Simulated with $10,000 starting capital
PHASE 0: RANGING
Signals generated 2026-05-07 09:15:04

No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.

Fear & Greed
47
Neutral
VIX
17.4
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.49%
NORMAL
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🟢 0.5
Quiet
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
49.9 neutral
20d Trend
-0.2%
5d Trend
+0.1%
EMA20 Dist
+0.1%
ATR%
0.7%
Range Pos
20%
Bounce Ratio
2.0×
Green/Red 10d
3/7

Strategy Score Scored May 7, 2026

5
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%

Quality Components

Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.5/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.8/10
Raw Quality 5.3/100
× Confidence 0.99 = 5.3

30-Day Momentum

3
-0.7%
30d Return
33%
Win Rate
6
Trades
0.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 4.3 Conf: 0.74×
Cooling (-2 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works: Score = Quality × Confidence. Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions: Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts). Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness — more trades + recent activity = higher confidence. Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window. PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.

Data Transparency (Last 3 Months)

Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
4,758
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-02-09 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
61 days
Data Gaps
None (2 market holidays)

Market Closed (2 days)

2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets

✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET

To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.

Performance Summary (Last 3 Months)

Period Start Capital
$10,112.18
Current Value
$9,737.05
Period P&L
$-375.10
Max Drawdown
-13.7%
Sharpe Ratio
-0.35

Trade Statistics (Last 3 Months)

Trades in Period
18
Winners / Losers
7 / 11
Best Trade
+1.14%
Worst Trade
-0.85%
Avg Trade Return
-0.21%
Avg Hold Time
2.7d

💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Last 3 Months)

Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$354,595.34
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-375.10
Net P&L (after fees)
$-375.10
Gross Return
-3.71%
Net Return (after fees)
-3.71%

✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading. No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.

Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time

Each dot is a completed trade. Green = profitable trade, Red = losing trade. Hover for details.

The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset

Price Action + Equity Overlay

📈 TLT Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.

🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 61 trading days 🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points

Trade History (Last 3 Months - 18 trades)

How to Read This Table

Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $10,112.18 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.

# Action Date & Time Price/Share Shares Total Value Balance After Result Exit Reason
1 🟢 BUY Feb 9, 2026 9:30am ET $87.14 116 $10,108.24
🔴 SELL Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET $87.51 116 $10,151.16 $10,155.07 +$42.92
(+0.4%)
📅 Sim Ended
6.4h held
2 🟢 BUY Feb 17, 2026 11:45am ET $89.94 112 $10,073.84
🔴 SELL Feb 20, 2026 10:10am ET $89.18 112 $9,988.17 $10,069.40 $-85.67
(-0.9%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held
3 🟢 BUY Feb 23, 2026 1:50pm ET $89.89 112 $10,067.41
🔴 SELL Feb 26, 2026 1:50pm ET $90.12 112 $10,093.42 $10,095.41 +$26.01
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
4 🟢 BUY Feb 27, 2026 3:20pm ET $90.73 111 $10,071.03
🔴 SELL Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET $89.98 111 $9,987.78 $10,012.16 $-83.25
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
5 🟢 BUY Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET $88.99 112 $9,966.88
🔴 SELL Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET $88.33 112 $9,892.96 $9,938.24 $-73.92
(-0.7%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
6 🟢 BUY Mar 9, 2026 9:30am ET $88.28 112 $9,887.36
🔴 SELL Mar 11, 2026 9:45am ET $87.61 112 $9,812.88 $9,863.76 $-74.48
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held
7 🟢 BUY Mar 12, 2026 9:45am ET $86.91 113 $9,820.83
🔴 SELL Mar 16, 2026 9:30am ET $87.18 113 $9,851.34 $9,894.27 +$30.51
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
4d held
8 🟢 BUY Mar 17, 2026 2:10pm ET $87.47 113 $9,884.67
🔴 SELL Mar 20, 2026 9:30am ET $86.81 113 $9,809.53 $9,819.12 $-75.15
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held
9 🟢 BUY Mar 23, 2026 11:40am ET $86.35 113 $9,756.99
🔴 SELL Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET $85.69 113 $9,683.53 $9,745.67 $-73.45
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held
10 🟢 BUY Mar 25, 2026 1:10pm ET $86.66 112 $9,705.92
🔴 SELL Mar 26, 2026 1:20pm ET $86.01 112 $9,633.12 $9,672.87 $-72.80
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
1d held
11 🟢 BUY Mar 27, 2026 1:20pm ET $85.80 112 $9,609.60
🔴 SELL Mar 30, 2026 1:20pm ET $86.78 112 $9,718.80 $9,782.07 +$109.20
(+1.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
12 🟢 BUY Apr 1, 2026 9:30am ET $86.28 113 $9,749.64
🔴 SELL Apr 6, 2026 9:30am ET $86.51 113 $9,775.63 $9,808.06 +$25.99
(+0.3%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
5d held
13 🟢 BUY Apr 7, 2026 9:30am ET $86.54 113 $9,779.02
🔴 SELL Apr 10, 2026 9:30am ET $86.63 113 $9,788.96 $9,818.00 +$9.94
(+0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
14 🟢 BUY Apr 13, 2026 9:30am ET $86.43 113 $9,766.59
🔴 SELL Apr 16, 2026 9:30am ET $86.90 113 $9,819.70 $9,871.11 +$53.11
(+0.5%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
15 🟢 BUY Apr 17, 2026 12:00pm ET $87.03 113 $9,834.39
🔴 SELL Apr 20, 2026 12:00pm ET $86.91 113 $9,820.59 $9,857.31 $-13.80
(-0.1%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
16 🟢 BUY Apr 21, 2026 12:25pm ET $86.71 113 $9,798.79
🔴 SELL Apr 24, 2026 12:25pm ET $86.71 113 $9,798.23 $9,856.75 $-0.56
(-0.0%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held
17 🟢 BUY Apr 27, 2026 1:10pm ET $86.28 114 $9,835.92
🔴 SELL Apr 29, 2026 2:45pm ET $85.57 114 $9,754.41 $9,775.24 $-81.51
(-0.8%)
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1d held
18 🟢 BUY Apr 30, 2026 3:00pm ET $85.68 114 $9,768.09
🔴 SELL May 4, 2026 9:30am ET $85.35 114 $9,729.90 $9,737.05 $-38.19
(-0.4%)
⏰ 30 Day Max
3.8d held
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested: $10,000.00
Ended with: $9,737.05
Net Profit/Loss: $-262.95
Total Return: -2.63%
Back to Nina Micro