ARKK Nina Micro's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 53 trades in period
-0.16%
Year to Date Return
$9,899.50
Current Value
32%
Win Rate
$9,915.07
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
19.1 oversold
20d Trend
-20.9%
5d Trend
-12.4%
EMA20 Dist
-13.6%
ATR%
4.1%
Range Pos
3%
Bounce Ratio
0.5×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
4
Lifetime
Confidence: 99%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
0.0/35
Total Return
0.0/25
Win Rate
0.0/15
Profit Factor
0.0/15
Consistency
4.1/10
Raw Quality
4.1/100
× Confidence 0.99
= 4.1
30-Day Momentum
34
+4.9%
30d Return
38%
Win Rate
13
Trades
1.5×
Profit Factor
Quality: 36.1
Conf: 0.95×
Accelerating (+30 vs lifetime)
Momentum below PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (99%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,686
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
91 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$9,915.07
Current Value
$9,899.50
Period P&L
$-15.56
Max Drawdown
-29.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.00
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
53
Winners / Losers
17 /
36
Best Trade
+7.08%
Worst Trade
-2.74%
Avg Trade Return
-0.00%
Avg Hold Time
18.9h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,022,349.82
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$-15.56
Net P&L (after fees)
$-15.56
Gross Return
-0.16%
Net Return (after fees)
-0.16%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 ARKK Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 91 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 53 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $9,915.07 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Dec 31, 2025 2:15pm ET | $77.40 | 129 | $9,984.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $80.16 | 129 | $10,340.96 | $10,343.66 |
+$356.01 (+3.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.8d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 10:55am ET | $81.54 | 126 | $10,274.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 12:55pm ET | $80.89 | 126 | $10,192.14 | $10,261.76 |
$-81.90 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 1:00pm ET | $81.58 | 125 | $10,197.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $80.70 | 125 | $10,087.50 | $10,151.76 |
$-110.00 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.5h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 10:05am ET | $79.79 | 127 | $10,133.33 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 9, 2026 10:30am ET | $81.07 | 127 | $10,295.26 | $10,313.69 |
+$161.92 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
25m held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 12, 2026 12:30pm ET | $82.03 | 125 | $10,253.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 2:50pm ET | $83.46 | 125 | $10,431.88 | $10,491.81 |
+$178.13 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.1d held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 1:35pm ET | $83.29 | 125 | $10,411.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 3:00pm ET | $82.60 | 125 | $10,325.00 | $10,405.56 |
$-86.25 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.4h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 3:00pm ET | $81.90 | 127 | $10,400.67 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $79.66 | 127 | $10,116.19 | $10,121.08 |
$-284.48 (-2.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.8d held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:40am ET | $79.08 | 127 | $10,043.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 21, 2026 12:10pm ET | $78.40 | 127 | $9,956.46 | $10,034.38 |
$-86.70 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 22, 2026 3:20pm ET | $82.16 | 122 | $10,023.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 9:45am ET | $81.50 | 122 | $9,942.39 | $9,953.25 |
$-81.13 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
18.4h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 1:00pm ET | $80.51 | 123 | $9,902.12 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $79.84 | 123 | $9,820.32 | $9,871.45 |
$-81.79 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.6h held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 28, 2026 10:40am ET | $79.47 | 124 | $9,854.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $78.47 | 124 | $9,730.28 | $9,747.45 |
$-124.00 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.8h held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 9:45am ET | $76.76 | 126 | $9,671.13 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 30, 2026 9:55am ET | $76.16 | 126 | $9,596.16 | $9,672.48 |
$-74.97 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 2, 2026 9:55am ET | $74.12 | 130 | $9,635.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 11:20am ET | $73.44 | 130 | $9,547.20 | $9,584.08 |
$-88.40 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 11:20am ET | $70.31 | 136 | $9,562.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 11:40am ET | $69.64 | 136 | $9,471.04 | $9,492.96 |
$-91.12 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 1:05pm ET | $67.51 | 140 | $9,451.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 5, 2026 1:45pm ET | $66.89 | 140 | $9,364.60 | $9,406.16 |
$-86.80 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 6, 2026 1:55pm ET | $69.94 | 134 | $9,372.63 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 10:00am ET | $71.12 | 134 | $9,530.08 | $9,563.61 |
+$157.45 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 10, 2026 11:40am ET | $73.04 | 130 | $9,495.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 10, 2026 1:45pm ET | $72.47 | 130 | $9,421.75 | $9,490.16 |
$-73.45 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.1h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $69.48 | 136 | $9,449.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 9:55am ET | $68.75 | 136 | $9,350.68 | $9,391.56 |
$-98.60 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 11:45am ET | $72.16 | 130 | $9,380.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 18, 2026 2:35pm ET | $71.33 | 130 | $9,272.90 | $9,283.66 |
$-107.90 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8h held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 12:00pm ET | $71.91 | 129 | $9,276.39 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 12:20pm ET | $71.07 | 129 | $9,168.03 | $9,175.30 |
$-108.36 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 12:35pm ET | $69.21 | 132 | $9,136.38 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 24, 2026 9:35am ET | $70.34 | 132 | $9,284.88 | $9,323.80 |
+$148.50 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 25, 2026 11:05am ET | $73.33 | 127 | $9,312.91 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 10:20am ET | $72.74 | 127 | $9,237.98 | $9,248.87 |
$-74.93 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.3h held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 10:20am ET | $72.89 | 126 | $9,183.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 27, 2026 1:15pm ET | $72.30 | 126 | $9,109.80 | $9,175.16 |
$-73.71 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $71.45 | 128 | $9,145.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 9:50am ET | $70.64 | 128 | $9,041.92 | $9,071.48 |
$-103.68 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 1:10pm ET | $74.82 | 121 | $9,053.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $74.13 | 121 | $8,969.73 | $8,987.99 |
$-83.49 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20.3h held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:30am ET | $72.06 | 124 | $8,935.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 11:50am ET | $73.19 | 124 | $9,075.56 | $9,128.11 |
+$140.12 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.3h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 9, 2026 1:35pm ET | $72.52 | 125 | $9,065.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 9, 2026 3:25pm ET | $73.92 | 125 | $9,240.00 | $9,303.11 |
+$175.00 (+1.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 3:25pm ET | $72.86 | 127 | $9,252.59 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 11, 2026 9:40am ET | $73.98 | 127 | $9,395.46 | $9,445.99 |
+$142.88 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 12, 2026 9:40am ET | $72.35 | 130 | $9,405.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 12, 2026 9:55am ET | $71.53 | 130 | $9,298.25 | $9,338.74 |
$-107.25 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 13, 2026 10:45am ET | $71.14 | 131 | $9,319.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 11:45am ET | $70.37 | 131 | $9,218.47 | $9,237.87 |
$-100.87 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1h held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 12:00pm ET | $71.57 | 129 | $9,232.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 17, 2026 9:35am ET | $72.80 | 129 | $9,391.20 | $9,396.54 |
+$158.67 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.6h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 9:35am ET | $72.60 | 129 | $9,364.76 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 10:45am ET | $72.00 | 129 | $9,288.00 | $9,319.78 |
$-76.76 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 12:15pm ET | $70.34 | 132 | $9,284.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 19, 2026 3:10pm ET | $71.62 | 132 | $9,453.84 | $9,488.74 |
+$168.96 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 20, 2026 3:10pm ET | $68.68 | 138 | $9,477.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $70.02 | 138 | $9,662.76 | $9,673.66 |
+$184.92 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 9:30am ET | $70.11 | 137 | $9,605.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 24, 2026 9:50am ET | $69.43 | 137 | $9,511.91 | $9,580.23 |
$-93.43 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20m held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 25, 2026 11:10am ET | $70.35 | 136 | $9,567.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 12:05pm ET | $69.82 | 136 | $9,494.84 | $9,507.47 |
$-72.76 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 12:20pm ET | $68.46 | 138 | $9,447.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 1:15pm ET | $67.94 | 138 | $9,376.41 | $9,436.40 |
$-71.07 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
55m held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 1:15pm ET | $64.90 | 145 | $9,411.22 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 10:00am ET | $64.28 | 145 | $9,320.60 | $9,345.78 |
$-90.63 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 12:20pm ET | $65.56 | 142 | $9,309.52 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 12:45pm ET | $66.89 | 142 | $9,498.38 | $9,534.64 |
+$188.86 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
25m held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 1, 2026 1:55pm ET | $68.89 | 138 | $9,507.51 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 1, 2026 2:25pm ET | $68.19 | 138 | $9,410.91 | $9,438.04 |
$-96.60 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:40am ET | $68.95 | 136 | $9,377.20 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 6, 2026 1:10pm ET | $68.43 | 136 | $9,306.48 | $9,367.32 |
$-70.72 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.5h held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 7, 2026 2:45pm ET | $68.10 | 137 | $9,329.70 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 9:30am ET | $72.92 | 137 | $9,990.20 | $10,027.83 |
+$660.51 (+7.1%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 9:50am ET | $69.40 | 144 | $9,993.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 9, 2026 10:05am ET | $68.81 | 144 | $9,908.64 | $9,942.87 |
$-84.96 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 10, 2026 11:40am ET | $69.07 | 143 | $9,877.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $70.46 | 143 | $10,075.78 | $10,141.64 |
+$198.77 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 12:40pm ET | $74.96 | 135 | $10,120.27 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 14, 2026 2:10pm ET | $74.35 | 135 | $10,036.58 | $10,057.94 |
$-83.70 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.5h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 9:55am ET | $75.90 | 132 | $10,018.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 10:00am ET | $77.17 | 132 | $10,186.44 | $10,225.58 |
+$167.64 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5m held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 11:40am ET | $79.61 | 128 | $10,190.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $78.50 | 128 | $10,048.00 | $10,083.50 |
$-142.08 (-1.4%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 10:55am ET | $79.04 | 127 | $10,038.08 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $78.14 | 127 | $9,923.15 | $9,968.57 |
$-114.93 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 11:20am ET | $79.09 | 126 | $9,965.34 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $78.49 | 126 | $9,889.11 | $9,892.34 |
$-76.23 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.2h held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 24, 2026 10:40am ET | $76.61 | 129 | $9,882.69 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 27, 2026 10:40am ET | $76.89 | 129 | $9,918.81 | $9,928.46 |
+$36.12 (+0.4%) |
⏰ 30 Day Max
3d held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 28, 2026 10:50am ET | $74.90 | 132 | $9,887.46 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 9:30am ET | $74.14 | 132 | $9,786.48 | $9,827.48 |
$-100.98 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.7h held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 1:00pm ET | $75.32 | 130 | $9,791.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 10:40am ET | $76.45 | 130 | $9,938.50 | $9,974.38 |
+$146.90 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21.7h held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 11:40am ET | $77.78 | 128 | $9,955.84 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 5, 2026 11:20am ET | $77.19 | 128 | $9,880.96 | $9,899.50 |
$-74.88 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23.7h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$9,899.50
Net Profit/Loss:
$-100.50
Total Return:
-1.00%