IBM Nina Micro's Analysis
Year to Date: 2026-01-01 to present • 54 trades in period
+14.14%
Year to Date Return
$16,628.12
Current Value
46%
Win Rate
$14,567.74
Period Start
PHASE 0: RANGING
🔄 Transitioning
No strong directional signal. Monitor for regime shift.
Fear & Greed
46
Fear
VIX
17.0
NORMAL
10Y Yield
4.45%
ELEVATED
Yield Curve
+0.51%
STEEP
HY Spread
2.77
CALM
🌍 Kp Index
🔴 1.7
Storm
⛈️ 4 storm days in 7d
RSI(14)
41.6 neutral
20d Trend
-5.4%
5d Trend
-6.3%
EMA20 Dist
-3.9%
ATR%
3.9%
Range Pos
40%
Bounce Ratio
1.2×
Green/Red 10d
2/8
🌍 Geophysical Tilt: Storm regime: volume-spike & macro strategies historically +3% differential. Sentiment strategies struggle.
Strategy Score Scored May 6, 2026
43
Lifetime
Confidence: 100%
Quality Components
Return-to-Risk
15.6/35
Total Return
15.3/25
Win Rate
2.1/15
Profit Factor
2.8/15
Consistency
7.6/10
Raw Quality
43.3/100
× Confidence 1.00
= 43.2
30-Day Momentum
47
+5.8%
30d Return
50%
Win Rate
14
Trades
1.7×
Profit Factor
Quality: 48.3
Conf: 0.98×
Steady (+4 vs lifetime)
Momentum meets PRO threshold (40+)
How Scoring Works:
Score = Quality × Confidence.
Quality (0-100) rates absolute performance across 5 dimensions:
Return-to-Risk (35pts), Total Return (25pts), Win Rate (15pts), Profit Factor (15pts), Consistency (10pts).
Confidence (100%) adjusts for trade count and freshness —
more trades + recent activity = higher confidence.
Momentum uses the same model recalibrated for a 30-day trailing window.
PRO status requires both Lifetime Score ≥ 70 and Momentum ≥ 40.
Data Transparency (Year to Date)
Hybrid data: Historical backfill + Yahoo/Alpaca (live) - verifiable market data
Data Source
Yahoo + Alpaca
Candles in Period
7,813
Timeframe
5-Minute Bars
Period Range
2026-01-01 → 2026-05-06
Trading Days
92 days
Data Gaps
None (4 market holidays)
Market Closed (4 days)
2026-01-01 — New Year's Day, 2026-01-19 — MLK Jr. Day, 2026-02-16 — Presidents' Day, 2026-04-03 — Good Friday
Brokerage: Alpaca Markets
✓ Tradeable on Alpaca
Stocks: Commission-free • Market hours: 9:30 AM - 4:00 PM ET
To execute these strategies, you'll need an Alpaca brokerage account.
Performance Summary (Year to Date)
Period Start Capital
$14,567.74
Current Value
$16,628.12
Period P&L
$2,060.40
Max Drawdown
-15.2%
Sharpe Ratio
0.18
Trade Statistics (Year to Date)
Trades in Period
54
Winners / Losers
25 /
29
Best Trade
+2.58%
Worst Trade
-2.66%
Avg Trade Return
+0.25%
Avg Hold Time
17.7h
💰 Trading Cost Analysis (Alpaca Fees) (Year to Date)
Asset Type
📈 Stock
Fee Rate
FREE
Total Volume
$1,645,735.40
Estimated Fees
$0.00
Gross P&L
$2,060.40
Net P&L (after fees)
$2,060.40
Gross Return
+14.14%
Net Return (after fees)
+14.14%
✅ Stocks: Alpaca offers commission-free stock trading.
No fees on this symbol!
Actual fees may vary based on your volume tier. See Alpaca pricing.
Equity Curve — Your Money Over Time
Each dot is a completed trade. ● Green = profitable trade, ● Red = losing trade. Hover for details.
The dashed blue line shows your starting $10,000. Points above = profit, points below = loss.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
Price Action + Equity Overlay
📈 IBM Price (left axis) vs 📊 Your Equity (right axis). See how the stock price moved while you held positions.
🖱️ Scroll to zoom • Click & drag to pan • Double-click to reset
📊 Price data: 92 trading days
🎯 Trade markers show BUY (▲) and SELL (▼) points
Trade History (Year to Date - 54 trades)
How to Read This Table
Each row is one complete trade cycle (BUY → HOLD → SELL). Nina Micro had $14,567.74 at period start. When he sees a buy signal, he uses all available cash to buy shares. He holds until hitting his +5% target, -10% stop loss, or 30-day limit. After selling, the profit/loss is added to his balance, and the next trade uses that new balance.
| # | Action | Date & Time | Price/Share | Shares | Total Value | Balance After | Result | Exit Reason |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 2, 2026 12:05pm ET | $290.60 | 50 | $14,530.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 5, 2026 9:30am ET | $298.10 | 50 | $14,905.14 | $14,942.85 |
+$375.14 (+2.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 2 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 6, 2026 11:05am ET | $297.17 | 50 | $14,858.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 6, 2026 2:55pm ET | $301.92 | 50 | $15,095.75 | $15,180.35 |
+$237.50 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.8h held |
|
| 3 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 7, 2026 2:55pm ET | $297.55 | 51 | $15,175.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 8, 2026 11:25am ET | $302.10 | 51 | $15,406.85 | $15,412.15 |
+$231.80 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20.5h held |
|
| 4 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 9, 2026 1:10pm ET | $304.92 | 50 | $15,246.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 12, 2026 9:30am ET | $302.39 | 50 | $15,119.50 | $15,285.65 |
$-126.50 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.8d held |
|
| 5 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 13, 2026 9:50am ET | $310.50 | 49 | $15,214.50 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 13, 2026 10:15am ET | $308.14 | 49 | $15,098.62 | $15,169.76 |
$-115.89 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 6 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 14, 2026 11:05am ET | $303.04 | 50 | $15,152.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 14, 2026 2:25pm ET | $307.65 | 50 | $15,382.50 | $15,400.17 |
+$230.41 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.3h held |
|
| 7 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 15, 2026 2:25pm ET | $300.45 | 51 | $15,322.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 15, 2026 3:40pm ET | $298.16 | 51 | $15,206.16 | $15,283.38 |
$-116.79 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.3h held |
|
| 8 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 16, 2026 3:55pm ET | $305.72 | 49 | $14,980.28 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 20, 2026 9:30am ET | $297.60 | 49 | $14,582.40 | $14,885.50 |
$-397.88 (-2.7%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
3.7d held |
|
| 9 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 21, 2026 11:05am ET | $295.54 | 50 | $14,776.75 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 22, 2026 9:30am ET | $300.77 | 50 | $15,038.25 | $15,147.00 |
+$261.50 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
22.4h held |
|
| 10 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 23, 2026 9:30am ET | $293.45 | 51 | $14,965.95 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 23, 2026 9:40am ET | $290.92 | 51 | $14,836.92 | $15,017.97 |
$-129.03 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 11 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 26, 2026 11:40am ET | $295.17 | 50 | $14,758.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 28, 2026 9:55am ET | $292.43 | 50 | $14,621.50 | $14,881.22 |
$-136.75 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.9d held |
|
| 12 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 29, 2026 11:05am ET | $311.07 | 47 | $14,620.29 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Jan 29, 2026 12:55pm ET | $308.66 | 47 | $14,507.02 | $14,767.95 |
$-113.27 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.8h held |
|
| 13 | 🟢 BUY | Jan 30, 2026 1:30pm ET | $304.20 | 48 | $14,601.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $310.24 | 48 | $14,891.52 | $15,057.87 |
+$289.92 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.8d held |
|
| 14 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $307.51 | 48 | $14,760.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 3, 2026 9:40am ET | $302.85 | 48 | $14,536.80 | $14,834.19 |
$-223.68 (-1.5%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 15 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 4, 2026 9:40am ET | $284.02 | 52 | $14,769.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 4, 2026 9:55am ET | $280.90 | 52 | $14,606.80 | $14,671.69 |
$-162.50 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 16 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 5, 2026 10:00am ET | $287.43 | 51 | $14,658.93 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 6, 2026 9:35am ET | $292.22 | 51 | $14,903.22 | $14,915.98 |
+$244.29 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
23.6h held |
|
| 17 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 9, 2026 9:35am ET | $294.64 | 50 | $14,732.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 9, 2026 3:55pm ET | $296.67 | 50 | $14,833.50 | $15,017.48 |
+$101.50 (+0.7%) |
📅 Sim Ended
6.3h held |
|
| 18 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 11, 2026 9:40am ET | $289.61 | 51 | $14,770.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 11, 2026 9:50am ET | $286.29 | 51 | $14,600.79 | $14,847.91 |
$-169.57 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
10m held |
|
| 19 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 17, 2026 9:30am ET | $260.23 | 57 | $14,833.11 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 17, 2026 9:45am ET | $257.68 | 57 | $14,688.04 | $14,702.84 |
$-145.07 (-1.0%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 20 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 18, 2026 11:45am ET | $258.95 | 56 | $14,501.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 19, 2026 9:30am ET | $256.00 | 56 | $14,336.00 | $14,537.36 |
$-165.48 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.8h held |
|
| 21 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $254.28 | 57 | $14,493.96 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 20, 2026 1:50pm ET | $258.58 | 57 | $14,739.06 | $14,782.46 |
+$245.10 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.3h held |
|
| 22 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 23, 2026 1:55pm ET | $243.53 | 60 | $14,611.80 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 23, 2026 2:00pm ET | $240.47 | 60 | $14,428.20 | $14,598.86 |
$-183.60 (-1.3%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5m held |
|
| 23 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 24, 2026 3:15pm ET | $229.32 | 63 | $14,447.47 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 25, 2026 9:30am ET | $233.28 | 63 | $14,696.43 | $14,847.82 |
+$248.96 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.3h held |
|
| 24 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 26, 2026 11:20am ET | $245.06 | 60 | $14,703.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Feb 26, 2026 11:45am ET | $242.98 | 60 | $14,578.50 | $14,722.72 |
$-125.10 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
25m held |
|
| 25 | 🟢 BUY | Feb 27, 2026 12:40pm ET | $238.25 | 61 | $14,533.25 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $235.34 | 61 | $14,355.74 | $14,545.21 |
$-177.51 (-1.2%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.9d held |
|
| 26 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 3, 2026 9:30am ET | $236.00 | 61 | $14,396.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 3, 2026 11:15am ET | $239.60 | 61 | $14,615.60 | $14,764.81 |
+$219.60 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.8h held |
|
| 27 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 4, 2026 3:10pm ET | $250.01 | 59 | $14,750.30 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 5, 2026 9:55am ET | $254.80 | 59 | $15,033.20 | $15,047.71 |
+$282.90 (+1.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
18.8h held |
|
| 28 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 6, 2026 9:55am ET | $254.54 | 59 | $15,017.57 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 6, 2026 3:40pm ET | $258.59 | 59 | $15,256.81 | $15,286.95 |
+$239.24 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
5.8h held |
|
| 29 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 10, 2026 9:40am ET | $250.12 | 61 | $15,257.32 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 10, 2026 9:55am ET | $247.74 | 61 | $15,112.44 | $15,142.08 |
$-144.88 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
15m held |
|
| 30 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 11, 2026 10:30am ET | $247.69 | 61 | $15,109.09 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 13, 2026 11:00am ET | $245.70 | 61 | $14,987.70 | $15,020.69 |
$-121.39 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2d held |
|
| 31 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 16, 2026 11:00am ET | $246.75 | 60 | $14,805.15 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 16, 2026 2:40pm ET | $251.04 | 60 | $15,062.70 | $15,278.24 |
+$257.55 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
3.7h held |
|
| 32 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 18, 2026 9:30am ET | $254.14 | 60 | $15,248.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 18, 2026 2:50pm ET | $252.21 | 60 | $15,132.60 | $15,162.44 |
$-115.80 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
5.3h held |
|
| 33 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 19, 2026 2:50pm ET | $248.79 | 60 | $14,927.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 20, 2026 10:50am ET | $246.90 | 60 | $14,813.70 | $15,048.74 |
$-113.70 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
20h held |
|
| 34 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 23, 2026 11:45am ET | $249.10 | 60 | $14,946.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 23, 2026 12:15pm ET | $247.03 | 60 | $14,821.80 | $14,924.54 |
$-124.20 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
30m held |
|
| 35 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 24, 2026 12:35pm ET | $240.34 | 62 | $14,900.82 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 25, 2026 9:35am ET | $244.85 | 62 | $15,180.70 | $15,204.42 |
+$279.88 (+1.9%) |
🎯 +5% Target
21h held |
|
| 36 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 26, 2026 11:10am ET | $244.23 | 62 | $15,142.26 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 26, 2026 1:50pm ET | $242.23 | 62 | $15,018.26 | $15,080.42 |
$-124.00 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.7h held |
|
| 37 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 27, 2026 1:50pm ET | $235.95 | 63 | $14,864.85 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 30, 2026 11:05am ET | $240.13 | 63 | $15,128.19 | $15,343.76 |
+$263.34 (+1.8%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 38 | 🟢 BUY | Mar 31, 2026 11:05am ET | $238.37 | 64 | $15,255.36 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Mar 31, 2026 3:40pm ET | $241.95 | 64 | $15,484.80 | $15,573.20 |
+$229.44 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
4.6h held |
|
| 39 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 2, 2026 9:30am ET | $242.32 | 64 | $15,508.48 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 2, 2026 10:40am ET | $246.44 | 64 | $15,771.93 | $15,836.65 |
+$263.45 (+1.7%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.2h held |
|
| 40 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 6, 2026 10:40am ET | $245.46 | 64 | $15,709.44 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 7, 2026 9:40am ET | $242.69 | 64 | $15,531.98 | $15,659.19 |
$-177.46 (-1.1%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
23h held |
|
| 41 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 8, 2026 10:40am ET | $245.86 | 63 | $15,489.18 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 8, 2026 11:20am ET | $244.00 | 63 | $15,372.00 | $15,542.01 |
$-117.18 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
40m held |
|
| 42 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 9, 2026 11:20am ET | $235.68 | 65 | $15,318.88 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 10, 2026 9:35am ET | $233.79 | 65 | $15,196.35 | $15,419.48 |
$-122.53 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
22.3h held |
|
| 43 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 13, 2026 11:05am ET | $233.04 | 66 | $15,380.64 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 13, 2026 1:15pm ET | $236.65 | 66 | $15,619.23 | $15,658.07 |
+$238.59 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.2h held |
|
| 44 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 14, 2026 2:00pm ET | $239.77 | 65 | $15,585.05 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 15, 2026 9:35am ET | $244.66 | 65 | $15,902.90 | $15,975.92 |
+$317.85 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
19.6h held |
|
| 45 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 16, 2026 10:40am ET | $246.67 | 64 | $15,787.04 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 16, 2026 12:05pm ET | $250.66 | 64 | $16,042.24 | $16,231.12 |
+$255.20 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1.4h held |
|
| 46 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 17, 2026 12:05pm ET | $252.65 | 64 | $16,169.60 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 20, 2026 9:35am ET | $256.61 | 64 | $16,423.36 | $16,484.88 |
+$253.76 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
2.9d held |
|
| 47 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 21, 2026 9:40am ET | $252.16 | 65 | $16,390.40 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 21, 2026 10:00am ET | $256.06 | 65 | $16,643.90 | $16,738.38 |
+$253.50 (+1.5%) |
🎯 +5% Target
20m held |
|
| 48 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 22, 2026 10:00am ET | $256.07 | 65 | $16,644.23 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 22, 2026 11:05am ET | $254.10 | 65 | $16,516.50 | $16,610.66 |
$-127.72 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.1h held |
|
| 49 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 23, 2026 11:55am ET | $229.75 | 72 | $16,542.00 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 23, 2026 1:05pm ET | $227.93 | 72 | $16,410.96 | $16,479.62 |
$-131.04 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
1.2h held |
|
| 50 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 27, 2026 9:35am ET | $227.63 | 72 | $16,389.72 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 28, 2026 10:10am ET | $231.18 | 72 | $16,644.96 | $16,734.86 |
+$255.24 (+1.6%) |
🎯 +5% Target
1d held |
|
| 51 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 29, 2026 10:10am ET | $229.99 | 72 | $16,558.92 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | Apr 29, 2026 2:15pm ET | $227.95 | 72 | $16,412.37 | $16,588.31 |
$-146.55 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
4.1h held |
|
| 52 | 🟢 BUY | Apr 30, 2026 3:35pm ET | $230.46 | 71 | $16,363.01 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 1, 2026 9:30am ET | $235.00 | 71 | $16,685.00 | $16,910.30 |
+$321.99 (+2.0%) |
🎯 +5% Target
17.9h held |
|
| 53 | 🟢 BUY | May 4, 2026 9:30am ET | $232.28 | 72 | $16,724.16 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 4, 2026 12:05pm ET | $230.23 | 72 | $16,576.56 | $16,762.70 |
$-147.60 (-0.9%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
2.6h held |
|
| 54 | 🟢 BUY | May 5, 2026 12:05pm ET | $227.93 | 73 | $16,638.53 | — | — | — |
| 🔴 SELL | May 6, 2026 9:40am ET | $226.08 | 73 | $16,503.95 | $16,628.12 |
$-134.58 (-0.8%) |
🛑 -10% Stop
21.6h held |
Started with: $10,000.00
Total Invested:
$10,000.00
Ended with:
$16,628.12
Net Profit/Loss:
+$6,628.12
Total Return:
+66.28%