 / 12
Best Trade
+1.84%
Worst Trade
-1.66%
Avg Trade Return
-0.09%
Avg Hold Time
3d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$387,275.09
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-106.29
Net P&L (after fees)
$-106.29
Gross Return
-1.09%
Net Return (after fees)
-1.09%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TLT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 64 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 20 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $9,753.61 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:40am ET $86.35 113 $9,756.99
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $85.69 113 $9,683.53 $9,745.67 $-73.45
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
2 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 1:10pm ET $86.66 112 $9,705.92
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 1:20pm ET $86.01 112 $9,633.12 $9,672.87 $-72.80
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
3 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 1:20pm ET $85.80 112 $9,609.60
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 1:20pm ET $86.78 112 $9,718.80 $9,782.07 +$109.20
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $86.28 113 $9,749.64
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $86.51 113 $9,775.63 $9,808.06 +$25.99
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
5 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $86.54 113 $9,779.02
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $86.63 113 $9,788.96 $9,818.00 +$9.94
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
6 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $86.43 113 $9,766.59
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $86.90 113 $9,819.70 $9,871.11 +$53.11
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
7 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 12:00pm ET $87.03 113 $9,834.39
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 12:00pm ET $86.91 113 $9,820.59 $9,857.31 $-13.80
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
8 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 12:25pm ET $86.71 113 $9,798.79
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 12:25pm ET $86.71 113 $9,798.23 $9,856.75 $-0.56
(-0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
9 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 1:10pm ET $86.28 114 $9,835.92
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 2:45pm ET $85.57 114 $9,754.41 $9,775.24 $-81.51
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
10 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 3:00pm ET $85.68 114 $9,768.09
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $85.35 114 $9,729.90 $9,737.05 $-38.19
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held
11 🟢 BUY May 5, 2026 1:25pm ET $85.36 114 $9,730.47
🔴 SELL May 8, 2026 1:25pm ET $86.08 114 $9,813.69 $9,820.27 +$83.22
(+0.9%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
12 🟢 BUY May 11, 2026 1:25pm ET $85.59 114 $9,757.26
🔴 SELL May 12, 2026 2:40pm ET $84.94 114 $9,683.73 $9,746.74 $-73.53
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held
13 🟢 BUY May 14, 2026 10:55am ET $85.28 114 $9,721.35
🔴 SELL May 15, 2026 9:30am ET $83.86 114 $9,560.04 $9,585.43 $-161.31
(-1.7%)
🛑 -10% Stop
22.6h held
14 🟢 BUY May 18, 2026 10:35am ET $83.52 114 $9,521.28
🔴 SELL May 19, 2026 10:25am ET $82.80 114 $9,439.50 $9,503.65 $-81.78
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
23.8h held
15 🟢 BUY May 20, 2026 12:40pm ET $83.79 113 $9,467.71
🔴 SELL May 26, 2026 9:30am ET $85.33 113 $9,642.29 $9,678.23 +$174.58
(+1.8%)
🎯 +5% Target
5.9d held
16 🟢 BUY May 27, 2026 11:10am ET $85.32 113 $9,640.60
🔴 SELL Jun 1, 2026 9:30am ET $84.92 113 $9,596.19 $9,633.82 $-44.41
(-0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
4.9d held
17 🟢 BUY Jun 2, 2026 10:45am ET $85.71 112 $9,600.08
🔴 SELL Jun 5, 2026 9:30am ET $84.97 112 $9,517.20 $9,550.94 $-82.88
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
18 🟢 BUY Jun 8, 2026 10:15am ET $84.98 112 $9,517.76
🔴 SELL Jun 11, 2026 10:15am ET $85.31 112 $9,554.73 $9,587.91 +$36.97
(+0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
19 🟢 BUY Jun 12, 2026 10:15am ET $85.54 112 $9,581.04
🔴 SELL Jun 15, 2026 10:15am ET $86.10 112 $9,643.20 $9,650.07 +$62.16
(+0.6%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
20 🟢 BUY Jun 16, 2026 3:00pm ET $86.32 111 $9,580.97
🔴 SELL Jun 22, 2026 9:30am ET $86.29 111 $9,578.19 $9,647.29 $-2.78
(-0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,647.29
Net Profit/Loss: $-352.71
Total Return: -3.53%
Back to Nina Micro